Bath City Title Chances 2012-2013 50/50
Lost to Dover Athletic 0-2, title odds down 0.002 to 0.00007%
39 points 11-6-14
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How are these numbers calculated?
Big Games
How we did last week and who we should root for this week. Explain
| Week of 3/2 | 100.0* | Promoted | 100.0* | Relegated | 100.0* | Average seed |
| Dover Athletic 2 Bath City 0 | -0.4 | +2.2 | -1.1 | |||
| Welling United 3 Maidenhead 2 | +0.1 | |||||
| Staines Town 1 Chelmsford City 3 | -0.1 | -0.4 | ||||
| Boreham Wood 4 Tonbridge 2 | -0.1 | -0.2 | +0.0 | |||
| Eastleigh 1 Eastbourne 0 | -0.2 | |||||
| Havant and W 3 Sutton United 0 | +0.3 | |||||
| Bromley 2 Dorchester Town 1 | +0.1 | |||||
| Farnborough 1 AFC Hornchurch 1 | -0.1 | |||||
| Truro City 1 Hayes and Y 0 | -0.1 | +0.1 | ||||
| Basingstoke 3 Billericay Town 3 | -0.1 | |||||
| If winner is:HomeDrawAway | ||||||
| Havant and W vs Bath City | -0.1-0.1+0.2 | +3.0*-0.0-3.0 | -1.1-0.2+1.3 | |||
| Maidenhead vs Dover Athletic | +0.1*+0.0-0.1 | -0.1+0.0+0.1 | ||||
| Eastbourne vs Dorchester Town | +0.3-0.0-0.3 | |||||
| Salisbury City vs Basingstoke | -0.2*-0.0+0.3 | +0.1+0.0-0.1 | ||||
| If winner is:HomeDrawAway | ||||||
| Week of 3/9 | 100.0* | Promoted | 100.0* | Relegated | 100.0* | Average seed |
| AFC Hornchurch vs Bath City | -0.1-0.1+0.2 | +3.5-0.4-3.2 | -1.1-0.2+1.2 | |||
| Chelmsford City vs AFC Hornchurch | -0.6-0.2+0.7 | |||||
| Chelmsford City vs Tonbridge | -0.3-0.0+0.3 | +0.1+0.0-0.1 | ||||
| Dover Athletic vs Havant and W | -0.2*-0.0+0.2 | +0.1+0.0-0.1 | ||||
| Eastbourne vs Farnborough | +0.3-0.1-0.3 | |||||
| Maidenhead vs Eastleigh | +0.1*+0.0-0.1 | |||||
| Bromley vs Truro City | -0.1+0.0+0.1 | |||||
| Sutton United vs Truro City | -0.1+0.0+0.1 | |||||
| Hayes and Y vs Sutton United | +0.1*-0.0-0.1 | |||||
| Welling United vs Tonbridge | -0.3-0.0+0.4 | +0.1+0.0-0.1 | ||||
| Havant and W vs Billericay Town | -0.3-0.1+0.3 | |||||
| Welling United vs Basingstoke | -0.2-0.0+0.3 | +0.1+0.0-0.1 | ||||
| Basingstoke vs Maidenhead | +0.2*-0.0-0.2 | |||||
| Billericay Town vs Staines Town | *-0.0-0.2+0.1 | |||||
* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.
