Basingstoke Town Title Chances 2012-2013 50/50
Tied Billericay Town 3-3, title odds unchanged at 0%
36 points 9-9-13
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How are these numbers calculated?
Big Games
How we did last week and who we should root for this week. Explain
| Week of 3/2 | 100.0* | Promoted | 100.0* | Relegated | 100.0* | Average seed |
| Basingstoke 3 Billericay Town 3 | -0.0 | +0.3 | -0.2 | |||
| Welling United 3 Maidenhead 2 | -0.1 | +0.1 | ||||
| Boreham Wood 4 Tonbridge 2 | -0.6 | +0.1 | ||||
| Dover Athletic 2 Bath City 0 | -0.2 | +0.1 | ||||
| Staines Town 1 Chelmsford City 3 | -1.2 | +0.1 | ||||
| Havant and W 3 Sutton United 0 | +0.9 | -0.1 | ||||
| Eastleigh 1 Eastbourne 0 | -0.5 | +0.0 | ||||
| Bromley 2 Dorchester Town 1 | +0.1 | |||||
| Farnborough 1 AFC Hornchurch 1 | -0.4 | |||||
| Truro City 1 Hayes and Y 0 | -0.2 | +0.1 | ||||
| If winner is:HomeDrawAway | ||||||
| Salisbury City vs Basingstoke | +6.6+0.7-7.1 | -0.9-0.3+1.1 | ||||
| Maidenhead vs Dover Athletic | +0.1*+0.0-0.2 | -0.1+0.0+0.1 | ||||
| Eastbourne vs Dorchester Town | +0.7-0.1-0.6 | -0.1+0.0+0.0 | ||||
| Havant and W vs Bath City | +0.3*-0.0-0.2 | |||||
| If winner is:HomeDrawAway | ||||||
| Week of 3/9 | 100.0* | Promoted | 100.0* | Relegated | 100.0* | Average seed |
| Basingstoke vs Maidenhead | -7.3+0.6+6.8 | +1.2-0.3-1.0 | ||||
| Welling United vs Basingstoke | +6.6+0.7-7.1 | -0.9-0.3+1.1 | ||||
| Dover Athletic vs Havant and W | -0.5*-0.0+0.5 | +0.1+0.0-0.1 | ||||
| Chelmsford City vs Tonbridge | -0.7-0.1+0.8 | +0.1+0.0-0.1 | ||||
| Chelmsford City vs AFC Hornchurch | -1.5-0.4+1.7 | +0.1+0.0-0.1 | ||||
| Bromley vs Truro City | -0.1+0.0+0.0 | |||||
| Eastbourne vs Farnborough | +0.7-0.1-0.6 | -0.1+0.0+0.1 | ||||
| Maidenhead vs Eastleigh | +0.1*-0.0-0.1 | -0.1+0.0+0.0 | ||||
| Sutton United vs Truro City | +0.1*+0.0-0.1 | -0.1+0.0+0.0 | ||||
| AFC Hornchurch vs Bath City | +1.5-0.3-1.2 | |||||
| Welling United vs Tonbridge | -0.7-0.1+0.8 | +0.1+0.0-0.1 | ||||
| Havant and W vs Billericay Town | -0.6-0.2+0.8 | |||||
| Billericay Town vs Staines Town | -0.1-0.4+0.4 | |||||
| Hayes and Y vs Sutton United | +0.2*+0.0-0.2 | |||||
* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.
