How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did last week and who we should root for this week.   Explain

Week of 2/20100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Promoted100.0*Average seed
Portsmouth 0 Blackpool 1 +0.1
+1.7
+1.0
Plymouth Argyle 0 Peterborough Un 3 -0.1
+0.0
Lincoln City 2 Swindon Town 2 +0.0
+0.1
Wigan Athletic 1 Lincoln City 2 -0.1
Hull City 0 Ipswich Town 1 +0.1
Peterborough Un 3 AFC Wimbledon 0 -0.1
Doncaster Rovers 3 Hull City 3 +0.1
Oxford United 0 Portsmouth 1 -0.1
Sunderland 2 Fleetwood Town 0 -0.2
Crewe Alexandra 2 Accrington Stan 0 +0.2
Charlton Athletic 1 Burton Albion 2 +0.1
+0.1
Burton Albion 0 Sunderland 3 -0.1
-0.0
Accrington Stan 1 Shrewsbury Town 1 +0.1
Ipswich Town 0 Oxford United 0 +0.1
AFC Wimbledon 1 Gillingham 0 +0.1
Rochdale 0 Plymouth Argyle 0 +0.0
Milton Keynes D 4 Northampton Town 3 -0.1
Swindon Town 2 Crewe Alexandra 1 +0.1
If winner is:HomeDrawAway
Week of 2/27100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Promoted100.0*Average seed
Charlton Athletic vs Blackpool-0.1-0.1+0.2
-1.8-0.6+2.4
-0.8-0.1+0.9
Blackpool vs Crewe Alexandra+0.2-0.1-0.1
+1.9-0.8-1.9
+0.8-0.3-0.9
Lincoln City vs Fleetwood Town-0.0+0.0+0.1
-0.1+0.1+0.2
Plymouth Argyle vs Lincoln City+0.1+0.0-0.0
+0.1+0.1-0.1
-0.1+0.0+0.0
Peterborough Un vs Wigan Athletic-0.0+0.0+0.1
-0.1+0.1+0.2
Oxford United vs Peterborough Un-0.1+0.1*-0.0
-0.1+0.0+0.0
AFC Wimbledon vs Hull City+0.3+0.1-0.2
Ipswich Town vs Doncaster Rovers+0.1+0.1-0.1
Hull City vs Rochdale-0.2+0.1+0.3
-0.0+0.0+0.1
Portsmouth vs Gillingham-0.2+0.1+0.2
Doncaster Rovers vs Portsmouth*-0.0+0.1-0.1
Accrington Stan vs Ipswich Town-0.1+0.1+0.1
Fleetwood Town vs Accrington Stan+0.2+0.1-0.2
Sunderland vs Swindon Town-0.2+0.1+0.3
-0.0+0.0+0.1
Crewe Alexandra vs Sunderland+0.2+0.1-0.2
Milton Keynes D vs Oxford United+0.1+0.1-0.2
Wigan Athletic vs Charlton Athletic+0.1+0.0-0.1
+0.1+0.0-0.1
Northampton Town vs Plymouth Argyle+0.1+0.0-0.1

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

Chances based on how well the Blackpool finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:ChanceChance will finish season at seed
TPW-D-Lwins titlePromoted123456789101112131415161718192021222324RelegatedCount
10020-0-099.8%100.0%10000No448,457
9819-1-098.6Yes991No991
9719-0-197.5Yes982No1,617
9618-2-096.1100.09640No5,302
9518-1-193.499.99370No16,737
9417-3-090.299.890100No31,081*
9317-2-185.399.7851400No85,257
9217-1-278.499.1782010No176,513*
9116-3-170.798.37127200No341,500*
9016-2-260.996.56135400No714,755*
8916-1-350.193.650418000No1,274,039*
8815-3-239.489.2394613100No2,276,294*
8715-2-328.782.6294821200No4,005,083*
8614-4-219.474.21946295000No6,449,368*
8514-3-312.064.412413610100No10,388,396*
8414-2-46.653.973242173000No16,106,651*
8313-4-33.244.332342256100No23,703,008*
8213-3-41.336.41143833122000No34,498,438*
8113-2-50.530.8072938205000No48,255,046*
8012-4-40.127.203203728102000No65,101,232*
7912-3-50.024.801113034184000No86,254,319*
7811-5-40.022.5005213527102000No110,136,362*
7711-4-50.019.4002123033184000No136,618,418*
7611-3-60.015.40016213427102000No165,691,273*
7510-5-50.010.800021229331851000No194,360,130*
7410-4-6No6.50015203428112000No222,039,902*
7310-3-7No3.200021128342051000No247,395,002*
729-5-6No1.3000151833291220000No267,245,355*
719-4-7No0.40002926342271000No281,372,018*
709-3-8No0.1000041632311430000No288,598,180*
698-5-7No0.00001823342492000No287,242,846*
688-4-8No0.0000031329321751000No278,603,176*
677-6-7No0.000016203227112000No262,947,441*
667-5-8No0.00002112632217100No240,880,636*
657-4-9No0.000014173129143000No214,790,510*
646-6-8NoNo000182333248100No186,175,497*
636-5-9NoNo0000314303217400No156,500,645*
626-4-10NoNo000172135279100No127,869,249*
615-6-9NoNo000212303517200No101,321,996*
605-5-10NoNo00016223828600No77,728,216*
595-4-11NoNo000213343812100No57,823,014*
584-6-10NoNo0016264322200No41,606,390*
574-5-11NoNo00021643335000No28,889,270*
564-4-12NoNo00019364211100No19,391,315*
553-6-11NoNo000427471930000.0%12,536,527*
543-5-12NoNo00117462961000.07,775,407*
533-4-13NoNo00093937132000.04,638,894*
522-6-12NoNo00428412151000.02,644,936*
512-5-13NoNo02183830102000.11,437,460*
502-4-14NoNo00930361951000.6744,199*
492-3-15NoNo004203528112002.2363,857*
481-5-14NoNo01112934196106.3167,032*
471-4-15NoNo005193329122014.971,390*
461-3-16NoNo02102633226129.128,512*
450-5-15NoNo0417323114246.810,105*
440-4-16NoNo019263623664.53,301*
430-3-17NoNo041632341479.6949*
420-2-18NoNo724412893.0187
410-1-19NoNo617423694.436
400-0-20NoNo0018375499.2448,379
Total:0.2%5.3%01235791011111097643100000000.0%4,326,232,096

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

Points
Chance Will Win Championship