How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did last week and who we should root for this week.   Explain

Week of 9/15100.0*Chance wins title100.0*UEFA100.0*Demotion100.0*Average seed
Newcastle United 1 Arsenal 2 +1.6
+5.5
-4.0
+1.1
Chelsea 4 Cardiff City 1 -0.2
-0.3
-0.2
Manchester City 3 Fulham 0 -0.1
-0.2
*-0.1
Watford 1 Manchester United 2 +0.1
*+0.1
+0.2
Tottenham Hotspur 1 Liverpool 2 -0.1
Wolverhampton 1 Burnley 0 -0.1
-0.2
-0.1
Bournemouth 4 Leicester City 2 *-0.1
If winner is:HomeDrawAway
Everton vs West Ham United-0.2*-0.0+0.2
If winner is:HomeDrawAway
Week of 9/22100.0*Chance wins title100.0*UEFA100.0*Demotion100.0*Average seed
Arsenal vs Everton+2.0-0.6-1.6
+6.4-1.5-5.4
-2.9+0.3+2.7
+1.1-0.2-0.9
West Ham United vs Chelsea+0.2+0.1-0.3
+0.3*+0.1-0.4
+0.3*-0.1-0.3
Liverpool vs Southampton-0.3+0.2+0.2
-0.4+0.3+0.2
-0.1*-0.1+0.2
Cardiff City vs Manchester City+0.2+0.1-0.2
+0.3*+0.1-0.4
+0.2*-0.0-0.2
Fulham vs Watford+0.1*+0.1-0.2
+0.2+0.2-0.4
+0.2*-0.0-0.1
Burnley vs Bournemouth+0.1*+0.0-0.1
+0.2*+0.1-0.3
+0.2*-0.1-0.1
Brighton & Hove vs Tottenham Hotspur+0.1*-0.0-0.1
Leicester City vs Huddersfield Town-0.2*+0.1+0.1
Manchester United vs Wolverhampton*+0.0+0.2-0.1
Crystal Palace vs Newcastle United*-0.1-0.1+0.2

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

Chances based on how well the Arsenal finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:ChanceChance will finish season at seed
TPW-D-Lwins titleUEFA1234567891011121314151617181920DemotionCount
83-108YesYes100No551*
8223-4-699.4%Yes991No165*
8122-6-599.7Yes1000No303*
8022-5-699.3Yes991No429*
7921-7-598.5Yes982No713*
7821-6-696.0Yes964No1,045*
7721-5-797.4Yes9730No1,577*
7620-7-694.6Yes9550No2,320*
7520-6-792.3Yes9270No3,214*
7419-8-689.4Yes89100No4,654*
7319-7-785.7Yes861410No6,321*
7219-6-880.3Yes801910No8,847*
7118-8-775.0Yes752220No11,765*
7018-7-866.6Yes672940No15,491*
6918-6-958.0100.0%5835710No20,042*
6817-8-848.299.948401110No25,477*
6717-7-937.799.8384316300No31,745*
6617-6-1028.099.4284322610No39,060*
6516-8-919.298.219402910200No47,381*
6416-7-1011.895.812333516400No55,970*
6315-9-96.590.562635238100No65,860*
6215-8-103.181.23163230154100No75,296*
6115-7-111.166.41924322392000No84,901*
6014-9-100.348.204152929175100No94,433*
5914-8-110.129.2017203025123100No103,542*
5814-7-120.014.2003112430219200No111,599*
5713-9-110.05.000141427281861000No117,968*
5613-8-120.01.200016172827155100No122,578*
5513-7-13No0.20027192925134100No124,899*
5412-9-12No0.000029212924123100No126,217*
5312-8-13No0.00003102229231030000No123,966*
5212-7-14NoNo00031123292292000No120,396*
5111-9-13NoNo0014122429208200No114,727*
5011-8-14NoNo00141326281972000.0%107,834*
4911-7-15NoNo00151527281761000.199,648*
4810-9-14NoNo0016172827154100.790,623*
4710-8-15NoNo0028213025113003.180,452*
4610-7-16NoNo003112530218109.369,927*
459-9-15NoNo0015152830165021.360,287*
449-8-16NoNo002821322610137.450,365*
438-10-15NoNo00313293318455.141,980*
428-9-16NoNo0016213529871.533,913*
418-8-17NoNo0031333371483.626,848*
408-7-18NoNo01727422391.321,094*
397-9-17NoNo00419433395.915,926*
387-8-18NoNo0213414598.311,922*
376-10-17NoNo018385499.48,614*
366-9-18NoNo05306599.86,201*
356-8-19NoNo02247499.94,347*
346-7-20NoNo011979100.02,943*
335-9-19NoNo11486Yes2,014*
325-8-20NoNo01189Yes1,238*
315-7-21NoNo0694Yes846*
304-9-20NoNo397Yes512*
294-8-21NoNo496Yes288*
284-7-22NoNo298Yes168*
273-9-21NoNo397Yes98*
263-8-22NoNo100Yes32*
253-7-23NoNo496Yes26*
9-24NoNo100Yes322*
Total:4.8%22.9%566666666665554443327.7%2,401,920

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

Points
Chance Will Win Championship