Barwell Title Chances 2012-2013 50/50Tied Chippenham Town 1-1, title odds down 0.2 to 2.3% 53 points 15-8-8 How are these numbers calculated? Big GamesHow we did last week and who we should root for this week. Explain Week of 3/2 | 100.0* | Chance wins title | 100.0* | Promoted | 100.0* | Relegated | 100.0* | Average seed | Gosport Borough 3 Leamington 0 | +0.9 | | +0.2 | | | | -0.1 | | Chippenham Town 1 Barwell 1 | -0.6 | | -1.0 | | *No | | -0.1 | | Hemel Hempstead 4 Bedford Town 3 | -0.2 | | -0.1 | | | | | | Stourbridge 3 Bideford 1 | -0.1 | | -0.4 | | | | -0.1 | | Chesham United 1 Cambridge City 0 | | | +0.2 | | | | +0.0 | | Hitchin Town 1 Weymouth 2 | | | -0.4 | | | | -0.1 | | Bashley 1 Arlesey Town 0 | | | +0.2 | | | | +0.0 | | St Albans City 0 St Neots Town 1 | | | +0.2 | | | | | | | If winner is:HomeDrawAway | Week of 3/9 | 100.0* | Chance wins title | 100.0* | Promoted | 100.0* | Relegated | 100.0* | Average seed | Barwell vs St Albans City | +1.6-0.6-1.3 | | +4.6-1.0-4.0 | | | | +0.9-0.1-0.8 | | Leamington vs Bashley | -0.9+0.1+0.8 | | -0.7+0.1+0.6 | | | | | | Bedworth United vs Hemel Hempstead | +0.2+0.1-0.3 | | +0.4+0.1-0.4 | | | | +0.1+0.0-0.1 | | St Neots Town vs Stourbridge | +0.1+0.1-0.2 | | +0.4+0.1-0.4 | | | | +0.1+0.0-0.1 | | Cambridge City vs Gosport Borough | +0.0+0.1-0.1 | | *+0.0+0.3-0.2 | | | | | | Weymouth vs Banbury United | | | -0.5+0.2+0.4 | | | | -0.1+0.0+0.1 | | Bedford Town vs Chesham United | | | -0.2+0.2+0.0 | | | | | | Arlesey Town vs Chippenham Town | | | -0.2+0.1+0.2 | | | | -0.1+0.0+0.0 | |
* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know. What IfChances based on how well the Barwell finish out the regular season. Explain | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | | If finish: | Chance | | Chance will finish season at seed | | | TP | W | - | D | - | L | wins title | Promoted | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 | 21 | 22 | Relegated | Count | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 86 | | 11 | - | 0 | - | 0 | 93.9 | % | 95.4 | % | 94 | 6 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 2,448 | | 84 | | 10 | - | 1 | - | 0 | 85.8 | | 89.4 | | 86 | 14 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 3,047 | | 83 | | 10 | - | 0 | - | 1 | 78.8 | | 84.1 | | 79 | 21 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 4,998 | | 82 | | 9 | - | 2 | - | 0 | 73.6 | | 80.2 | | 74 | 26 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 9,555 | | 81 | | 9 | - | 1 | - | 1 | 64.7 | | 73.5 | | 65 | 35 | 1 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 30,541 | | 80 | | 9 | - | 0 | - | 2 | 55.4 | | 66.6 | | 55 | 43 | 2 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 42,016 | * | 79 | | 8 | - | 2 | - | 1 | 45.7 | | 59.3 | | 46 | 51 | 3 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 83,899 | | 78 | | 8 | - | 1 | - | 2 | 35.3 | | 51.5 | | 35 | 57 | 7 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 159,162 | * | 77 | | 7 | - | 3 | - | 1 | 25.8 | | 44.3 | | 26 | 61 | 12 | 1 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 212,697 | * | 76 | | 7 | - | 2 | - | 2 | 17.3 | | 37.9 | | 17 | 61 | 20 | 2 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 354,165 | * | 75 | | 7 | - | 1 | - | 3 | 10.2 | | 32.6 | | 10 | 54 | 30 | 5 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 367,523 | | | 6 | - | 4 | - | 1 | 11.0 | | 33.2 | | 11 | 57 | 28 | 4 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 145,673 | | 74 | | 6 | - | 3 | - | 2 | 5.7 | | 29.2 | | 6 | 46 | 38 | 10 | 1 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 478,485 | | | 7 | - | 0 | - | 4 | 5.1 | | 28.9 | | 5 | 44 | 39 | 11 | 1 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 161,658 | * | 73 | | 6 | - | 2 | - | 3 | 2.5 | | 26.9 | | 3 | 34 | 43 | 18 | 2 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 892,203 | * | 72 | | 6 | - | 1 | - | 4 | 0.9 | | 25.5 | | 1 | 20 | 43 | 29 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 644,885 | | | 5 | - | 4 | - | 2 | 1.0 | | 25.7 | | 1 | 23 | 44 | 27 | 6 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 442,908 | * | 71 | | 5 | - | 3 | - | 3 | 0.3 | | 24.8 | | 0 | 12 | 37 | 36 | 13 | 2 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 958,028 | | | 6 | - | 0 | - | 5 | 0.3 | | 24.7 | | 0 | 11 | 36 | 37 | 14 | 2 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 265,158 | * | 70 | | 5 | - | 2 | - | 4 | 0.1 | | 23.5 | | 0 | 5 | 25 | 40 | 24 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 1,178,310 | | | 4 | - | 5 | - | 2 | 0.1 | | 23.8 | | 0 | 6 | 27 | 40 | 21 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 268,123 | * | 69 | | 5 | - | 1 | - | 5 | 0.0 | | 21.0 | | 0 | 2 | 13 | 35 | 