"...per the brilliant Sports Club Stats"
(thank you Mr. Dater)

How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did last week and who we should root for this week.   Explain

Week of 9/14100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Promoted100.0*Relegated100.0*Average seed
Grimsby Town 1 Braintree Town 0 -0.7
-1.5
+1.6
-0.8
Cambridge United 1 Gateshead FC 0 -0.2
-0.2
-0.1
Dartford 1 Nuneaton Town 2 -0.1
-0.2
-0.1
Salisbury City 1 Braintree Town 1 -0.1
-0.2
-0.1
Forest Green Ro 2 FC Halifax Town 1 -0.1
-0.1
Nuneaton Town 2 Hereford United 1 -0.1
-0.1
-0.1
Barnet 1 Lincoln City FC 1 +0.1
+0.1
Welling United 5 Forest Green Ro 2 +0.1
+0.1
Tamworth 0 Kidderminster H 3 -0.1
-0.1
FC Halifax Town 4 Grimsby Town 0 +0.1
Macclesfield Town 0 Alfreton Town 1 -0.1
-0.1
Kidderminster H 2 Hyde FC 1 -0.1
-0.1
Luton Town 3 Dartford 0 -0.1
Hyde FC 0 Woking 2 +0.1
Salisbury City 3 Chester FC 1 -0.1
If winner is:HomeDrawAway
Week of 9/21100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Promoted100.0*Relegated100.0*Average seed
Wrexham vs Braintree Town-0.2-0.1+0.4
-0.8-0.2+1.3
+2.0+0.0-2.7
-0.8-0.1+1.2
Braintree Town vs Southport+0.3-0.2-0.3
+0.9-0.5-1.0
-2.2+0.7+2.8
+0.9-0.4-1.1
Nuneaton Town vs Salisbury City-0.1+0.0+0.1
Cambridge United vs Forest Green Ro-0.1+0.0+0.1
Dartford vs Kidderminster H+0.1+0.0-0.1
+0.3-0.0-0.2
Hereford United vs Lincoln City FC+0.1+0.0-0.1
+0.1-0.0-0.1
Barnet vs Macclesfield Town-0.1+0.0+0.1
-0.2*-0.0+0.3
Forest Green Ro vs Tamworth-0.1+0.0+0.1
-0.1*+0.0+0.2
Woking vs Luton Town+0.1+0.0-0.1
+0.2-0.0-0.2
Salisbury City vs Hyde FC-0.0+0.0+0.1
-0.1-0.0+0.2
FC Halifax Town vs Hereford United-0.1*-0.0+0.1
Southport vs Alfreton Town+0.1-0.0-0.1
Chester FC vs Grimsby Town+0.2-0.1-0.2
Hyde FC vs Welling United+0.2-0.1-0.1
Grimsby Town vs Dartford-0.1-0.0+0.3
Welling United vs Aldershot Town-0.1-0.0+0.1
Aldershot Town vs Wrexham+0.1-0.1-0.1
Macclesfield Town vs Woking+0.1-0.1-0.0
Tamworth vs Gateshead FC*+0.0-0.1+0.1
Gateshead FC vs Chester FC+0.0-0.1+0.1

