How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did last week and who we should root for this week.   Explain

Week of 9/14100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Promoted100.0*Relegated100.0*Average seed
Grimsby Town 1 Braintree Town 0 -1.4
-2.3
+3.0
-1.1
Salisbury City 1 Braintree Town 1 -0.3
-0.6
+0.5
-0.2
Dartford 1 Nuneaton Town 2 -0.2
-0.2
-0.1
Cambridge United 1 Gateshead FC 0 -0.2
-0.2
-0.2
Nuneaton Town 2 Hereford United 1 -0.1
-0.1
-0.1
Barnet 1 Lincoln City FC 1 +0.1
Alfreton Town 1 Cambridge United 1 +0.1
+0.1
Kidderminster H 2 Hyde FC 1 -0.1
-0.1
*-0.1
Welling United 5 Forest Green Ro 2 *+0.1
+0.1
Tamworth 0 Kidderminster H 3 -0.1
*-0.1
Aldershot Town 3 Barnet 3 -0.1
Macclesfield Town 0 Alfreton Town 1 *-0.1
If winner is:HomeDrawAway
Week of 9/21100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Promoted100.0*Relegated100.0*Average seed
Braintree Town vs Southport+1.0-0.3-0.8
+2.0-0.5-1.6
-3.9+0.5+3.5
+1.2-0.2-1.1
Wrexham vs Braintree Town-0.8-0.3+1.0
-1.6-0.5+2.0
+3.6+0.5-4.0
-1.1-0.2+1.2
Nuneaton Town vs Salisbury City-0.1+0.1+0.1
-0.1+0.1+0.1
-0.1-0.0+0.1
Cambridge United vs Nuneaton Town*+0.0+0.1-0.1
-0.0+0.1-0.1
Dartford vs Kidderminster H+0.1+0.0-0.1
+0.1+0.1-0.1
+0.2-0.1-0.2
Cambridge United vs Forest Green Ro-0.1+0.0+0.1
-0.1+0.1+0.0
-0.1*-0.0+0.1
Barnet vs Macclesfield Town-0.1+0.0+0.0
-0.1+0.0+0.1
-0.2-0.1+0.3
Kidderminster H vs FC Halifax Town-0.1+0.1*-0.0
Hereford United vs Lincoln City FC+0.0+0.0-0.1
+0.0+0.1-0.1
+0.1-0.0-0.1
Salisbury City vs Hyde FC-0.1+0.0+0.1
-0.2-0.1+0.2
Luton Town vs Lincoln City FC+0.0+0.1-0.1
+0.1-0.0-0.1
Forest Green Ro vs Tamworth-0.1+0.0+0.0
-0.1-0.0+0.1
FC Halifax Town vs Hereford United-0.1+0.1+0.0
-0.1-0.0+0.1
Southport vs Alfreton Town+0.0+0.1-0.1
+0.1-0.0-0.0
Grimsby Town vs Dartford-0.1+0.0+0.0
-0.1-0.1+0.2
Chester FC vs Grimsby Town+0.0+0.0-0.1
+0.2-0.1-0.1
Alfreton Town vs Barnet-0.0+0.1-0.0
Welling United vs Aldershot Town-0.1+0.0+0.0
-0.1-0.1+0.2
Hyde FC vs Welling United+0.0+0.0-0.1
+0.2-0.1-0.1
Woking vs Luton Town+0.0+0.0-0.1
+0.1-0.1-0.1
Aldershot Town vs Wrexham+0.2-0.1-0.1
Macclesfield Town vs Woking+0.1-0.1-0.0
Tamworth vs Gateshead FC*-0.0-0.1+0.1
Gateshead FC vs Chester FC+0.0-0.1+0.0

