How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did last week and who we should root for this week.   Explain

Week of 9/14100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Premier League100.0*Demotion100.0*Average seed
Bristol City 1 Sheffield Utd 0 +1.8
+3.9
-0.3
+0.7
Norwich 1 Middlesbrough 0 +0.4
+0.4
Millwall 1 Leeds 1 +0.1
+0.1
Rotherham 1 Derby 0 +0.1
+0.2
Brentford 2 Wigan 0 -0.1
-0.1
Swansea 0 Nottingham 0 +0.1
+0.2
Bolton 1 QPR 2 +0.1
+0.3
+0.1
Birmingham 1 West Brom 1 +0.1
Sheffield Wed 2 Stoke 2 +0.1
If winner is:HomeDrawAway
West Brom vs Bristol City-2.3*-0.0+5.0
-4.0+0.3+8.5
+0.1-0.1-0.2
-0.5+0.1+1.1
Leeds vs Preston-0.5+0.4+1.0
-0.5+0.5+1.0
Middlesbrough vs Bolton-0.5+0.5+0.8
-0.4+0.5+0.6
Ipswich vs Brentford+0.5+0.1-0.6
+0.6+0.2-0.8
+0.0+0.0-0.1
Stoke vs Swansea+0.1*+0.1-0.2
+0.2*+0.1-0.5
Sheffield Utd vs Birmingham-0.1+0.1+0.2
-0.3+0.2+0.5
Wigan vs Hull City-0.1+0.1+0.2
-0.2+0.2+0.2
Derby vs Blackburn-0.1*+0.0+0.1
-0.1+0.2+0.1
Aston Villa vs Rotherham-0.1*+0.1+0.3
Nottingham vs Sheffield Wed*-0.0+0.2-0.1
If winner is:HomeDrawAway
Week of 9/21100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Premier League100.0*Demotion100.0*Average seed
Wigan vs Bristol City-2.4-0.2+4.7
-4.2*-0.1+7.9
+0.1-0.0-0.2
-0.6+0.0+1.0
Leeds vs Birmingham-0.5+0.5+0.9
-0.5+0.5+1.0
Middlesbrough vs Swansea-0.4+0.4+0.5
-0.3+0.4+0.3
Derby vs Brentford+0.3+0.1-0.5
+0.2+0.2-0.5
West Brom vs Millwall-0.1+0.1+0.2
-0.3+0.3+0.5
Sheffield Utd vs Preston-0.1+0.1+0.2
-0.3+0.2+0.5
Ipswich vs Bolton+0.1*+0.0-0.1
+0.1*+0.1-0.3

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

Chances based on how well the Bristol City finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:ChancePremierChance will finish season at seed
TPW-D-Lwins titleLeague123456789101112131415161718192021222324DemotionCount
101-131YesYes100No1,252*
10026-8-599.8%Yes1000No527*
9926-7-699.7Yes1000No753*
9826-6-799.5Yes1000No1,211*
9725-8-699.3Yes991No1,835*
9625-7-799.0Yes991No2,857*
9525-6-898.2100.0%9820No4,101*
9424-8-797.7Yes982No5,747*
9324-7-897.0100.09730No8,118*
9223-9-795.499.99550No11,464*
9123-8-893.599.99360No15,416*
9023-7-991.799.99280No20,618*
8922-9-888.599.788110No27,026*
8822-8-984.399.4841510No35,314*
8722-7-1080.199.0801910No44,509*
8621-9-974.298.2742320No56,254*
8521-8-1067.897.06828400No68,219*
8420-10-960.195.26034600No83,623*
8320-9-1051.592.35238910No100,178*
8220-8-1143.088.4434214200No117,205*
8119-10-1034.083.0344319300No134,757*
8019-9-1125.776.32643256100No153,358*
7919-8-1218.568.418393010200No172,032*
7818-10-1111.959.312343416400No189,796*
7718-9-127.250.4727362271000No204,896*
7618-8-133.942.14193428123000No219,025*
7517-10-121.835.12122832196100No230,440*
7417-9-130.829.516213125123000No237,399*
7316-11-120.225.303132730197100No242,826*
7216-10-130.121.40171929261341000No242,533*
7116-9-140.017.10031124292192000No238,815*
7015-11-130.012.2001516272717610000No231,563*
6915-10-140.07.300028192725134100No220,116*
6815-9-15No3.50003112228221131000No206,811*
6714-11-14No1.3001413242719930000No191,258*
6614-10-15No0.300151525261872000No174,577*
6514-9-16No0.100026162526166200No156,567*
6413-11-15No0.0000281726251561000No136,941*
6313-10-16NoNo000281926241451000No117,717*
6213-9-17NoNo0001392026231351000No101,283*
6112-11-16NoNo001310212622124100No84,263*
6012-10-17NoNo001411212721113100No69,485*
5912-9-18NoNo00014122327201031000.0%55,908*
5811-11-17NoNo00151324271992000.044,130*
5711-10-18NoNo00161525261772000.334,895*
5610-12-17NoNo00271826251551001.126,592*
5510-11-18NoNo0039202824123103.720,059*
5410-10-19NoNo0014122428218209.914,898*
539-12-18NoNo0016162828164120.810,934*
529-11-19NoNo002922322310234.67,590*
519-10-20NoNo01515302917349.75,225*
508-12-19NoNo028223526768.13,601*
498-11-20NoNo0041632331479.22,456*
488-10-21NoNo021027412087.91,543*
477-12-20NoNo1521462794.01,075*
467-11-21NoNo0214414298.0643*
457-10-22NoNo111404899.3409*
446-12-21NoNo63559Yes269*
436-11-22NoNo42868Yes136*
426-10-23NoNo2377Yes97*
415-12-22NoNo1882Yes67*
406-8-25NoNo1189Yes27*
14-39NoNo100Yes521*
Total:11.9%33.2%12121110987654332221111000000.4%4,793,760

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

Points
Chance Will Win Championship