What If
Chances based on how well the Basingstoke finish out the regular season. Explain
| 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | |||||||||||||||
| If finish: | Chance | Chance will finish season at seed | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| TP | W | - | D | - | L | wins title | Promoted | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 | 21 | 22 | Relegated | Count | |||||
| 69 | 11 | - | 0 | - | 0 | No | 23.9 | % | 3 | 25 | 45 | 22 | 4 | 0 | No | 1,767 | ||||||||||||||||||||
| 67 | 10 | - | 1 | - | 0 | No | 19.4 | 0 | 7 | 32 | 39 | 19 | 3 | 0 | No | 1,823 | ||||||||||||||||||||
| 66 | 10 | - | 0 | - | 1 | No | 14.9 | 3 | 18 | 39 | 31 | 9 | 1 | 0 | No | 2,648 | ||||||||||||||||||||
| 65 | 9 | - | 2 | - | 0 | No | 10.4 | 1 | 9 | 31 | 38 | 17 | 4 | 0 | 0 | No | 6,646 | |||||||||||||||||||
| 64 | 9 | - | 1 | - | 1 | No | 5.2 | 0 | 3 | 18 | 38 | 30 | 10 | 2 | 0 | 0 | No | 18,585 | ||||||||||||||||||
| 63 | 8 | - | 3 | - | 0 | No | 2.2 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 28 | 36 | 21 | 6 | 1 | 0 | No | 27,162 | * | |||||||||||||||||
| 62 | 8 | - | 2 | - | 1 | No | 0.7 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 14 | 32 | 32 | 15 | 4 | 0 | 0 | No | 58,973 | |||||||||||||||||
| 61 | 8 | - | 1 | - | 2 | No | 0.1 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 19 | 33 | 27 | 12 | 2 | 0 | 0 | No | 103,994 | * | ||||||||||||||||
| 60 | 7 | - | 3 | - | 1 | No | 0.0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 24 | 33 | 23 | 8 | 2 | 0 | 0 | No | 149,881 | * | |||||||||||||||
| 59 | 7 | - | 2 | - | 2 | No | 0.0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 11 | 26 | 32 | 20 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | No | 254,534 | * | ||||||||||||||
| 58 | 7 | - | 1 | - | 3 | No | No | 0 | 0 | 3 | 13 | 28 | 31 | 19 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | No | 224,699 | ||||||||||||||||
| 6 | - | 4 | - | 1 | No | No | 0 | 0 | 4 | 15 | 30 | 30 | 16 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | No | 133,888 | |||||||||||||||||
| 57 | 6 | - | 3 | - | 2 | No | No | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 17 | 30 | 29 | 15 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | No | 382,959 | ||||||||||||||
| 7 | - | 0 | - | 4 | No | No | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 15 | 29 | 30 | 16 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | No | 93,762 | * | |||||||||||||||
| 56 | 6 | - | 2 | - | 3 | No | No | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 18 | 31 | 28 | 13 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | No | 548,257 | |||||||||||||||
| 5 | - | 5 | - | 1 | No | No | 0 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 20 | 32 | 26 | 11 | 3 | 0 | 0 | No | 111,845 | |||||||||||||||||
| 55 | 5 | - | 4 | - | 2 | No | No | 0 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 22 | 32 | 25 | 10 | 2 | 0 | 0 | No | 408,954 | * | |||||||||||||||
| 6 | - | 1 | - | 4 | No | No | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 19 | 31 | 27 | 12 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | No | 392,513 | ||||||||||||||||
| 54 | 5 | - | 3 | - | 3 | No | No | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 23 | 32 | 24 | 9 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.0 | % | 768,483 | ||||||||||||
| 6 | - | 0 | - | 5 | No | No | 0 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 22 | 32 | 24 | 10 | 2 | 0 | 0 | No | 178,135 | * | ||||||||||||||||
| 53 | 5 | - | 2 | - | 4 | No | No | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 25 | 32 | 22 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0.0 | 825,062 | |||||||||||||||
| 4 | - | 5 | - | 2 | No | No | 0 | 0 | 3 | 12 | 27 | 32 | 20 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0.0 | 282,635 | * | ||||||||||||||||
| 52 | 4 | - | 4 | - | 3 | No | No | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 14 | 28 | 31 | 18 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0.0 | 670,534 | |||||||||||||||
