How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did last week and who we should root for this week.   Explain

Week of 9/14100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Promoted100.0*Relegated100.0*Average seed
Barnet 1 Lincoln City FC 1 -1.3
-1.7
+0.1
-0.3
Cambridge United 1 Gateshead FC 0 -0.7
-0.6
Dartford 1 Nuneaton Town 2 -0.6
-0.6
Aldershot Town 3 Barnet 3 -0.5
-0.5
-0.1
Nuneaton Town 2 Hereford United 1 -0.4
-0.4
Alfreton Town 1 Cambridge United 1 +0.2
+0.2
Welling United 5 Forest Green Ro 2 +0.2
+0.2
Forest Green Ro 2 FC Halifax Town 1 -0.2
-0.2
Tamworth 0 Kidderminster H 3 -0.1
-0.2
Macclesfield Town 0 Alfreton Town 1 -0.1
-0.2
Kidderminster H 2 Hyde FC 1 -0.1
-0.2
Lincoln City FC 1 Southport 0 -0.1
-0.1
Salisbury City 1 Braintree Town 1 +0.1
+0.1
Salisbury City 3 Chester FC 1 *-0.1
-0.1
FC Halifax Town 4 Grimsby Town 0 +0.1
+0.1
Luton Town 3 Dartford 0 -0.1
If winner is:HomeDrawAway
Week of 9/21100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Promoted100.0*Relegated100.0*Average seed
Alfreton Town vs Barnet-1.6-0.4+2.3
-2.7-0.6+3.8
+0.3-0.0-0.4
-0.7-0.1+1.0
Barnet vs Macclesfield Town+1.5-1.0-1.9
+2.5-1.6-3.4
-0.3+0.1+0.5
+0.7-0.4-1.0
Nuneaton Town vs Salisbury City-0.4+0.2+0.4
-0.3+0.2+0.3
Cambridge United vs Forest Green Ro-0.4+0.3+0.4
-0.3+0.2+0.2
Cambridge United vs Nuneaton Town-0.1+0.3-0.1
-0.1+0.3-0.1
Hereford United vs Lincoln City FC+0.1+0.1-0.2
+0.2+0.1-0.3
Dartford vs Kidderminster H+0.1+0.1-0.1
+0.3+0.1-0.3
Luton Town vs Lincoln City FC+0.0+0.1-0.1
+0.0+0.1-0.1
Forest Green Ro vs Tamworth-0.1+0.1+0.1
-0.2+0.1+0.2
Kidderminster H vs FC Halifax Town-0.1+0.1+0.1
-0.1+0.1+0.1
Woking vs Luton Town+0.1+0.0-0.1
+0.2+0.1-0.2
FC Halifax Town vs Hereford United-0.1+0.0+0.0
-0.1+0.1+0.1
Southport vs Alfreton Town+0.0+0.0-0.1
+0.1+0.1-0.1
Salisbury City vs Hyde FC-0.1+0.1+0.2
Hyde FC vs Welling United+0.1+0.0-0.1
Grimsby Town vs Dartford-0.1+0.1+0.1
Chester FC vs Grimsby Town+0.1+0.0-0.1
Welling United vs Aldershot Town-0.1+0.1+0.1
Aldershot Town vs Wrexham+0.0+0.0-0.1
Braintree Town vs Southport-0.0+0.1-0.0

