How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did last week and who we should root for this week.   Explain

Week of 9/29100.0*Chance wins title100.0*UEFA100.0*Demotion100.0*Average seed
Bournemouth 2 Crystal Palace 1 +1.7
+6.0
-2.8
+1.1
Manchester City 2 Brighton & Hove 0 -0.2
-0.4
-0.2
Chelsea 1 Liverpool 1 +0.2
+0.2
Huddersfield Town 0 Tottenham Hotspur 2 -0.1
-0.4
-0.2
West Ham United 3 Manchester United 1 *+0.1
+0.2
+0.1
Newcastle United 0 Leicester City 2 -0.3
-0.1
Wolverhampton 2 Southampton 0 -0.3
Arsenal 2 Watford 0 *-0.1
If winner is:HomeDrawAway
Week of 10/6100.0*Chance wins title100.0*UEFA100.0*Demotion100.0*Average seed
Watford vs Bournemouth-1.9-0.6+2.3
-6.1-1.6+7.1
+1.8+0.2-1.9
-0.9-0.2+1.0
Southampton vs Chelsea+0.2+0.1-0.3
+0.4+0.2-0.5
+0.1-0.0-0.1
Tottenham Hotspur vs Cardiff City-0.2+0.1+0.2
-0.5+0.2+0.4
-0.2-0.0+0.2
Fulham vs Arsenal+0.1+0.1-0.2
+0.3+0.2-0.5
+0.1-0.0-0.1
Liverpool vs Manchester City-0.1+0.2-0.1
-0.1+0.3-0.1
Leicester City vs Everton-0.1+0.1+0.0
-0.2+0.2+0.1
Crystal Palace vs Wolverhampton+0.1+0.0-0.1
+0.1+0.2-0.3
+0.1-0.0-0.1
Manchester United vs Newcastle United-0.1+0.0+0.0
-0.3+0.1+0.2
-0.1-0.1+0.1
Burnley vs Huddersfield Town-0.2+0.1+0.1
-0.0-0.1+0.1
Brighton & Hove vs West Ham United+0.0+0.1-0.1
+0.0-0.1-0.0

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

Chances based on how well the Bournemouth finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:ChanceChance will finish season at seed
TPW-D-Lwins titleUEFA1234567891011121314151617181920DemotionCount
90-106YesYes100No88,143*
8924-4-399.9%Yes1000No1,079*
8824-3-4YesYes100No2,144*
8723-5-399.9Yes1000No3,980*
8623-4-499.9Yes1000No7,211*
8522-6-399.9Yes1000No12,908*
8422-5-499.8Yes1000No22,710*
8322-4-599.7Yes1000No38,330*
8221-6-499.5Yes1000No63,216*
8121-5-599.3Yes991No103,704*
8021-4-698.9Yes9910No164,628*
7920-6-598.3Yes9820No256,364*
7820-5-697.4Yes9730No392,227*
7719-7-596.0Yes9640No584,153*
7619-6-694.2Yes94600No860,508*
7519-5-791.7Yes92800No1,237,286*
7418-7-688.3Yes881100No1,744,461*
7318-6-783.9100.0%8415100No2,415,397*
7218-5-878.2100.07820200No3,281,192*
7117-7-771.2100.071263000No4,373,181*
7017-6-863.0100.063325000No5,719,648*
6916-8-753.7100.054378100No7,353,645*
6816-7-843.799.94441132000No9,286,477*
6716-6-933.699.734431940000No11,501,743*
6615-8-824.099.024422671000No14,003,941*
6515-7-915.797.5163832122000No16,753,004*
6415-6-109.294.1930351951000No19,668,691*
6314-8-94.787.552235261020000No22,713,780*
6214-7-102.176.521330321751000No25,750,498*
6114-6-110.760.8172132251130000No28,683,769*
6013-8-100.242.2031227311971000No31,401,303*
5913-7-110.024.30161830271441000No33,762,433*
5812-9-100.011.100292230231030000No35,657,654*
5712-8-110.03.7000312252920820000No37,005,078*
5612-7-120.00.90001516272816610000No37,719,085*
5511-9-11No0.10001718292614410000No37,759,280*
5411-8-12No0.00002820292412310000No37,113,077*
5311-7-13No0.000002102229231030000No35,822,182*
5210-9-12No0.000003112429219200000.0%33,941,544*
5110-8-13NoNo00014132529197200000.031,566,875*
5010-7-14NoNo0001515272817610000.028,816,990*
499-9-13NoNo00001617282715510000.125,809,561*
489-8-14NoNo000282029251230000.522,671,591*
479-7-15NoNo000031023302292002.119,532,350*
468-9-14NoNo00014142730186106.916,498,972*
458-8-15NoNo00016183028133016.613,653,042*
448-7-16NoNo00002102432238131.211,064,883*
437-9-15NoNo0001416313115348.78,781,372*
427-8-16NoNo00029243524665.56,828,123*
417-7-17NoNo000041634331279.15,191,140*
406-9-16NoNo00021029401988.73,858,399*
396-8-17NoNo001522432994.42,800,193*
386-7-18NoNo000215424097.51,984,581*
375-9-17NoNo000110385198.91,375,287*
365-8-18NoNo006326299.6928,025*
355-7-19NoNo003267199.9610,030*
344-9-18NoNo0022079100.0390,064*
334-8-19NoNo011585100.0242,034*
324-7-20NoNo001089100.0146,272*
314-6-21NoNo00793100.085,189*
303-8-20NoNo0595Yes48,383*
293-7-21NoNo0397Yes26,329*
283-6-22NoNo0298Yes13,839*
272-8-21NoNo199Yes7,099*
262-7-22NoNo199Yes3,486*
252-6-23NoNo0100Yes1,596*
242-5-24NoNo0100Yes666*
13-23NoNo100Yes87,575*
Total:5.4%26.0%567777776665544332214.6%700,293,600

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

Points
Chance Will Win Championship