How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did last week and who we should root for this week.   Explain

Week of 8/13100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Promoted100.0*Relegated100.0*Average seed
Bradford Park A 1 Nuneaton Town 1 -0.5
-0.8
+0.8
-0.3
Tamworth 2 AFC Telford 1 -0.1
-0.1
-0.1
AFC Fylde 1 Brackley Town 1 +0.1
Kidderminster H 0 Chorley 0 +0.1
*-0.1
FC Halifax Town 3 Worcester City 0 -0.1
-0.1
Darlington 1883 4 Boston United 1 -0.1
-0.1
Curzon Ashton 1 Darlington 1883 2 -0.1
-0.1
Gloucester City 4 Gainsborough Tr 1 -0.1
Alfreton Town 0 Curzon Ashton 1 +0.1
If winner is:HomeDrawAway
Chorley vs Bradford Park A-0.8-0.3+1.1
-1.6-0.5+2.1
+3.4+0.4-4.1
-0.9-0.2+1.1
Boston United vs Tamworth+0.1+0.0-0.1
+0.1+0.1-0.1
+0.4-0.1-0.3
Worcester City vs Gloucester City+0.0+0.0-0.1
+0.1+0.0-0.1
+0.2-0.1-0.2
Stockport County vs FC Halifax Town+0.0+0.1-0.1
Gainsborough Tr vs Harrogate Town+0.1+0.0-0.1
+0.3-0.1-0.2
Nuneaton Town vs Kidderminster H+0.0+0.1-0.1
+0.1-0.1-0.1
Salford City vs FC United of Ma-0.0+0.1-0.0
Altrincham vs AFC Fylde+0.0+0.1-0.1
+0.1-0.0-0.1
Brackley Town vs Alfreton Town-0.0+0.1+0.0
-0.0-0.0+0.1
AFC Telford vs Stalybridge Cel+0.1-0.1-0.0
If winner is:HomeDrawAway
Week of 8/20100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Promoted100.0*Relegated100.0*Average seed
Bradford Park A vs Harrogate Town+1.0-0.4-0.9
+1.9-0.6-1.7
-3.8+0.7+3.6
+1.1-0.3-1.0
Darlington 1883 vs Chorley-0.1+0.0+0.0
-0.1+0.1+0.1
-0.1-0.0+0.1
Nuneaton Town vs Salford City+0.0+0.0-0.1
+0.0+0.1-0.1
+0.2-0.1-0.1
FC Halifax Town vs Tamworth-0.0+0.1-0.0
-0.0+0.1-0.0
FC United of Ma vs Worcester City-0.1+0.1+0.1
-0.2-0.1+0.2
Gloucester City vs Darlington 1883+0.0+0.1-0.0
Kidderminster H vs Stalybridge Cel-0.1+0.1+0.1
-0.1-0.0+0.2
AFC Fylde vs Salford City-0.0+0.1-0.0
Alfreton Town vs AFC Fylde+0.0+0.1-0.0
+0.1-0.0-0.0
Stockport County vs Brackley Town-0.0+0.1-0.0
Chorley vs Boston United-0.1+0.0+0.0
-0.1-0.1+0.2
Gainsborough Tr vs Altrincham+0.0+0.0-0.1
+0.2-0.1-0.1
Curzon Ashton vs AFC Telford-0.0-0.1+0.1

