How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did last week and who we should root for this week.   Explain

Week of 12/8100.0*Chance wins title100.0*UEFA100.0*Average seed
Arsenal 1 Huddersfield Town 0 +2.0
+9.1
+0.6
Chelsea 2 Manchester City 0 +0.7
-1.4
Bournemouth 0 Liverpool 4 -0.7
-0.1
Leicester City 0 Tottenham Hotspur 2 -0.3
-1.4
Everton 2 Watford 2 +0.3
Manchester United 4 Fulham 1 -0.8
Burnley 1 Brighton & Hove 0 +0.4
Newcastle United 1 Wolverhampton 2 -0.2
West Ham United 3 Crystal Palace 2 -0.2
If winner is:HomeDrawAway
Week of 12/15100.0*Chance wins title100.0*UEFA100.0*Average seed
Southampton vs Arsenal-2.3-0.9+2.9
-7.8-2.0+9.1
-0.5-0.1+0.5
Liverpool vs Manchester United-1.0+0.3+0.9
+0.1+0.4-0.3
Manchester City vs Everton-0.9+0.2+0.8
-0.3+0.3+0.1
Tottenham Hotspur vs Burnley-0.4+0.1+0.3
-1.8+0.3+1.5
-0.1+0.0+0.1
Brighton & Hove vs Chelsea+0.2+0.1-0.3
+1.5+0.6-1.8
Crystal Palace vs Leicester City+0.3+0.1-0.4
Wolverhampton vs Bournemouth*+0.0+0.3-0.2
Fulham vs West Ham United+0.2+0.1-0.3
Watford vs Cardiff City-0.3+0.1+0.2

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

Chances based on how well the Arsenal finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:ChanceChance will finish season at seed
TPW-D-Lwins titleUEFA1234567891011121314151617181920DemotionCount
94-100YesYes100No45,062*
9319-2-199.7%Yes1000No329
9219-1-299.9Yes1000No680*
9118-3-199.9Yes1000No1,547*
9018-2-299.9Yes1000No3,548*
8917-4-199.7Yes1000No7,063*
8817-3-299.5Yes1000No14,005*
8717-2-399.0Yes991No27,205*
8616-4-298.5Yes9910No49,081*
8516-3-397.7Yes9820No88,529*
8416-2-496.4Yes9640No150,530*
8315-4-394.7Yes9550No249,652*
8215-3-492.1Yes92800No405,095*
8114-5-388.8Yes891100No633,564*
8014-4-484.6Yes851510No961,829*
7914-3-579.1100.0%7920100No1,430,210*
7813-5-472.6100.07325200No2,052,888*
7713-4-565.0100.06531400No2,880,942*
7613-3-656.5100.05637600No3,933,676*
7512-5-547.4100.0474210100No5,229,274*
7412-4-638.2100.0384615100No6,777,345*
7311-6-529.399.9294721300No8,573,959*
7211-5-621.399.8214628500No10,553,390*
7111-4-714.699.41542348100No12,696,307*
7010-6-69.398.69364014100No14,890,573*
6910-5-75.497.15294320300No17,025,213*
6810-4-82.994.232143286000No19,021,503*
679-6-71.489.4114393510100No20,706,920*
669-5-80.682.018334016200No22,005,445*
659-4-90.271.7042543244000No22,821,728*
648-6-80.158.80216403381000No23,057,184*
638-5-90.044.301103439142000No22,736,390*
627-7-80.030.10052542235000No21,852,876*
617-6-90.018.1002163931102000No20,459,972*
607-5-100.09.4001931361840000No18,662,442*
596-7-9No4.100421372792000No16,585,624*
586-6-10No1.50011231331751000No14,336,421*
576-5-11No0.40006213426112000No12,057,992*
565-7-10No0.10021228321961000No9,855,517*
555-6-11No0.00015183128144000No7,823,565*
545-5-12No0.0002923312392000No6,028,871*
534-7-11No0.00004142730186100No4,503,912*
524-6-12NoNo0016183027133000No3,255,169*
514-5-13NoNo0002923312492000No2,277,247*
503-7-12NoNo0003122731196100No1,537,517*
493-6-13NoNo00151730291440000.0%999,899*
483-5-14NoNo000172132251020000.0627,075*
473-4-15NoNo0021126322061000.1375,919*
462-6-14NoNo00141630301540000.5215,531*
452-5-15NoNo0017223325102002.0118,352*
442-4-16NoNo003122732196106.561,624*
431-6-15NoNo015183229133015.730,288*
421-5-16NoNo0292534236129.913,848*
411-4-17NoNo0415333113247.25,838*
401-3-18NoNo0018243824566.52,382*
390-5-17NoNo041733351178.6845*
380-4-18NoNo1830382390.8273*
370-3-19NoNo1317413895.690*
360-2-20NoNo83162Yes13
350-1-21NoNo5050Yes6
340-0-22NoNo004286899.944,866
Total:6.7%54.1%71217181611753211000000000.0%360,764,640

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

Points
Chance Will Win Championship