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

Chances based on how well the Braintree Town finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:ChanceChance will finish season at seed
TPW-D-Lwins titlePromoted123456789101112131415161718192021222324RelegatedCount
84-123YesYes100No11,178*
7815-21-150.0%50.0%5050No2
73-75YesYes100No10*
71-72NoNo100No2*
62-69YesYes100No42*
618-25-4NoNo5050No2
6016-20-180.080.08020No5
5820-16-164.364.36477147No14*
56-57YesYes100No7*
5514-21-214.328.61436714217No14
539-24-4NoNo671717No6
5217-19-157.157.1572914No7*
5117-18-255.163.85529631337.2%69*
504-26-7NoNo100Yes2
4715-20-212.922.61323263166633No31*
463-25-9NoNo100Yes1
453-24-10NoNo5050Yes2
4414-20-33.324.231440201321246.691*
4313-22-2No25.05050No4
412-23-12NoNo6733Yes3
4012-22-3No8.01616281681616.025*
3912-21-4No8.01472125171361144.9163*
3811-23-3NoNo91818181899No11
3711-22-4NoNo31714312096No35
361-21-15NoNo100Yes1
3510-23-4NoNo71450217No14
346-24-7NoNo9351743539.123*
321-17-19NoNo1189Yes9
311-16-20NoNo100Yes11*
305-23-9NoNo51435182894.757*
291-14-22NoNo100Yes15*
281-13-23NoNo6128294.117*
267-23-7NoNo12513158325172751.9131*
257-22-8NoNo1492827151240016.5285*
241-9-27NoNo100Yes6*
233-22-12NoNo162460Yes25*
216-1-30NoNo100Yes2
195-22-10NoNo141936291295.5133
182-20-15NoNo496Yes24
172-9-26NoNo122563Yes52*
154-21-12NoNo3123550Yes145*
1429-5-3YesYes100No3
1329-4-464.764.7653535.317*
120-0-370.20.200010099.811,235*
1128-5-4YesYes100No43*
103-19-1534.934.9350105565.1281*
927-6-4YesYes100No190*
827-5-599.099.09911.0286*
726-7-493.593.5940066.1542*
626-6-592.993.0930066.7987*
526-5-695.595.6950044.31,664*
425-7-595.395.4951044.12,807*
325-6-699.199.3991No4,273*
224-8-597.097.3971021.77,018*
124-7-696.997.4972011.111,097*
024-6-795.896.69630011.216,986*
-123-8-695.296.3954000.425,137*
-223-7-793.695.2946000.138,369*
-323-6-891.393.5918000.055,788*
-422-8-788.291.188110000.081,003*
-522-7-883.887.8841510No114,678*
-621-9-778.784.0792020No161,577*
-721-8-872.479.37225300No222,005*
-821-7-964.773.56530500No302,624*
-920-9-856.167.156358100No402,882*
-1020-8-946.760.0474012200No530,445*
-1120-7-1036.852.63742173000No685,055*
-1219-9-927.545.627422361000No874,392*
-1319-8-1018.939.1193929112000No1,095,362*
-1419-7-1111.933.71233331751000No1,352,712*
-1518-9-106.729.47253424920000No1,645,371*
-1618-8-113.226.031631291551000No1,972,399*
-1717-10-101.322.8192431221030000No2,329,476*
-1817-9-110.419.10415272817610000No2,707,247*
-1917-8-120.114.50282028241341000No3,105,576*
-2016-10-110.09.40031123282110310000No3,505,290*
-2116-9-120.04.90015142427188200000No3,892,321*
-2216-8-130.02.000016162525167200000No4,265,257*
-2315-10-120.00.600002717262415620000No4,599,598*
-2415-9-13No0.100028182624146100000No4,889,533*
-2515-8-14No0.000003919262314510000No5,111,985*
-2614-10-13No0.000003919262313510000No5,270,839*
-2714-9-14No0.000013919262313510000No5,356,153*
-2813-11-13NoNo000139192623135100000.05,350,171*
-2913-10-14NoNo000013919262313510000.05,268,354*
-3013-9-15NoNo000013920262313410000.05,106,153*
-3112-11-14NoNo0000131020272212410000.14,873,134*
-3212-10-15NoNo000141121272211310000.64,574,853*
-3312-9-16NoNo00001412232720920002.94,226,870*
-3411-11-15NoNo0000151425271872008.93,846,831*
-3511-10-16NoNo0000271727261551020.63,442,491*
-3611-9-17NoNo00039212924112037.33,030,580*
-3710-11-16NoNo00014132630196155.82,624,429*
-3810-10-17NoNo0001719312712272.32,236,731*
-3910-9-18NoNo0000312273320584.61,870,151*
-409-11-17NoNo0016203429992.31,537,915*
-419-10-18NoNo00031332361596.61,241,986*
-429-9-19NoNo0001826412398.6987,584*
-438-11-18NoNo000420433399.5770,424*
-448-10-19NoNo000214414399.8588,448*
-458-9-20NoNo0019375399.9441,938*
-467-11-19NoNo0063262100.0324,881*
-477-10-20NoNo0032670100.0234,518*
-487-9-21NoNo0022177100.0166,218*
-496-11-20NoNo011683Yes114,987*
-506-10-21NoNo001288Yes77,307*
-516-9-22NoNo0991Yes51,339*
-525-11-21NoNo0694Yes33,117*
-535-10-22NoNo0496Yes21,153*
-545-9-23NoNo0397Yes13,004*
-555-8-24NoNo0298Yes7,818*
-564-10-23NoNo199Yes4,496*
-574-9-24NoNo199Yes2,558*
-584-8-25NoNo0100Yes1,314*
-593-10-24NoNo0100Yes630*
-62--60NoNo100Yes358*
Total:2.2%5.8%23344455555555555544443212.5%107,735,920

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

Points
Chance Will Win Championship