How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did last week and who we should root for this week.   Explain

Week of 10/20100.0*Chance wins title100.0*UEFA100.0*Demotion100.0*Average seed
Newcastle United 0 Brighton & Hove 1 +0.5
+2.8
-5.7
+1.0
Manchester City 5 Burnley 0 -0.1
-0.2
-0.3
Huddersfield Town 0 Liverpool 1 -0.1
-0.3
-0.5
West Ham United 0 Tottenham Hotspur 1 -0.2
-0.4
Arsenal 3 Leicester City 1 -0.2
-0.1
Chelsea 2 Manchester United 2 +0.1
Bournemouth 0 Southampton 0 +0.1
-0.2
Everton 2 Crystal Palace 0 -0.1
-0.1
Cardiff City 4 Fulham 2 +0.1
If winner is:HomeDrawAway
Week of 10/27100.0*Chance wins title100.0*UEFA100.0*Demotion100.0*Average seed
Brighton & Hove vs Wolverhampton+0.5-0.2-0.4
+3.5-1.0-2.8
-3.9+0.5+3.5
+1.0-0.2-0.9
Liverpool vs Cardiff City-0.1*+0.0+0.1
-0.3*+0.1+0.3
-0.4*-0.0+0.4
Burnley vs Chelsea+0.0*+0.0-0.1
+0.2*+0.1-0.2
+0.3*-0.0-0.3
Crystal Palace vs Arsenal+0.0*+0.0-0.1
+0.2+0.1-0.3
+0.3*-0.1-0.3
Tottenham Hotspur vs Manchester City*+0.0+0.1-0.0
*-0.0+0.2-0.1
Watford vs Huddersfield Town-0.2*+0.1+0.2
-0.3-0.1+0.4
Fulham vs Bournemouth+0.2+0.1-0.2
+0.3*-0.1-0.3
Leicester City vs West Ham United-0.1*+0.0+0.1
-0.2-0.1+0.2
Southampton vs Newcastle United*-0.0-0.2+0.1

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

Chances based on how well the Brighton & Hove finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:ChanceChance will finish season at seed
TPW-D-Lwins titleUEFA1234567891011121314151617181920DemotionCount
79-98YesYes100No806*
7821-4-495.9%Yes964No171*
7720-6-393.3Yes937No329*
7620-5-491.6Yes9280No548*
7520-4-589.3Yes89100No897*
7419-6-483.6Yes84151No1,416*
7319-5-578.7Yes79201No2,266*
7219-4-670.6Yes712730No3,534*
7118-6-564.1Yes643140No5,322*
7018-5-654.3100.0%5436810No7,706*
6917-7-544.699.945411320No11,001*
6817-6-634.799.7354418300No15,542*
6717-5-724.699.2254325610No21,326*
6616-7-616.697.717393112200No28,761*
6516-6-710.094.710313518510No38,268*
6416-5-85.489.152335259200No49,505*
6315-7-72.479.2214323116410No64,027*
6215-6-80.965.11823332492000No79,333*
6115-5-90.347.803152930165100No98,458*
6014-7-80.129.9017213125113000No117,940*
5914-6-90.015.5003122631197100No138,641*
5813-8-80.06.30015172928154100No161,436*
5713-7-90.01.90002822302411300No183,692*
5613-6-10No0.40003122630207100No205,726*
5512-8-9No0.10015162828165100No225,646*
5412-7-10No0.00017193026134100No242,632*
5312-6-11No0.000029223023102000No255,708*
5211-8-10NoNo00031225302071000No263,993*
5111-7-11NoNo001515282916510000.0%268,503*
5011-6-12NoNo00171930261341000.0266,225*
4910-8-11NoNo00029223023102000.0260,974*
4810-7-12NoNo00031326302071000.1249,963*
4710-6-13NoNo000151729281541000.7235,257*
469-8-12NoNo00028213125112002.7217,228*
459-7-13NoNo0003122631206107.4195,146*
449-6-14NoNo0016183128133016.7173,081*
438-8-13NoNo002102433237130.6149,563*
428-7-14NoNo001416323114246.9127,126*
418-6-15NoNo0029263622563.2105,362*
407-8-14NoNo0151835311076.885,222*
397-7-15NoNo0021131391786.868,213*
387-6-16NoNo01624432693.252,942*
376-8-15NoNo00318443696.839,826*
366-7-16NoNo0111414798.729,401*
356-6-17NoNo017355799.421,353*
345-8-16NoNo04296699.715,033*
335-7-17NoNo02227699.910,228*
325-6-18NoNo011683100.06,984*
314-8-17NoNo01387Yes4,389*
304-7-18NoNo0991Yes2,795*
294-6-19NoNo0595Yes1,714*
283-8-18NoNo496Yes956*
273-7-19NoNo397Yes540*
263-6-20NoNo298Yes315*
11-25NoNo100Yes951*
Total:0.9%8.3%1223455667777776654211.0%4,813,920

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

Points
Chance Will Win Championship