How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did last week and who we should root for this week.   Explain

Week of 9/14100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Promoted100.0*Relegated100.0*Average seed
Barnet 1 Lincoln City FC 1 -1.3
-1.7
+0.1
-0.3
Cambridge United 1 Gateshead FC 0 -0.7
-0.6
Dartford 1 Nuneaton Town 2 -0.6
-0.6
Aldershot Town 3 Barnet 3 -0.5
-0.5
-0.1
Nuneaton Town 2 Hereford United 1 -0.4
-0.4
Alfreton Town 1 Cambridge United 1 +0.2
+0.2
Welling United 5 Forest Green Ro 2 +0.2
+0.2
Forest Green Ro 2 FC Halifax Town 1 -0.2
-0.2
Tamworth 0 Kidderminster H 3 -0.1
-0.2
Macclesfield Town 0 Alfreton Town 1 -0.1
-0.2
Kidderminster H 2 Hyde FC 1 -0.1
-0.2
Lincoln City FC 1 Southport 0 -0.1
-0.1
Salisbury City 1 Braintree Town 1 +0.1
+0.1
Salisbury City 3 Chester FC 1 *-0.1
-0.1
FC Halifax Town 4 Grimsby Town 0 +0.1
+0.1
Luton Town 3 Dartford 0 -0.1
If winner is:HomeDrawAway
Week of 9/21100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Promoted100.0*Relegated100.0*Average seed
Alfreton Town vs Barnet-1.6-0.4+2.3
-2.7-0.6+3.8
+0.3-0.0-0.4
-0.7-0.1+1.0
Barnet vs Macclesfield Town+1.5-1.0-1.9
+2.5-1.6-3.4
-0.3+0.1+0.5
+0.7-0.4-1.0
Nuneaton Town vs Salisbury City-0.4+0.2+0.4
-0.3+0.2+0.3
Cambridge United vs Forest Green Ro-0.4+0.3+0.4
-0.3+0.2+0.2
Cambridge United vs Nuneaton Town-0.1+0.3-0.1
-0.1+0.3-0.1
Hereford United vs Lincoln City FC+0.1+0.1-0.2
+0.2+0.1-0.3
Dartford vs Kidderminster H+0.1+0.1-0.1
+0.3+0.1-0.3
Luton Town vs Lincoln City FC+0.0+0.1-0.1
+0.0+0.1-0.1
Forest Green Ro vs Tamworth-0.1+0.1+0.1
-0.2+0.1+0.2
Kidderminster H vs FC Halifax Town-0.1+0.1+0.1
-0.1+0.1+0.1
Woking vs Luton Town+0.1+0.0-0.1
+0.2+0.1-0.2
FC Halifax Town vs Hereford United-0.1+0.0+0.0
-0.1+0.1+0.1
Southport vs Alfreton Town+0.0+0.0-0.1
+0.1+0.1-0.1
Salisbury City vs Hyde FC-0.1+0.1+0.2
Hyde FC vs Welling United+0.1+0.0-0.1
Grimsby Town vs Dartford-0.1+0.1+0.1
Chester FC vs Grimsby Town+0.1+0.0-0.1
Welling United vs Aldershot Town-0.1+0.1+0.1
Aldershot Town vs Wrexham+0.0+0.0-0.1
Braintree Town vs Southport-0.0+0.1-0.0