| 5 | - | 1 | - | 5 | No | No | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 12 | 27 | 32 | 19 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0.0 | 498,059 | * | |||||||||||||||
| 51 | 4 | - | 3 | - | 4 | No | No | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 16 | 31 | 30 | 15 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0.3 | 959,381 | ||||||||||||||||
| 3 | - | 6 | - | 2 | No | No | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 18 | 32 | 28 | 13 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0.2 | 131,203 | |||||||||||||||||
| 5 | - | 0 | - | 6 | No | No | 0 | 0 | 4 | 14 | 30 | 31 | 16 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0.4 | 113,422 | * | |||||||||||||||||
| 50 | 4 | - | 2 | - | 5 | No | No | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 20 | 33 | 27 | 11 | 2 | 0 | 1.9 | 822,461 | |||||||||||||||||
| 3 | - | 5 | - | 3 | No | No | 0 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 22 | 34 | 25 | 9 | 1 | 0 | 1.4 | 382,238 | * | |||||||||||||||||
| 49 | 3 | - | 4 | - | 4 | No | No | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 27 | 34 | 20 | 5 | 0 | 5.7 | 669,979 | |||||||||||||||||
| 4 | - | 1 | - | 6 | No | No | 0 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 26 | 35 | 22 | 6 | 1 | 6.6 | 432,873 | * | ||||||||||||||||||
| 48 | 3 | - | 3 | - | 5 | No | No | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 15 | 33 | 32 | 14 | 2 | 0 | 15.5 | 766,365 | |||||||||||||||||
| 2 | - | 6 | - | 3 | No | No | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 17 | 34 | 31 | 12 | 2 | 13.4 | 131,021 | |||||||||||||||||||
| 4 | - | 0 | - | 7 | No | No | 0 | 0 | 3 | 14 | 32 | 33 | 15 | 2 | 0 | 17.1 | 81,129 | * | ||||||||||||||||||
| 47 | 3 | - | 2 | - | 6 | No | No | 0 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 24 | 38 | 25 | 6 | 0 | 31.2 | 548,203 | ||||||||||||||||||
| 2 | - | 5 | - | 4 | No | No | 0 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 25 | 37 | 24 | 5 | 0 | 28.8 | 287,931 | * | ||||||||||||||||||
| 46 | 2 | - | 4 | - | 5 | No | No | 0 | 0 | 2 | 15 | 35 | 35 | 12 | 0 | 47.5 | 401,520 | |||||||||||||||||||
| 3 | - | 1 | - | 7 | No | No | 0 | 0 | 2 | 14 | 35 | 36 | 13 | 0 | 49.4 | 251,368 | * | |||||||||||||||||||
| 45 | 2 | - | 3 | - | 6 | No | No | 0 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 27 | 43 | 23 | 0 | 65.7 | 488,705 | * | ||||||||||||||||||
| 44 | 2 | - | 2 | - | 7 | No | No | 0 | 0 | 3 | 17 | 43 | 37 | 0 | 80.5 | 235,528 | ||||||||||||||||||||
| 1 | - | 5 | - | 5 | No | No | 0 | 0 | 3 | 18 | 44 | 35 | 0 | 78.8 | 114,652 | * | ||||||||||||||||||||
| 43 | 1 | - | 4 | - | 6 | No | No | 0 | 1 | 10 | 39 | 50 | 0 | 89.3 | 134,806 | |||||||||||||||||||||
| 2 | - | 1 | - | 8 | No | No | 0 | 1 | 9 | 38 | 52 | 0 | 90.1 | 90,851 | * | |||||||||||||||||||||
| 42 | 1 | - | 3 | - | 7 | No | No | 0 | 0 | 5 | 30 | 64 | 1 | 95.1 | 135,908 | * | ||||||||||||||||||||
| 41 | 1 | - | 2 | - | 8 | No | No | 0 | 2 | 21 | 75 | 2 | 98.0 | 77,726 | * | |||||||||||||||||||||
| 40 | 0 | - | 4 | - | 7 | No | No | 0 | 1 | 14 | 82 | 4 | 99.3 | 37,351 | * | |||||||||||||||||||||
| 39 | 0 | - | 3 | - | 8 | No | No | 0 | 8 | 86 | 6 | 99.8 | 16,393 | * | ||||||||||||||||||||||
| 38 | 0 | - | 2 | - | 9 | No | No | 0 | 5 | 85 | 11 | 99.9 | 6,576 | |||||||||||||||||||||||
| 37 | 0 | - | 1 | - | 10 | No | No | 2 | 81 | 17 | Yes | 1,821 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 36 | 0 | - | 0 | - | 11 | No | No | 0 | 75 | 24 | Yes | 1,759 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Total: | No | 0.0 | % | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 7 | 8 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 12 | 11 | 9 | 5 | 0 | 14.0 | % | 13,466,968 | |||||||||
* Row combines multiple less frequent records.
Points
Chance Will Win Championship
Updated Sunday, 2023-10-22 12:13 AM Eastern (GMT-04:00)
