How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did last week and who we should root for this week.   Explain

Week of 8/13100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Promoted100.0*Relegated100.0*Average seed
AFC Fylde 1 Brackley Town 1 -0.6
-0.8
+0.2
-0.2
Tamworth 2 AFC Telford 1 -0.2
-0.2
-0.1
Harrogate Town 2 Altrincham 2 +0.1
+0.1
Kidderminster H 0 Chorley 0 +0.1
+0.1
FC Halifax Town 3 Worcester City 0 -0.1
-0.1
Curzon Ashton 1 Darlington 1883 2 -0.1
-0.1
Alfreton Town 0 Curzon Ashton 1 +0.1
+0.1
+0.1
Darlington 1883 4 Boston United 1 -0.1
-0.1
Gloucester City 4 Gainsborough Tr 1 -0.1
-0.1
Bradford Park A 1 Nuneaton Town 1 -0.1
If winner is:HomeDrawAway
Brackley Town vs Alfreton Town+2.0-0.7-1.8
+3.0-1.0-2.9
-2.1+0.4+2.2
+1.0-0.3-1.0
Boston United vs Tamworth+0.2+0.1-0.2
+0.2+0.1-0.2
+0.2-0.0-0.1
Worcester City vs Gloucester City+0.1+0.1-0.1
+0.1+0.1-0.2
+0.1-0.0-0.1
Stockport County vs FC Halifax Town+0.0+0.1-0.1
+0.0+0.1-0.1
Gainsborough Tr vs Harrogate Town+0.1+0.0-0.1
+0.1+0.1-0.1
+0.1-0.0-0.1
Nuneaton Town vs Kidderminster H+0.1+0.1-0.1
+0.1+0.1-0.1
+0.1-0.0-0.1
Altrincham vs AFC Fylde+0.0+0.1-0.1
+0.0+0.1-0.1
Salford City vs FC United of Ma-0.1+0.1+0.0
-0.1+0.1-0.0
Chorley vs Bradford Park A-0.0+0.1-0.0
AFC Telford vs Stalybridge Cel+0.0-0.1*-0.0
If winner is:HomeDrawAway
Week of 8/20100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Promoted100.0*Relegated100.0*Average seed
Stockport County vs Brackley Town-1.8-0.6+2.3
-2.7-0.8+3.4
+1.9+0.2-2.2
-0.9-0.2+1.1
Darlington 1883 vs Chorley-0.1+0.1+0.1
-0.1+0.1+0.1
-0.0-0.0+0.1
FC Halifax Town vs Tamworth+0.0+0.1-0.1
-0.0+0.2-0.1
Nuneaton Town vs Salford City+0.1+0.1-0.1
+0.1+0.1-0.1
+0.1-0.0-0.1
Gloucester City vs Darlington 1883+0.0+0.1-0.1
+0.0+0.1-0.1
FC United of Ma vs Worcester City-0.1+0.1+0.1
-0.1+0.1+0.1
-0.1-0.0+0.1
Kidderminster H vs Stalybridge Cel-0.1+0.1+0.1
-0.1+0.1+0.1
-0.1-0.0+0.1
Alfreton Town vs AFC Fylde+0.0+0.1-0.1
+0.0+0.1-0.1
AFC Fylde vs Salford City*-0.0+0.1-0.1
-0.0+0.1-0.1
Bradford Park A vs Harrogate Town+0.0+0.1-0.1
+0.0+0.1-0.1
+0.1-0.0-0.0
Chorley vs Boston United-0.1+0.0+0.0
-0.1+0.1+0.1
-0.1-0.1+0.1
Gainsborough Tr vs Altrincham+0.0+0.0-0.1
+0.1+0.1-0.1
+0.1-0.1-0.1
Curzon Ashton vs AFC Telford-0.0-0.1+0.1