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

Chances based on how well the Braintree Town finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:ChanceChance will finish season at seed
TPW-D-Lwins titlePromoted123456789101112131415161718192021222324RelegatedCount
110-123YesYes100No32,620*
7915-22-0NoNo100No1
72-74YesYes100No8*
6724-13-050.0%50.0%5050No2*
618-25-433.333.3333333No6*
597-26-4NoNo100No1
5719-18-050.050.05050No2
5614-22-1NoNo100No1
5413-23-1NoNo5050No2
535-26-6NoNo100No1
5217-19-1No20.0100No5
5016-20-1No20.0602020No5
4815-21-1NoNo3367No3
4715-20-27.730.8831261818No39
463-25-9NoNo100No1
456-25-6NoNo1762861128644.4%18*
4313-22-2No8.38171742888.312*
425-25-7NoNo61313619133162.516*
4112-23-2NoNo11331111112244.49*
392-21-14NoNo35335186590.040*
382-20-15NoNo1423331131411175270.889*
377-24-6NoNo21322222011444.445*
3610-24-3NoNo18279182745.511*
349-25-3NoNo5050No2
333-22-12NoNo1184221318332679.889*
321-17-19NoNo100Yes17
315-24-8NoNo21182211533857.163*
301-15-21NoNo14141047175260.373*
291-14-22NoNo100Yes27*
281-13-23NoNo2613627091.547*
274-23-10NoNo1681995793.2118*
25-26NoNo100Yes61*
246-24-7NoNo3529281451620.758*
231-8-28NoNo100Yes3
223-21-13NoNo3173644Yes157*
211-6-30NoNo100Yes1
1931-4-2YesYes100No1
182-10-25NoNo100Yes109
15-16YesYes100No14*
143-23-1129.629.63072233770.427*
1329-4-4YesYes100No20*
120-0-370.10.1010099.932,667*
1128-5-498.898.8991No84*
103-19-1525.225.22516284074.8726*
927-6-467.667.868103231.6487*
83-17-1729.529.629002175170.11,948*
726-7-490.490.690100278.71,223*
63-15-1945.245.54510084553.64,303*
526-5-688.489.2883178.23,678*
425-7-590.391.390400055.46,057*
325-6-690.592.190600033.09,891*
224-8-588.891.18990021.916,039*
124-7-686.689.5871100011.625,643*
024-6-781.985.8821510022.440,239*
-123-8-678.984.0791910010.561,272*
-223-7-773.680.27424200000.192,333*
-323-6-866.975.26729400000.0137,018*
-422-8-759.769.86034600No201,452*
-522-7-851.563.65139910No289,762*
-621-9-743.157.44342132000No410,527*
-721-8-834.650.93544183000No572,684*
-821-7-926.344.72644245100No785,116*
-920-9-819.039.21941299100No1,058,658*
-1020-8-912.834.5133634143000No1,406,765*
-1120-7-107.930.782936205100No1,839,019*
-1219-9-94.527.95223626102000No2,362,537*
-1319-8-102.325.521532311541000No2,994,535*
-1419-7-111.023.219253322820000No3,726,672*
-1518-9-100.420.5051731281441000No4,576,404*
-1618-8-110.117.10210253121920000No5,525,422*
-1717-10-100.013.00151729271551000No6,575,702*
-1817-9-110.08.7002102329221030000No7,700,243*
-1917-8-120.05.0001515262818720000No8,881,438*
-2016-10-110.02.40002819282513410000No10,072,091*
-2116-9-12No0.90003112328211031000No11,266,426*
-2216-8-13No0.30001515252718720000No12,401,698*
-2315-10-12No0.100002718272515510000No13,435,250*
-2415-9-13No0.000003102127231241000No14,336,683*
-2515-8-14No0.00001412232720930000No15,059,018*
-2614-10-13No0.000001515252717720000No15,579,123*
-2714-9-14NoNo00002718272515510000No15,854,819*
-2813-11-13NoNo0000392028231241000No15,890,133*
-2913-10-14NoNo000141223282192000No15,674,819*
-3013-9-15NoNo000015152627187100000.015,205,906*
-3112-11-14NoNo00002718282514510000.014,520,518*
-3212-10-15NoNo0000031022292311300000.013,641,189*
-3312-9-16NoNo0001413252819720000.212,608,516*
-3411-11-15NoNo00001718282615410000.811,468,433*
-3511-10-16NoNo00003102229231020002.710,251,984*
-3611-9-17NoNo000141427291861007.09,015,326*
-3710-11-16NoNo000282030251230014.97,782,030*
-3810-10-17NoNo00131326301961026.86,612,143*
-3910-9-18NoNo00017193127122041.75,520,386*
-409-11-17NoNo0003122732195157.24,524,726*
-419-10-18NoNo0001721332710171.33,642,950*
-429-9-19NoNo000314303317382.62,878,470*
-438-11-18NoNo00018243624690.32,232,176*
-448-10-19NoNo000141836321095.11,696,816*
-458-9-20NoNo00021232381597.71,267,155*
-467-11-19NoNo001727432299.0925,644*
-477-10-20NoNo000421443199.6663,549*
-487-9-21NoNo000215434099.9466,668*
-496-11-20NoNo001104049100.0319,699*
-506-10-21NoNo0063558100.0214,419*
-516-9-22NoNo0043066100.0141,331*
-525-11-21NoNo0022573100.088,767*
-535-10-22NoNo0011980100.056,576*
-545-9-23NoNo011585Yes32,471*
-555-8-24NoNo01189Yes20,524*
-564-10-23NoNo00792Yes11,679*
-574-9-24NoNo0594Yes6,470*
-584-8-25NoNo496Yes3,271*
-593-10-24NoNo397Yes1,492*
Total:0.6%3.0%1123345566667766654432116.9%314,765,712

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

Points
Chance Will Win Championship