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

Chances based on how well the Barnet finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:ChanceChance will finish season at seed
TPW-D-Lwins titlePromoted123456789101112131415161718192021222324RelegatedCount
104-127YesYes100No32,879*
10326-9-299.8%99.8%1000No501*
101-102YesYes100No111*
10024-12-199.299.2991No131*
9924-11-299.299.4991No1,259*
9823-13-199.599.5991No186
9722-15-0YesYes100No6
9622-14-197.197.6973No209
9527-8-299.799.71000No288*
9421-15-194.695.7955No185
9320-17-0YesYes100No8
9220-16-193.394.79361No150
9119-18-071.471.47129No7
9019-17-190.191.99010No111
8918-19-080.080.08020No5
8818-18-187.790.18812No81
8717-20-0YesYes100No2
8617-19-156.165.956412No41
8516-21-0NoNo100No1
8416-20-153.162.5533413No32
8215-21-115.430.8156223No13
8125-10-299.999.91000No876
8014-22-1No25.05050No4
7914-21-215.436.3153431145No91*
7829-5-398.498.49811No122*
7729-4-481.986.08247610No221*
7628-6-3YesYes100No346*
7512-23-2No25.085042No12
7427-7-399.899.810000No885*
7311-24-2No25.05050No4
7226-8-397.497.6970001110No2,039*
7010-24-3No9.19274599No11
6919-16-280.285.180191No1,411
689-25-3NoNo5050No2
6723-12-296.797.197200000No1,591*
658-25-4NoNo1325252513No8
6321-14-294.195.594600No1,792*
627-25-5NoNo402040No5
6120-15-281.785.78213310010000No1,912*
596-25-6NoNo381350No8
5718-17-267.575.668294No958
5613-21-31.824.721430311740011No332*
554-27-6NoNo100No1
5412-22-3No17.6619262021611No108*
5316-19-237.252.63748112100No392*
5216-18-331.748.7324619400No3,106
513-26-8NoNo100Yes1
5015-19-316.237.11640331010No1,586
4814-20-36.629.77313520610No782
4714-19-43.927.4420362810200No5,027
462-24-11NoNo100Yes1
455-24-8NoNo6192513191366.3%16*
4312-21-40.117.10382730191030No883
424-24-9NoNo99918369918.211
4111-22-4No8.4282531201221No322
3910-23-4No1.926222428102311111.9106*
3810-22-5No0.61292127211020011110000.2626*
376-23-8NoNo1102131221014No134
369-23-5NoNo161633309311No143
348-24-5NoNo221132252322No44
338-23-6NoNo141425271682001001.9212*
314-23-10NoNo4725292111435.728
307-23-7NoNo1310173221103110.6174*
283-23-11NoNo1331446656.316
273-22-12NoNo55324114590.922
245-23-9NoNo162625281311.472
222-20-15NoNo176122Yes18
17-19YesYes100No154*
160-0-370.60.619999.432,812*
1528-5-499.999.91000No805*
1428-4-599.499.4990000.3954*
1327-6-499.799.81000No2,865*
1227-5-599.799.81000No3,739*
1126-7-499.699.71000No8,994*
1026-6-599.199.39910000.115,991*
926-5-698.899.199100.025,216*
825-7-598.498.8981000.141,118*
725-6-697.898.4982000.062,402*
624-8-596.997.79730000.098,026*
524-7-695.896.9964000.0145,770*
424-6-794.195.694600000.0214,245*
323-8-692.094.0928000.0308,447*
223-7-789.392.089100000.0440,552*
123-6-886.089.586141000.0613,833*
022-8-781.986.482171000.0844,232*
-122-7-876.982.6772220000.01,135,535*
-221-9-771.078.37126300No1,504,999*
-321-8-864.573.464314000No1,965,036*
-421-7-957.167.857366000No2,519,993*
-520-9-849.261.9494010100No3,177,828*
-620-8-941.055.74144142000No3,948,311*
-720-7-1032.849.63345193000No4,822,213*
-819-9-925.143.82544255100No5,798,480*
-919-8-1018.138.618413091000No6,872,548*
-1018-10-912.334.1123635143000No8,010,195*
-1118-9-107.730.6830372051000No9,190,030*
-1218-8-114.427.8422372692000No10,383,689*
-1317-10-102.325.621533311541000No11,539,369*
-1417-9-111.023.51926332171000No12,645,298*
-1517-8-120.421.0051932271341000No13,634,525*
-1616-10-110.117.80211263120720000No14,469,057*
-1716-9-120.013.801619302614410000No15,129,749*
-1816-8-130.09.500311242921920000No15,558,856*
-1915-10-120.05.7001516272716610000No15,768,065*
-2015-9-130.02.80002921282312410000No15,729,492*
-2114-11-120.01.10001413242820920000No15,442,235*
-2214-10-13No0.40001616262616610000No14,913,582*
-2314-9-14No0.100002819272413410000No14,203,595*
-2413-11-13No0.000013112227211031000No13,302,261*
-2513-10-14No0.000001514242719820000No12,257,422*
-2613-9-15No0.000001616262616610000No11,117,283*
-2712-11-14No0.0000002819272414510000No9,922,721*
-2812-10-15NoNo00013102128221131000No8,711,781*
-2912-9-16NoNo00014122328209200000.07,525,404*
-3011-11-15NoNo00001515262717720000.06,392,963*
-3111-10-16NoNo00002718272514510000.05,345,126*
-3211-9-17NoNo00003102128231130000.04,383,481*
-3310-11-16NoNo0001413252820820000.23,538,022*
-3410-10-17NoNo000161727271551001.02,808,446*
-3510-9-18NoNo000292129241130003.12,187,663*
-369-11-17NoNo000141326291971008.01,675,113*
-379-10-18NoNo000171929261330016.81,258,719*
-389-9-19NoNo000031125312171029.5929,118*
-398-11-18NoNo00016183028143044.8674,236*
-408-10-19NoNo0003112632216160.4477,593*
-418-9-20NoNo001619322912274.2333,359*
-427-11-19NoNo000312293418384.6227,096*
-437-10-20NoNo0017233626691.7151,881*
-447-9-21NoNo0041635341195.999,015*
-456-11-20NoNo00021131401798.163,855*
-466-10-21NoNo01625432499.240,145*
-476-9-22NoNo00319443399.724,330*
-485-11-21NoNo00214434299.914,331*
-495-10-22NoNo0194050100.08,525*
-505-9-23NoNo0063459100.04,754*
-514-11-22NoNo033067Yes2,768*
-524-10-23NoNo022276Yes1,366*
-534-9-24NoNo21881Yes758*
-544-8-25NoNo11485Yes355*
-553-10-24NoNo991Yes168*
-563-9-25NoNo1189Yes73*
-573-8-26NoNo694Yes50*
-583-7-27NoNo1090Yes20*
-592-9-26NoNo100Yes9*
Total:5.5%14.2%5899988766544332211100000.7%314,765,712

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

Points
Chance Will Win Championship