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

Chances based on how well the Brackley Town finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:ChanceChance will finish season at seed
TPW-D-Lwins titlePromoted12345678910111213141516171819202122RelegatedCount
101-122YesYes100No203,867*
10030-5-499.9%99.9%1000No1,167*
9930-4-599.999.91000No2,205*
9829-6-499.999.91000No3,975*
9729-5-5100.0100.01000No6,840*
9629-4-6100.0100.01000No11,638*
9528-6-5100.0100.01000No19,752*
9428-5-699.999.91000No32,549*
9328-4-799.999.91000No53,126*
9227-6-699.899.91000No85,447*
9127-5-799.899.81000No133,123*
9026-7-699.799.710000No205,429*
8926-6-799.599.69910No311,685*
8826-5-899.299.49910No464,393*
8725-7-798.899.19910No681,128*
8625-6-898.398.79820No984,854*
8525-5-997.598.19730No1,402,121*
8424-7-896.397.296400No1,961,253*
8324-6-994.796.095500No2,705,911*
8223-8-892.594.493700No3,675,126*
8123-7-989.692.29010000No4,919,639*
8023-6-1085.789.38614100No6,479,453*
7922-8-980.885.68118100No8,423,330*
7822-7-1074.881.175232000No10,795,592*
7722-6-1167.575.667284000No13,622,555*
7621-8-1059.069.3593471000No16,956,763*
7521-7-1149.762.35038101000No20,809,209*
7421-6-1239.954.94042163000No25,161,188*
7320-8-1130.247.630422251000No30,018,525*
7220-7-1221.240.9214028920000No35,306,613*
7119-9-1113.735.11435331541000No40,973,315*
7019-8-127.930.58273422710000No46,882,902*
6919-7-134.026.9418322813410000No52,891,513*
6818-9-121.723.8211263121820000No58,860,585*
6718-8-130.620.31517292715510000No64,612,364*
6618-7-140.216.0021022292310310000No69,941,988*
6517-9-130.010.9014142528198200000No74,692,875*
6417-8-140.06.1001617272615610000No78,661,280*
6317-7-150.02.70002819272413410000No81,734,272*
6216-9-140.00.8000031021272211410000No83,749,705*
6116-8-15No0.2000141122272110310000No84,622,805*
6016-7-16No0.000014132327209300000No84,309,603*
5915-9-15No0.0000015132427198200000No82,879,695*
5815-8-16No0.00000151425271882000000.0%80,331,689*
5715-7-17No0.0000016152526177200000.076,769,238*
5614-9-16NoNo000016162626166100000.072,330,125*
5514-8-17NoNo000027172725155100000.067,196,571*
5413-10-16NoNo00002819282413410000.161,533,802*
5313-9-17NoNo000003102128231130000.555,553,589*
5213-8-18NoNo0000141224292082002.149,419,418*
5112-10-17NoNo000015152728176106.443,336,406*
5012-9-18NoNo000028203026123015.137,431,486*
4912-8-19NoNo000013122531217128.331,855,936*
4811-10-18NoNo00001618312913244.426,709,003*
4711-9-19NoNo0000211263422560.622,044,182*
4611-8-20NoNo000161935301074.517,916,691*
4510-10-19NoNo000031231371684.814,331,201*
4410-9-20NoNo0001725422591.711,284,492*
4310-8-21NoNo0000419433495.88,753,306*
429-10-20NoNo000213414498.06,666,481*
419-9-21NoNo0018365499.15,000,242*
409-8-22NoNo0005316499.63,680,224*
398-10-21NoNo0003257299.92,664,963*
388-9-22NoNo0022078100.01,897,818*
378-8-23NoNo0011584100.01,326,090*
367-10-22NoNo001188100.0909,729*
357-9-23NoNo00892100.0612,882*
347-8-24NoNo0694Yes404,142*
336-10-23NoNo0496Yes260,761*
326-9-24NoNo0397Yes165,372*
316-8-25NoNo0298Yes102,916*
306-7-26NoNo199Yes62,456*
295-9-25NoNo0199Yes37,005*
285-8-26NoNo0100Yes21,380*
275-7-27NoNo0100Yes11,980*
264-9-26NoNo0100Yes6,596*
254-8-27NoNo0100Yes3,657*
244-7-28NoNo0100Yes1,905*
5-23NoNo100Yes204,380*
Total:5.9%11.9%66666665555554444333226.3%1,791,089,472

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

Points
Chance Will Win Championship