Billericay Town Title Chances 2012-2013 50/50Tied Basingstoke 3-3, title odds unchanged at 0.00003% 29 points 8-5-15 How are these numbers calculated? Big GamesHow we did last week and who we should root for this week. Explain Week of 3/2 | 100.0* | Chance wins title | 100.0* | Relegated | 100.0* | Average seed | Basingstoke 3 Billericay Town 3 | No | | +1.8 | | -0.2 | | Welling United 3 Maidenhead 2 | | | -0.2 | | | | Staines Town 1 Chelmsford City 3 | | | -1.9 | | +0.1 | | Boreham Wood 4 Tonbridge 2 | | | -0.9 | | +0.1 | | Dover Athletic 2 Bath City 0 | | | -0.3 | | +0.0 | | Eastleigh 1 Eastbourne 0 | | | -0.7 | | | | Bromley 2 Dorchester Town 1 | | | +0.2 | | | | Havant and W 3 Sutton United 0 | | | +1.4 | | -0.1 | | Farnborough 1 AFC Hornchurch 1 | | | -0.5 | | +0.0 | | Truro City 1 Hayes and Y 0 | | | -0.3 | | | | If winner is:HomeDrawAway | Salisbury City vs Basingstoke | | | -1.1-0.1+1.2 | | +0.1+0.0-0.1 | | Eastbourne vs Dorchester Town | | | +1.0-0.1-0.9 | | -0.1+0.0+0.1 | | Havant and W vs Bath City | | | +0.4-0.1-0.3 | | | | Maidenhead vs Dover Athletic | | | +0.3*+0.0-0.3 | | -0.1+0.0+0.0 | | | If winner is:HomeDrawAway | Week of 3/9 | 100.0* | Chance wins title | 100.0* | Relegated | 100.0* | Average seed | Havant and W vs Billericay Town | | | +10.5+1.9-11.8 | | -0.8-0.2+1.0 | | Billericay Town vs Staines Town | | | -13.2+1.4+12.3 | | +1.0-0.2-0.8 | | Chelmsford City vs AFC Hornchurch | | | -2.1-0.6+2.5 | | +0.1+0.0-0.1 | | AFC Hornchurch vs Bath City | | | +2.1-0.5-1.7 | | | | Chelmsford City vs Tonbridge | | | -1.2-0.1+1.2 | | +0.1+0.0-0.1 | | Welling United vs Tonbridge | | | -1.2-0.2+1.3 | | +0.1+0.0-0.1 | | Welling United vs Basingstoke | | | -1.1-0.1+1.2 | | +0.1+0.0-0.1 | | Eastbourne vs Farnborough | | | +1.0-0.1-1.0 | | -0.1+0.0+0.0 | | Basingstoke vs Maidenhead | | | +0.9-0.1-0.9 | | | | Dover Athletic vs Havant and W | | | -0.8-0.1+0.8 | | +0.1+0.0-0.1 | | Maidenhead vs Eastleigh | | | +0.2*+0.0-0.3 | | | | Hayes and Y vs Sutton United | | | +0.2*+0.0-0.2 | | | | Sutton United vs Truro City | | | +0.1*+0.0-0.1 | | | | Bromley vs Truro City | | | +0.1*-0.0-0.1 | | | |
* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know. What IfChances based on how well the Billericay Town finish out the regular season. Explain | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | | If finish: | Chance | | Chance will finish season at seed | | | TP | W | - | D | - | L | wins title | Promoted | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 | 21 | 22 | Relegated | Count | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 71 | | 14 | - | 0 | - | 0 | 0.3 | % | 24.9 | % | 0 | 5 | 38 | 43 | 12 | 1 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 1,536 | | 69 | | 13 | - | 1 | - | 0 | No | 21.7 | | | | 17 | 43 | 28 | 11 | 1 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 120 | | 68 | | 13 | - | 0 | - | 1 | No | 21.3 | | | | 4 | 43 | 38 | 13 | 2 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 160 | | 67 | | 12 | - | 2 | - | 0 | No | 18.3 | | | | 3 | 28 | 42 | 24 | 3 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 520 | | 66 | | 12 | - | 1 | - | 1 | No | 13.9 | | | | 2 | 15 | 40 | 34 | 9 | 1 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 1,574 | | 65 | | 11 | - | 3 | - | 0 | No | 9.2 | | | | 1 | 7 | 30 | 42 | 18 | 3 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 2,706 | * | 64 | | 11 | - | 2 | - | 1 | No | 5.1 | | | | 0 | 3 | 18 | 39 | 30 | 9 | 1 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 6,576 | | 63 | | 11 | - | 1 | - | 2 | No | 2.0 | | | | | 1 | 8 | 29 | 37 | 20 | 5 | 1 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 12,631 | * | 62 | | 10 | - | 3 | - | 1 | No | 0.7 | | | | | 0 | 3 | 16 | 35 | 31 | 13 | 2 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | No | 21,185 | * | 61 | | 10 | - | 2 | - | 2 | No | 0.1 | | | | | 0 | 0 | 6 | 23 | 35 | 25 | 9 | 1 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | No | 40,417 | * | 60 | | 10 | - | 1 | - | 3 | No | 0.0 | | | | | 0 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 27 | 33 | 20 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | No | 64,101 | * | 59 | | 9 | - | 3 | - | 2 | No | No | | | | | 0 | 0 | 3 | 14 | 29 | 31 | 17 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | No | 101,645 | * | 58 | | 9 | - | 2 | - | 3 | No | No | | | | | | 0 | 1 | 5 | 17 | 31 | 29 | 14 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | No | 158,827 | * | 57 | | 8 | - | 4 | - | 2 | No | No | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 19 | 31 | 27 | 12 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | No | 222,868 | * | 56 | | 8 | - | 3 | - | 3 | No | No | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 21 | 31 | 25 | 11 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | | | | No | 313,827 | * | 55 | | 8 | - | 2 | - | 4 | No | No | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 22 | 31 | 24 | 10 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | | | No | 423,314 | * | 54 | | 7 | - | 4 | - | 3 | No | No | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 24 | 31 | 22 | 9 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | | 0.0 | % | 534,618 | * | 53 | | 7 | - | 3 | - | 4 | No | No | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 11 | 25 | 31 | 21 | 8 | 2 | 0 | 0 | | | 0.0 | | 666,568 | * | 52 | | 7 | - | 2 | - | 5 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 11 | 26 | 31 | 21 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 0 | | 0.1 | | 436,418 | | | 6 | - | 5 | - | 3 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 14 | 28 | 30 | 17 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | | 0.0 | | 360,098 | * | 51 | | 6 | - | 4 | - | 4 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 15 | 29 | 29 | 16 | 4 | 1 | 0 | | 0.5 | | 620,656 | | | 7 | - | 1 | - | 6 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 14 | 28 | 30 | 17 | 5 | 1 | 0 | | 0.7 | | 280,323 | * | 50 | | 6 | - | 3 | - | 5 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 18 | 31 | 29 | 14 | 3 | 0 | | 3.0 | | 710,077 | | | 5 | - | 6 | - | 3 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 20 | 32 | 27 | 12 | 2 | 0 | | 2.4 | | 290,014 | * | 49 | | 5 | - | 5 | - | 4 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 24 | 34 | 24 | 7 | 1 | | 8.2 | | 521,709 | | | 6 | - | 2 | - | 6 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 21 | 34 | 26 | 9 | 1 | | 10.1 | | 538,981 | * | 48 | | 5 | - | 4 | - | 5 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 12 | 29 | 35 | 18 | 3 | | 21.4 | | 1,074,228 | * | 47 | | 5 | - | 3 | - | 6 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 18 | 37 | 31 | 9 | 0 | 40.3 | | 710,060 | | | 4 | - | 6 | - | 4 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 20 | 37 | 29 | 8 | 0 | 36.9 | | 349,948 | * | 46 | | 4 | - | 5 | - | 5 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 31 | 40 | 17 | 0 | 56.8 | | 520,207 | | | 5 | - | 2 | - | 7 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 30 | 41 | 19 | 0 | 60.0 | | 477,342 | * | 45 | | 4 | - | 4 | - | 6 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 21 | 44 | 31 | 0 | 74.9 | | 621,571 | | | 5 | - | 1 | - | 8 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 4 | 21 | 44 | 31 | 0 | 75.1 | | 278,898 | * | 44 | | 4 | - | 3 | - | 7 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 1 | 12 | 42 | 45 | 0 | 86.9 | | 785,573 | * | 43 | | 3 | - | 5 | - | 6 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 34 | 59 | 0 | 93.7 | | 347,085 | | | 4 | - | 2 | - | 8 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 5 | 33 | 61 | 0 | 94.4 | | 304,536 | * | 42 | | 3 | - | 4 | - | 7 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 2 | 25 | 72 | 1 | 97.6 | | 515,031 | * | 41 | | 3 | - | 3 | - | 8 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 1 | 16 | 82 | 1 | 99.2 | | 392,663 | * | 40 | | 2 | - | 5 | - | 7 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 10 | 88 | 2 | 99.8 | | 282,267 | * | 39 | | 2 | - | 4 | - | 8 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 5 | 90 | 4 | 99.9 | | 191,944 | * | 38 | | 2 | - | 3 | - | 9 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 3 | 90 | 7 | 100.0 | | 125,011 | * | 37 | | 1 | - | 5 | - | 8 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 1 | 88 | 11 | Yes | 75,466 | * | 36 | | 1 | - | 4 | - | 9 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 84 | 16 | Yes | 42,121 | * | 35 | | 1 | - | 3 | - | 10 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 78 | 21 | Yes | 22,262 | * | 34 | | 1 | - | 2 | - | 11 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 72 | 28 | Yes | 10,869 | * | 33 | | 0 | - | 4 | - | 10 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 65 | 35 | Yes | 4,515 | * | 32 | | 0 | - | 3 | - | 11 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 54 | 46 | Yes | 1,671 | * | 31 | | 0 | - | 2 | - | 12 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 43 | 57 | Yes | 594 | | 30 | | 0 | - | 1 | - | 13 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 32 | 68 | Yes | 107 | | 29 | | 0 | - | 0 | - | 14 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 28 | 72 | Yes | 1,530 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | Total: | 0.0 | % | 0.0 | % | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 9 | 11 | 14 | 17 | 20 | 0 | 37.0 | % | 13,466,968 | |
* Row combines multiple less frequent records. Chance Will Win Championship |