34 | 14 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 771,326 | | | 4 | - | 4 | - | 3 | 0.0 | | 21.6 | | 0 | 2 | 15 | 37 | 32 | 12 | 2 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 748,992 | * | 68 | | 4 | - | 3 | - | 4 | 0.0 | | 17.4 | | 0 | 0 | 6 | 25 | 37 | 23 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 1,195,892 | | | 5 | - | 0 | - | 6 | No | 16.6 | | | 0 | 5 | 23 | 37 | 25 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 211,185 | | | 3 | - | 6 | - | 2 | 0.0 | | 18.3 | | 0 | 1 | 8 | 28 | 37 | 21 | 5 | 1 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 109,082 | * | 67 | | 4 | - | 2 | - | 5 | 0.0 | | 11.8 | | 0 | 0 | 2 | 13 | 32 | 33 | 16 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 1,175,997 | | | 3 | - | 5 | - | 3 | No | 12.9 | | | 0 | 2 | 15 | 34 | 32 | 14 | 3 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 361,129 | * | 66 | | 3 | - | 4 | - | 4 | No | 7.1 | | | 0 | 0 | 6 | 22 | 35 | 26 | 9 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | No | 729,860 | | | 4 | - | 1 | - | 6 | No | 6.3 | | | 0 | 0 | 5 | 20 | 34 | 27 | 11 | 2 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 672,607 | * | 65 | | 3 | - | 3 | - | 5 | No | 2.9 | | | 0 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 27 | 33 | 20 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | No | 957,558 | | | 4 | - | 0 | - | 7 | No | 2.4 | | | 0 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 25 | 34 | 22 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | No | 150,555 | | | 2 | - | 6 | - | 3 | No | 3.5 | | | 0 | 0 | 2 | 12 | 29 | 33 | 18 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | No | 109,583 | * | 64 | | 3 | - | 2 | - | 6 | No | 0.8 | | | | 0 | 0 | 3 | 14 | 30 | 31 | 16 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | No | 786,013 | | | 2 | - | 5 | - | 4 | No | 1.1 | | | | 0 | 0 | 4 | 17 | 31 | 30 | 14 | 3 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | No | 271,716 | * | 63 | | 2 | - | 4 | - | 5 | No | 0.2 | | | | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 20 | 32 | 27 | 11 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | No | 437,989 | | | 3 | - | 1 | - | 7 | No | 0.2 | | | | | 0 | 1 | 5 | 18 | 32 | 28 | 13 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | No | 386,348 | * | 62 | | 2 | - | 3 | - | 6 | No | 0.0 | | | | | 0 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 23 | 32 | 24 | 9 | 2 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | No | 479,139 | | | 3 | - | 0 | - | 8 | No | 0.0 | | | | | 0 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 23 | 32 | 24 | 9 | 2 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | No | 130,570 | * | 61 | | 2 | - | 2 | - | 7 | No | 0.0 | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 26 | 32 | 21 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | No | 336,660 | | | 1 | - | 5 | - | 5 | No | 0.0 | | | | | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 12 | 27 | 32 | 19 | 6 | 1 | 0 | | | | | | | | | No | 108,675 | * | 60 | | 1 | - | 4 | - | 6 | No | No | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 4 | 14 | 29 | 31 | 17 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | No | 145,257 | | | 2 | - | 1 | - | 8 | No | No | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 3 | 13 | 28 | 32 | 18 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | No | 142,308 | * | 59 | | 1 | - | 3 | - | 7 | No | No | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 17 | 31 | 29 | 14 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | No | 171,700 | * | 58 | | 1 | - | 2 | - | 8 | No | No | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 20 | 32 | 27 | 11 | 2 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | No | 102,686 | * | 57 | | 1 | - | 1 | - | 9 | No | No | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 23 | 33 | 24 | 9 | 1 | 0 | 0 | | | | | No | 51,534 | * | 56 | | 0 | - | 3 | - | 8 | No | No | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 11 | 27 | 33 | 20 | 6 | 1 | 0 | | | | | No | 22,311 | * | 55 | | 0 | - | 2 | - | 9 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 3 | 15 | 31 | 31 | 15 | 3 | 0 | | | | | No | 9,391 | | 54 | | 0 | - | 1 | - | 10 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | 1 | 6 | 18 | 33 | 29 | 12 | 2 | 0 | | | | No | 3,046 | | 53 | | 0 | - | 0 | - | 11 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 24 | 37 | 23 | 8 | 1 | | | | No | 2,397 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | Total: | 2.3 | % | 16.3 | % | 2 | 11 | 14 | 16 | 15 | 12 | 10 | 7 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | | | No | 17,486,988 | |
* Row combines multiple less frequent records. Chance Will Win Championship |