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

Chances based on how well the Bradford Park A finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:ChanceChance will finish season at seed
TPW-D-Lwins titlePromoted12345678910111213141516171819202122RelegatedCount
98-120YesYes100No203,374*
9730-4-599.9%99.9%1000No835*
9629-6-499.899.81000No1,470*
9529-5-5YesYes100No2,656*
9429-4-699.999.91000No4,638*
9328-6-599.999.91000No7,957*
9228-5-699.999.91000No13,612*
9128-4-799.899.91000No22,459*
9027-6-699.799.81000No37,388*
8927-5-799.699.71000No60,053*
8826-7-699.399.59910No94,396*
8726-6-799.099.29910No147,783*
8626-5-898.598.99910No225,686*
8525-7-797.898.39820No340,467*
8425-6-896.797.59730No502,727*
8325-5-995.296.495500No736,195*
8224-7-893.294.993700No1,057,243*
8124-6-990.492.8909000No1,496,918*
8023-8-886.790.08713100No2,084,253*
7923-7-981.986.48217100No2,861,818*
7823-6-1076.082.07622200No3,864,492*
7722-8-968.876.669274000No5,161,249*
7622-7-1060.570.460336100No6,771,228*
7522-6-1151.263.45138101000No8,771,192*
7421-8-1041.255.941411520000No11,198,585*
7321-7-1131.348.531422151000No14,097,772*
7221-6-1222.141.622402792000No17,493,462*
7120-8-1114.335.61435321430000No21,415,380*
7020-7-128.330.88283421710000No25,844,311*
6919-9-114.227.141932281331000No30,746,837*
6819-8-121.823.9211263120820000No36,108,326*
6719-7-130.620.515182927145100000No41,799,647*
6618-9-120.216.2021023292210300000No47,731,289*
6518-8-130.011.1014142628187200000No53,768,134*
6418-7-140.06.3001617272615610000No59,724,814*
6317-9-130.02.70002920272413410000No65,448,830*
6217-8-140.00.9000031021272211410000No70,742,318*
6117-7-15No0.2000141223272110310000No75,417,652*
6016-9-14No0.0000014132327209300000No79,311,485*
5916-8-15No0.0000015142427198200000No82,235,293*
5816-7-16No0.00000151425271872000000.0%84,148,285*
5715-9-15No0.00000016152526177200000.084,863,457*
5615-8-16NoNo0000026162626166100000.084,411,677*
5515-7-17NoNo000002718272515510000.082,809,464*
5414-9-16NoNo000002819282413410000.180,102,698*
5314-8-17NoNo00013102228221130000.476,377,771*
5214-7-18NoNo0000141324282082001.971,803,433*
5113-9-17NoNo000016162728165106.066,534,765*
5013-8-18NoNo0000028203025113014.160,773,976*
4912-10-17NoNo000013122631206126.854,697,490*
4812-9-18NoNo00001619312812242.548,519,450*
4712-8-19NoNo0000311273420558.642,384,301*
4611-10-18NoNo00016203529972.736,483,777*
4511-9-19NoNo000031332361583.530,921,992*
4411-8-20NoNo0001826412390.825,803,839*
4310-10-19NoNo0000420433295.221,200,501*
4210-9-20NoNo000214414297.717,144,322*
4110-8-21NoNo00019385299.013,644,657*
409-10-20NoNo0006326199.610,686,860*
399-9-21NoNo0003277099.88,221,534*
389-8-22NoNo002217799.96,222,946*
378-10-21NoNo0011683100.04,627,873*
368-9-22NoNo0011287100.03,384,741*
358-8-23NoNo00991100.02,429,465*
347-10-22NoNo00694100.01,709,450*
337-9-23NoNo00496100.01,182,675*
327-8-24NoNo0397Yes802,321*
317-7-25NoNo0298Yes534,085*
306-9-24NoNo0199Yes347,120*
296-8-25NoNo0199Yes220,703*
286-7-26NoNo0199Yes137,826*
275-9-25NoNo00100Yes84,512*
265-8-26NoNo00100Yes50,268*
255-7-27NoNo0100Yes28,859*
244-9-26NoNo0100Yes16,499*
234-8-27NoNo0100Yes9,215*
224-7-28NoNo100Yes4,973*
213-9-27NoNo0100Yes2,532*
3-20NoNo100Yes204,936*
Total:2.5%6.0%233444455555555555555413.5%1,791,089,472

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

Points
Chance Will Win Championship