How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did last week and who we should root for this week.   Explain

Week of 9/14100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Premier League100.0*Demotion100.0*Average seed
Bolton 1 QPR 2 -1.2
-3.8
+1.8
-1.3
Norwich 1 Middlesbrough 0 +0.2
+0.2
+0.1
Rotherham 1 Derby 0 +0.1
+0.2
+0.1
Swansea 0 Nottingham 0 +0.2
Brentford 2 Wigan 0 -0.1
Birmingham 1 West Brom 1 +0.1
Sheffield Wed 2 Stoke 2 +0.1
If winner is:HomeDrawAway
Middlesbrough vs Bolton-0.4+0.0+1.1
-1.4+0.3+4.0
+1.0-0.4-2.5
-0.6+0.2+1.5
Leeds vs Preston-0.1+0.1+0.1
-0.2+0.2+0.3
-0.1*+0.0+0.3
Ipswich vs Brentford+0.1*+0.0-0.1
+0.2*+0.1-0.2
+0.2-0.1-0.2
Stoke vs Swansea+0.1*+0.1-0.2
+0.1-0.1-0.1
West Brom vs Bristol City*+0.0+0.1-0.1
Sheffield Utd vs Birmingham-0.1*+0.0+0.2
-0.1*+0.0+0.2
Wigan vs Hull City-0.1*+0.1+0.1
-0.1*+0.0+0.2
Derby vs Blackburn-0.1+0.1*+0.0
QPR vs Millwall+0.1-0.1-0.1
Reading vs Norwich+0.1*-0.0-0.1
If winner is:HomeDrawAway
Week of 9/21100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Premier League100.0*Demotion100.0*Average seed
Ipswich vs Bolton-0.4-0.1+0.8
-1.7-0.3+3.0
+1.7-0.2-2.5
-0.8-0.1+1.3
Leeds vs Birmingham-0.1+0.1+0.1
-0.1+0.1+0.2
-0.1*+0.0+0.3
Wigan vs Bristol City+0.0*+0.0-0.1
Derby vs Brentford+0.0*+0.0-0.1
*+0.0+0.1-0.1
Middlesbrough vs Swansea-0.0+0.0+0.1
-0.1+0.1*+0.0
West Brom vs Millwall-0.1+0.1+0.2
-0.1*+0.0+0.2
Sheffield Utd vs Preston-0.1+0.1+0.2
-0.1*+0.0+0.2
Stoke vs Blackburn+0.1-0.1-0.1
QPR vs Norwich+0.1-0.1-0.1

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

Chances based on how well the Bolton finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:ChancePremierChance will finish season at seed
TPW-D-Lwins titleLeague123456789101112131415161718192021222324DemotionCount
96-128YesYes100No589*
9526-6-798.4%Yes982No63*
9425-8-697.4Yes973No116*
9325-7-795.7Yes964No208*
9225-6-896.6Yes973No322*
9124-8-793.1Yes937No523*
9024-7-891.199.9%9190No761*
8924-6-990.099.790100No1,172*
8823-8-884.599.184141No1,754*
8723-7-979.299.079201No2,540*
8622-9-873.597.973243No3,922*
8522-8-966.896.5672940No5,384*
8422-7-1059.694.96034610No7,594*
8321-9-950.591.951391010No10,675*
8221-8-1042.387.742411420No14,319*
8121-7-1133.782.1344220400No19,419*
8020-9-1024.474.6244225710No25,701*
7920-8-1117.166.517383112200No33,773*
7819-10-1010.957.511323417510No42,447*
7719-9-116.448.362535249200No53,336*
7619-8-123.439.83173229144100No66,397*
7518-10-111.633.421026322182000No80,797*
7418-9-120.628.315183127144100No96,928*
7318-8-130.224.2021125302192000No113,939*
7217-10-120.020.2015172827155100No132,695*
7117-9-130.015.70029222923113100No152,352*
7017-8-140.010.7001413252819820000No170,112*
6916-10-13No6.200161727261561000No188,538*
6816-9-14No2.800029202824124100No205,992*
6716-8-15No1.00013112228211031000No220,384*
6615-10-14No0.200141324271992000No231,194*
6515-9-15No0.000151525261772000No240,032*
6414-11-14No0.0000271726251661000No245,515*
6314-10-15NoNo000281826251451000No245,704*
6214-9-16NoNo000391927231341000No241,778*
6113-11-15NoNo001310212722124100No236,409*
6013-10-16NoNo001411222721103100No226,340*
5913-9-17NoNo0001413232720930000.0%212,066*
5812-11-16NoNo001515252618820000.0195,683*
5712-10-17NoNo0002717262516610000.2178,662*
5612-9-18NoNo00029192724134100.8157,738*
5511-11-17NoNo001311222822103003.0138,488*
5411-10-18NoNo00015142628187107.9119,860*
5311-9-19NoNo00027192926133016.8100,747*
5210-11-18NoNo0013112431217129.984,196*
5110-10-19NoNo001617302914345.868,708*
5010-9-20NoNo000211263422561.254,841*
499-11-19NoNo00161934301074.943,214*
489-10-20NoNo0031231371784.833,224*
479-9-21NoNo01725412591.724,911*
468-11-20NoNo00419423596.018,639*
458-10-21NoNo00213404597.813,464*
448-9-22NoNo018365599.09,656*
437-11-21NoNo004316499.76,779*
427-10-22NoNo03247399.94,532*
417-9-23NoNo02188199.93,035*
406-11-22NoNo01158499.91,889*
396-10-23NoNo01089Yes1,241*
386-9-24NoNo0792Yes795*
375-11-23NoNo595Yes529*
365-10-24NoNo397Yes286*
355-9-25NoNo298Yes163*
344-11-24NoNo100Yes95*
334-10-25NoNo298Yes48*
324-9-26NoNo100Yes23*
314-8-27NoNo892Yes12*
11-30NoNo100Yes512*
Total:1.3%7.3%1234455566666655544433215.6%4,793,760

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

Points
Chance Will Win Championship