Aston Villa Title Chances 50/50

Beat Sheffield Utd 5-0, title odds up 2.7 to 8.5%
46 points   14-4-5

How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did last week and who we should root for this week.   Explain

Week of 12/9100.0*Chance wins title100.0*UEFA CL100.0*Average seed
Aston Villa 1 Arsenal 0 +6.9
+9.9
+0.7
Crystal Palace 1 Liverpool 2 -1.4
-0.9
-0.1
Luton 1 Manchester City 2 -0.7
-1.3
-0.1
Manchester Utd 0 Bournemouth 3 +0.2
+0.8
+0.0
Tottenham 4 Newcastle 1 -0.1
-0.3
Fulham 5 West Ham 0 +0.1
+0.4
Brighton 1 Burnley 1 +0.1
+0.2
+0.0
Sheffield Utd 1 Brentford 0 +0.2
Everton 2 Chelsea 0 +0.2
Wolves 1 Nottingham 1 +0.1
Week of 12/16100.0*Chance wins title100.0*UEFA CL100.0*Average seed
Brentford 1 Aston Villa 2 +6.3
+8.6
+0.6
Arsenal 2 Brighton 0 -1.7
-0.3
Liverpool 0 Manchester Utd 0 +0.6
+0.4
Nottingham 0 Tottenham 2 -0.5
-1.3
-0.1
Manchester City 2 Crystal Palace 2 +0.3
+0.3
+0.0
Newcastle 3 Fulham 0 -0.2
-0.6
West Ham 3 Wolves 0 -0.1
-0.5
Chelsea 2 Sheffield Utd 0 -0.2
If winner is:HomeDrawAway
Bournemouth vs Luton-0.1+0.0+0.0

What If

Chances based on how well the Aston Villa finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:ChanceChance will finish season at seed
TPW-D-Lwins titleUEFA CL1234567891011121314151617181920ChampionshipCount
9115-0-0YesYes100No615,389
8914-1-0100.0%Yes1000No10,757
8814-0-199.9Yes1000No13,243
8713-2-099.9Yes1000No61,754
8613-1-199.9Yes1000No152,747
8512-3-099.7Yes10000No311,710*
8412-2-199.3Yes9910No807,533
8312-1-298.7Yes9910No1,527,610*
8211-3-197.7Yes9820No3,040,746*
8111-2-295.9Yes96400No5,811,874*
8010-4-193.2Yes93700No9,868,398*
7910-3-289.1Yes891100No17,030,206*
7810-2-383.4100.0%8316100No27,424,569*
779-4-276.0100.07622200No41,870,400*
769-3-366.7100.06729400No62,845,155*
759-2-456.0100.056377000No89,034,176*
748-4-344.5100.0444212100No121,607,233*
738-3-433.0100.0334619200No161,281,452*
727-5-322.799.8234527500No203,836,597*
717-4-414.299.514403510100No249,281,613*
707-3-57.998.68334117100No294,571,004*
696-5-44.196.84244326300No203,049,579
7-2-63.696.24224327400No130,349,087*
686-4-51.792.621540367000No365,095,452*
676-3-60.584.617324515100No202,993,617
5-6-40.787.119344312100No182,307,442*
665-5-50.276.3042448222000No243,668,889
6-2-70.274.8042348232000No146,565,986*
655-4-60.061.8011446335000No248,690,458
4-7-40.164.0021647324000No132,830,158*
645-3-70.045.30073843101000No174,011,245
4-6-50.049.6019404191000No184,695,391*
634-5-60.032.60032948172000No323,260,356*
624-4-70.019.90011948275000No280,297,441*
613-6-60.010.5000104136111000No232,800,796*
603-5-70.04.800053141194000No184,658,429*
593-4-8No1.800219402991000No140,119,445*
583-3-9No0.501103236184000No101,263,211*
572-5-8No0.1004213627102000No69,277,439*
562-4-9No0.0001112934195100No44,958,594*
552-3-10No0.0004183329122000No27,475,436*
541-5-9No0.000192534237100No15,644,378*
531-4-10NoNo003143032164000No8,291,764*
521-3-11NoNo001620342810200No4,046,095*
510-5-10NoNo000292635226100No1,772,587*
500-4-11NoNo0003143232153000No690,919*
490-3-12NoNo00152135279100No233,485*
480-2-13NoNo0019273520510No61,856
470-1-14NoNo0031533321420No10,729
460-0-15NoNo01622362691000.0%615,410
Total:8.5%64.3%814192419942100000000000.0%4,940,739,840

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

Points
Chance Will Win Championship