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

Chances based on how well the Barnet finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:ChanceChance will finish season at seed
TPW-D-Lwins titlePromoted123456789101112131415161718192021222324RelegatedCount
104-127YesYes100No32,879*
10326-9-299.8%99.8%1000No501*
101-102YesYes100No107*
10024-12-199.299.2991No127
9924-11-299.299.4991No1,259*
9823-13-199.599.5991No186
9722-15-0YesYes100No6
9622-14-197.197.6973No209
9521-16-0YesYes100No9
9421-15-194.695.7955No185
9320-17-0YesYes100No8
9220-16-193.394.79361No150
9119-18-081.881.88218No11*
9019-17-190.492.29010No115*
8918-19-080.080.08020No5
8818-18-187.790.18812No81
8717-20-0YesYes100No2
8617-19-156.165.956412No41
8527-8-299.399.3991No280*
8416-20-153.162.5533413No32
8215-21-115.430.8156223No13
8014-22-1No25.05050No4
7914-21-214.435.6143431146No90
7813-23-1NoNo5050No2
7713-22-22.424.4220393252No41
7512-23-2No25.085042No12
7411-25-1NoNo100No1
7311-24-2No25.05050No4
7211-23-3No9.84102531246No51
7125-10-299.999.91000No876
7010-24-3No9.19274599No11
6931-0-6YesYes100No1
6829-5-398.498.49811No122*
6729-4-488.288.28833203No204*
6628-6-3YesYes100No346*
658-25-4NoNo1325252513No8
6427-7-399.999.91000No884
637-26-4NoNo100No1
6226-8-399.699.61000000No1,993*
617-24-6NoNo52126211883No39
5919-16-279.884.680181000No1,419*
5723-12-298.198.6982No1,567
565-25-7NoNo145729No7
554-27-6NoNo100No1
544-26-7NoNo5050No2
5321-14-293.995.49460000No1,795*
5120-15-283.487.583133100.1%1,874*
4718-17-267.575.668294No958
4613-21-31.825.22153031184000.3326*
452-23-12NoNo100Yes1
4412-22-3No17.96192621227No106
4316-19-237.653.13848122No388
4216-18-331.748.7324619400No3,106
4015-19-316.237.11640331010No1,586
391-20-16NoNo100Yes1
3814-20-36.629.6731352061000.1783*
3714-19-43.927.4420362810200No5,027
355-24-8NoNo72027132013No15
3312-21-40.117.10382730191030No883
324-24-9NoNo99918369918.211
3111-22-4No8.4282531201221No322
300-14-23NoNo100Yes1
2910-23-4No1.92622242910231111.0105*
2810-22-5No0.612921282110200111100No625*
276-23-8NoNo1102131221014No134
269-23-5NoNo161633309311No143
248-24-5NoNo221132252322No44
238-23-6NoNo141425271682001001.9212*
214-23-10NoNo4725292111435.728
207-23-7NoNo13101732211031No173
183-23-11NoNo1331446656.316
173-22-12NoNo55324114590.922
160-0-37NoNo100Yes32,619
145-23-9NoNo162625281311.472
122-20-15NoNo176122Yes18
6-9YesYes100No347*
528-5-499.999.91000No805*
428-4-599.499.4990000.3954*
327-6-499.799.81000No2,865*
227-5-599.799.81000No3,739*
126-7-499.699.71000No8,994*
026-6-599.199.39910000.115,991*
-126-5-698.899.199100.025,216*
-225-7-598.498.8981000.141,118*
-325-6-697.898.4982000.062,402*
-424-8-596.997.79730000.098,026*
-524-7-695.896.9964000.0145,770*
-624-6-794.195.694600000.0214,245*
-723-8-692.094.0928000.0308,447*
-823-7-789.392.089100000.0440,552*
-923-6-886.089.586141000.0613,833*
-1022-8-781.986.482171000.0844,232*
-1122-7-876.982.6772220000.01,135,535*
-1221-9-771.078.37126300No1,504,999*
-1321-8-864.573.464314000No1,965,036*
-1421-7-957.167.857366000No2,519,993*
-1520-9-849.261.9494010100No3,177,828*
-1620-8-941.055.74144142000No3,948,311*
-1720-7-1032.849.63345193000No4,822,213*
-1819-9-925.143.82544255100No5,798,480*
-1919-8-1018.138.618413091000No6,872,548*
-2018-10-912.334.1123635143000No8,010,195*
-2118-9-107.730.6830372051000No9,190,030*
-2218-8-114.427.8422372692000No10,383,689*
-2317-10-102.325.621533311541000No11,539,369*
-2417-9-111.023.51926332171000No12,645,298*
-2517-8-120.421.0051932271341000No13,634,525*
-2616-10-110.117.80211263120720000No14,469,057*
-2716-9-120.013.801619302614410000No15,129,749*
-2816-8-130.09.500311242921920000No15,558,856*
-2915-10-120.05.7001516272716610000No15,768,065*
-3015-9-130.02.80002921282312410000No15,729,492*
-3114-11-120.01.10001413242820920000No15,442,235*
-3214-10-13No0.40001616262616610000No14,913,582*
-3314-9-14No0.100002819272413410000No14,203,595*
-3413-11-13No0.000013112227211031000No13,302,261*
-3513-10-14No0.000001514242719820000No12,257,422*
-3613-9-15No0.000001616262616610000No11,117,283*
-3712-11-14No0.0000002819272414510000No9,922,721*
-3812-10-15NoNo00013102128221131000No8,711,781*
-3912-9-16NoNo00014122328209200000.07,525,404*
-4011-11-15NoNo00001515262717720000.06,392,963*
-4111-10-16NoNo00002718272514510000.05,345,126*
-4211-9-17NoNo00003102128231130000.04,383,481*
-4310-11-16NoNo0001413252820820000.23,538,022*
-4410-10-17NoNo000161727271551001.02,808,446*
-4510-9-18NoNo000292129241130003.12,187,663*
-469-11-17NoNo000141326291971008.01,675,113*
-479-10-18NoNo000171929261330016.81,258,719*
-489-9-19NoNo000031125312171029.5929,118*
-498-11-18NoNo00016183028143044.8674,236*
-508-10-19NoNo0003112632216160.4477,593*
-518-9-20NoNo001619322912274.2333,359*
-527-11-19NoNo000312293418384.6227,096*
-537-10-20NoNo0017233626691.7151,881*
-547-9-21NoNo0041635341195.999,015*
-556-11-20NoNo00021131401798.163,855*
-566-10-21NoNo01625432499.240,145*
-576-9-22NoNo00319443399.724,330*
-585-11-21NoNo00214434299.914,331*
-595-10-22NoNo0194050100.08,525*
-605-9-23NoNo0063459100.04,754*
-614-11-22NoNo033067Yes2,768*
-624-10-23NoNo022276Yes1,366*
-634-9-24NoNo21881Yes758*
-644-8-25NoNo11485Yes355*
-653-10-24NoNo991Yes168*
-663-9-25NoNo1189Yes73*
-673-8-26NoNo694Yes50*
-683-7-27NoNo1090Yes20*
-692-9-26NoNo100Yes9*
Total:5.5%14.2%5899988766544332211100000.7%314,765,712

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

Points  (Full Screen)
Chance Will Win Championship  (Full Screen)