What If
Chances based on how well the Bath City finish out the regular season. Explain
| 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | |||||||||||||||
| If finish: | Chance | Chance will finish season at seed | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| TP | W | - | D | - | L | wins title | Promoted | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 | 21 | 22 | Relegated | Count | |||||
| 72 | 11 | - | 0 | - | 0 | 0.5 | % | 25.3 | % | 0 | 18 | 50 | 28 | 3 | 0 | No | 1,737 | |||||||||||||||||||
| 70 | 10 | - | 1 | - | 0 | 0.1 | 24.4 | 0 | 3 | 33 | 44 | 18 | 2 | 0 | No | 1,925 | ||||||||||||||||||||
| 69 | 10 | - | 0 | - | 1 | No | 23.1 | 1 | 20 | 43 | 30 | 7 | 0 | No | 2,631 | |||||||||||||||||||||
| 68 | 9 | - | 2 | - | 0 | No | 21.1 | 0 | 11 | 37 | 36 | 14 | 1 | 0 | No | 6,622 | ||||||||||||||||||||
| 67 | 9 | - | 1 | - | 1 | No | 17.6 | 0 | 5 | 25 | 40 | 24 | 5 | 0 | 0 | No | 18,734 | |||||||||||||||||||
| 66 | 8 | - | 3 | - | 0 | No | 12.9 | 2 | 15 | 35 | 34 | 12 | 2 | 0 | No | 27,007 | * | |||||||||||||||||||
| 65 | 8 | - | 2 | - | 1 | No | 8.3 | 0 | 6 | 26 | 39 | 22 | 5 | 1 | 0 | No | 58,587 | |||||||||||||||||||
| 64 | 8 | - | 1 | - | 2 | No | 4.0 | 0 | 2 | 14 | 35 | 33 | 13 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | No | 103,333 | * | ||||||||||||||||
| 63 | 7 | - | 3 | - | 1 | No | 1.6 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 24 | 37 | 24 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 0 | No | 150,103 | * | ||||||||||||||||
| 62 | 7 | - | 2 | - | 2 | No | 0.4 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 12 | 30 | 33 | 17 | 4 | 1 | 0 | No | 253,988 | * | ||||||||||||||||
| 61 | 7 | - | 1 | - | 3 | No | 0.1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 17 | 33 | 29 | 13 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | No | 224,032 | ||||||||||||||||
| 6 | - | 4 | - | 1 | No | 0.1 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 19 | 34 | 28 | 11 | 2 | 0 | 0 | No | 134,479 | ||||||||||||||||||
| 60 | 6 | - | 3 | - | 2 | No | 0.0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 24 | 34 | 24 | 9 | 1 | 0 | 0 | No | 383,198 | ||||||||||||||||
| 7 | - | 0 | - | 4 | No | 0.0 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 22 | 33 | 25 | 10 | 2 | 0 | 0 | No | 93,476 | * | |||||||||||||||||
| 59 | 6 | - | 2 | - | 3 | No | 0.0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 11 | 26 | 33 | 21 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 0 | No | 549,640 | ||||||||||||||||
| 5 | - | 5 | - | 1 | No | 0.0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 13 | 28 | 32 | 18 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | No | 112,033 | |||||||||||||||||
| 58 | 5 | - | 4 | - | 2 | No | No | 0 | 0 | 4 | 15 | 30 | 30 | 15 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | No | 408,574 | * | |||||||||||||||
| 6 | - | 1 | - | 4 | No | No | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 13 | 28 | 31 | 18 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | No | 392,096 | ||||||||||||||||
| 57 | 5 | - | 3 | - | 3 | No | No | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 18 | 31 | 28 | 13 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | No | 768,481 | |||||||||||||||
| 6 | - | 0 | - | 5 | No | No | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 17 | 31 | 29 | 14 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | No | 178,079 | * | |||||||||||||||
| 56 | 5 | - | 2 | - | 4 | No | No | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 20 | 32 | 27 | 12 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | No | 822,151 | |||||||||||||||
| 4 | - | 5 | - | 2 | No | No | 0 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 22 | 33 | 24 | 9 | 2 | 0 | 0 | No | 283,179 | * | ||||||||||||||||
| 55 | 4 | - | 4 | - | 3 | No | No | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 24 | 33 | 23 | 8 | 2 | 0 | 0 | No | 670,037 | |||||||||||||||
| 5 | - | 1 | - | 5 | No | No | 0 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 22 | 32 | 25 | 10 | 2 | 0 | 0 | No | 496,924 | * | ||||||||||||||||
| 54 | 4 | - | 3 | - | 4 | No | No | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 11 | 26 | 32 | 21 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.0 | % | 960,017 | |||||||||||||
| 3 | - | 6 | - | 2 | No | No | 0 | 0 | 3 | 13 | 28 | 31 | 18 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | No | 131,238 | |||||||||||||||||
| 5 | - | 0 | - | 6 | No | No | 0 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 23 | 32 | 24 | 9 | 2 | 0 | 0 | No | 113,200 | * | ||||||||||||||||
| 53 | 4 | - | 2 | - | 5 | No | No | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 12 | 27 | 31 | 19 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0.0 | 824,265 | |||||||||||||||
| 3 | - | 5 | - | 3 | No | No | 0 | 0 | 4 | 15 | 29 | 30 | 16 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0.0 | 381,721 | * | ||||||||||||||||
| 52 | 3 | - | 4 | - | 4 | No | No | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 17 | 30 | 29 | 15 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0.0 | 670,913 | |||||||||||||||
| 4 | - | 1 | - | 6 | No | No | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 14 | 28 | 30 | 17 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0.1 | 432,206 | * | |||||||||||||||
| 51 | 3 | - | 3 | - | 5 | No | No | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 19 | 31 | 28 | 13 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0.3 | 766,946 | ||||||||||||||||
| 2 | - | 6 | - | 3 | No | No | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 20 | 31 | 27 | 12 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0.3 | 212,034 | * | ||||||||||||||||
| 50 | 3 | - | 2 | - | 6 | No | No | 0 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 21 | 32 | 26 | 11 | 2 | 0 | 2.1 | 548,214 | |||||||||||||||||
| 2 | - | 5 | - | 4 | No | No | 0 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 24 | 32 | 23 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 1.4 | 288,361 | * | |||||||||||||||||
| 49 | 2 | - | 4 | - | 5 | No | No | 0 | 0 | 3 | 12 | 27 | 33 | 20 | 5 | 1 | 6.0 | 402,904 | ||||||||||||||||||
| 3 | - | 1 | - | 7 | No | No | 0 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 25 | 33 | 22 | 7 | 1 | 7.6 | 250,686 | * | ||||||||||||||||||
| 48 | 2 | - | 3 | - | 6 | No | No | 0 | 0 | 4 | 15 | 31 | 32 | 15 | 3 | 17.2 | 383,730 | |||||||||||||||||||
| 1 | - | 6 | - | 4 | No | No | 0 | 1 | 4 | 16 | 32 | 31 | 14 | 2 | 16.4 | 106,458 | * | |||||||||||||||||||
| 47 | 2 | - | 2 | - | 7 | No | No | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 21 | 36 | 28 | 8 | 0 | 35.4 | 235,477 | ||||||||||||||||||
| 1 | - | 5 | - | 5 | No | No | 0 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 24 | 36 | 24 | 6 | 30.4 | 114,985 | * | |||||||||||||||||||
| 46 | 1 | - | 4 | - | 6 | No | No | 0 | 0 | 2 | 13 | 33 | 37 | 15 | 0 | 51.7 | 133,602 | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2 | - | 1 | - | 8 | No | No | 0 | 0 | 2 | 11 | 31 | 39 | 17 | 0 | 56.1 | 90,331 | * | |||||||||||||||||||
| 45 | 1 | - | 3 | - | 7 | No | No | 0 | 1 | 5 | 23 | 43 | 29 | 0 | 71.7 | 136,140 | * | |||||||||||||||||||
| 44 | 1 | - | 2 | - | 8 | No | No | 0 | 0 | 2 | 13 | 41 | 45 | 0 | 85.4 | 77,732 | * | |||||||||||||||||||
| 43 | 0 | - | 4 | - | 7 | No | No | 0 | 0 | 6 | 33 | 60 | 0 | 93.5 | 37,951 | * | ||||||||||||||||||||
| 42 | 0 | - | 3 | - | 8 | No | No | 0 | 2 | 24 | 73 | 1 | 97.6 | 16,496 | * | |||||||||||||||||||||
| 41 | 0 | - | 2 | - | 9 | No | No | 1 | 15 | 83 | 1 | 99.2 | 6,625 | |||||||||||||||||||||||
| 40 | 0 | - | 1 | - | 10 | No | No | 0 | 8 | 88 | 3 | 99.6 | 1,931 | |||||||||||||||||||||||
| 39 | 0 | - | 0 | - | 11 | No | No | 0 | 3 | 93 | 4 | 99.9 | 1,759 | |||||||||||||||||||||||
| Total: | 0.0 | % | 0.2 | % | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 5 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 10 | 10 | 9 | 8 | 7 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 4.5 | % | 13,466,968 | |||||||
* Row combines multiple less frequent records.
Points
Chance Will Win Championship
Updated Sunday, 2023-10-22 12:13 AM Eastern (GMT-04:00)
