Arlesey Town Title Chances 2012-2013 50/50Lost to Bashley 0-1, title odds down 0.09 to 0.08% 41 points 12-5-11 How are these numbers calculated? Big GamesHow we did last week and who we should root for this week. Explain Week of 3/2 | 100.0* | Chance wins title | 100.0* | Promoted | 100.0* | Relegated | 100.0* | Average seed | Bashley 1 Arlesey Town 0 | -0.1 | | -1.6 | | +0.1 | | -1.0 | | Gosport Borough 3 Leamington 0 | +0.1 | | -0.2 | | | | -0.1 | | Hemel Hempstead 4 Bedford Town 3 | | | | | | | +0.0 | | Stourbridge 3 Bideford 1 | | | -0.2 | | | | | | Chesham United 1 Cambridge City 0 | | | +0.1 | | | | | | Hitchin Town 1 Weymouth 2 | | | -0.2 | | | | -0.1 | | St Albans City 0 St Neots Town 1 | | | +0.1 | | | | | | Kettering Town 1 AFC Totton 1 | | | | | | | +0.0 | | Banbury United 1 Bedworth United 1 | | | | | | | +0.0 | | | If winner is:HomeDrawAway | Week of 3/9 | 100.0* | Chance wins title | 100.0* | Promoted | 100.0* | Relegated | 100.0* | Average seed | Arlesey Town vs Chippenham Town | +0.1-0.0-0.1 | | +1.4-0.5-1.1 | | -0.1-0.0+0.1 | | +1.1-0.2-0.9 | | Leamington vs Bashley | | | | | | | +0.0+0.0-0.1 | | Bedworth United vs Hemel Hempstead | | | +0.1*+0.0-0.1 | | | | | | St Neots Town vs Stourbridge | | | +0.1+0.0-0.1 | | | | -0.1+0.0+0.0 | | Barwell vs St Albans City | | | -0.1+0.1+0.1 | | | | +0.0+0.0-0.1 | | Weymouth vs Banbury United | | | -0.2+0.1+0.1 | | | | | | Cambridge City vs Gosport Borough | | | +0.0+0.1-0.1 | | | | | | Bedford Town vs Chesham United | | | -0.1+0.1+0.0 | | | | | | Kettering Town vs Bideford | | | | | | | +0.0+0.0-0.1 | | AFC Totton vs Redditch United | | | | | | | -0.1+0.0+0.0 | |
* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know. What IfChances based on how well the Arlesey Town finish out the regular season. Explain | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | | If finish: | Chance | | Chance will finish season at seed | | | TP | W | - | D | - | L | wins title | Promoted | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 | 21 | 22 | Relegated | Count | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 83 | | 14 | - | 0 | - | 0 | 78.8 | % | 84.1 | % | 79 | 21 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 2,009 | | 81 | | 13 | - | 1 | - | 0 | 66.8 | | 74.9 | | 67 | 32 | 1 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 211 | | 80 | | 13 | - | 0 | - | 1 | 52.9 | | 64.7 | | 53 | 45 | 2 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 374 | | 79 | | 12 | - | 2 | - | 0 | 46.8 | | 60.0 | | 47 | 50 | 3 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 886 | | 78 | | 12 | - | 1 | - | 1 | 35.0 | | 51.2 | | 35 | 57 | 8 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 2,798 | | 77 | | 12 | - | 0 | - | 2 | 26.2 | | 44.6 | | 26 | 61 | 12 | 1 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 4,519 | * | 76 | | 11 | - | 2 | - | 1 | 17.5 | | 38.1 | | 17 | 61 | 20 | 2 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 10,404 | | 75 | | 11 | - | 1 | - | 2 | 10.5 | | 32.9 | | 10 | 56 | 30 | 4 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 20,452 | * | 74 | | 10 | - | 3 | - | 1 | 5.9 | | 29.4 | | 6 | 47 | 37 | 9 | 1 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 32,849 | * | 73 | | 10 | - | 2 | - | 2 | 2.6 | | 26.9 | | 3 | 35 | 44 | 16 | 2 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 61,785 | * | 72 | | 10 | - | 1 | - | 3 | 1.0 | | 25.6 | | 1 | 22 | 44 | 26 | 6 | 1 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 99,047 | * | 71 | | 9 | - | 3 | - | 2 | 0.3 | | 24.7 | | 0 | 12 | 38 | 35 | 13 | 2 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 146,488 | * | 70 | | 9 | - | 2 | - | 3 | 0.1 | | 23.3 | | 0 | 6 | 26 | 38 | 23 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 230,618 | * | 69 | | 8 | - | 4 | - | 2 | 0.0 | | 20.8 | | 0 | 2 | 15 | 34 | 32 | 14 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 319,909 | * | 68 | | 8 | - | 3 | - | 3 | 0.0 | | 16.6 | | 0 | 1 | 7 | 24 | 36 | 24 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 433,829 | * | 67 | | 8 | - | 2 | - | 4 | No | 11.1 | | | 0 | 2 | 12 | 30 | 33 | 18 | 5 | 1 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 587,649 | * | 66 | | 7 | - | 4 | - | 3 | No | 5.9 | | | 0 | 0 | 5 | 18 | 33 | 28 | 12 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | No | 728,449 | * | 65 | | 7 | - | 3 | - | 4 | No | 2.4 | | | 0 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 24 | 33 | 23 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | No | 890,568 | * | 64 | | 7 | - | 2 | - | 5 | No | 0.6 | | | | 0 | 0 | 2 | 11 | 27 | 33 | 20 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | No | 688,684 | | | 6 | - | 5 | - | 3 | No | 0.8 | | | | 0 | 0 | 3 | 14 | 30 | 32 | 16 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | No | 374,003 | * | 63 | | 6 | - | 4 | - | 4 | No | 0.1 | | | | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 18 | 32 | 29 | 13 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | No | 746,826 | | | 7 | - | 1 | - | 6 | No | 0.1 | | | | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 15 | 31 | 30 | 15 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | No | 435,068 | * | 62 | | 6 | - | 3 | - | 5 | No | 0.0 | | | | | 0 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 21 | 33 | 26 | 10 | 2 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | No | 1,292,683 | * | 61 | | 6 | - | 2 | - | 6 | No | 0.0 | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 24 | 33 | 23 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | No | 803,298 | | | 5 | - | 5 | - | 4 | No | 0.0 | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 2 | 11 | 27 | 33 | 20 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | No | 569,077 | * | 60 | | 5 | - | 4 | - | 5 | No | No | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 3 | 14 | 30 | 31 | 16 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | No | 996,038 | * | | 6 | - | 1 | - | 7 | No | No | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 2 | 11 | 27 | 33 | 19 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | No | 376,882 | | 59 | | 5 | - | 3 | - | 6 | No | No | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 17 | 32 | 29 | 13 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | No | 981,421 | | | 4 | - | 6 | - | 4 | No | No | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 19 | 33 | 27 | 12 | 2 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | No | 360,489 | * | 58 | | 5 | - | 2 | - | 7 | No | No | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 21 | 33 | 26 | 10 | 2 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | No | 688,744 | | | 4 | - | 5 | - | 5 | No | No | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 24 | 34 | 23 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | No | 576,924 | * | 57 | | 4 | - | 4 | - | 6 | No | No | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 11 | 27 | 33 | 20 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | | | | | No | 747,233 | | | 5 | - | 1 | - | 8 | No | No | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 26 | 33 | 21 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 0 | | | | | No | 380,580 | * | 56 | | 4 | - | 3 | - | 7 | No | No | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 15 | 31 | 31 | 15 | 3 | 0 | 0 | | | | | No | 978,622 | * | 55 | | 4 | - | 2 | - | 8 | No | No | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 18 | 34 | 29 | 12 | 2 | 0 | 0 | | | | No | 430,432 | | | 3 | - | 5 | - | 6 | No | No | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 22 | 34 | 26 | 9 | 1 | 0 | 0 | | | | No | 387,833 | * | 54 | | 3 | - | 4 | - | 7 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 26 | 35 | 22 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | | | No | 641,902 | * | 53 | | 3 | - | 3 | - | 8 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 3 | 14 | 32 | 33 | 15 | 3 | 0 | 0 | | | No | 490,417 | * | 52 | | 3 | - | 2 | - | 9 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 1 | 5 | 21 | 35 | 27 | 9 | 1 | 0 | 0 | | 0.0 | % | 355,653 | * | 51 | | 2 | - | 4 | - | 8 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 28 | 35 | 20 | 5 | 1 | 0 | | 0.0 | | 241,999 | * | 50 | | 2 | - | 3 | - | 9 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 3 | 16 | 34 | 31 | 13 | 2 | 0 | | 0.1 | | 159,162 | * | 49 | | 2 | - | 2 | - | 10 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 1 | 7 | 25 | 36 | 24 | 7 | 1 | | 0.6 | | 98,215 | * | 48 | | 1 | - | 4 | - | 9 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 2 | 13 | 32 | 34 | 15 | 2 | | 2.2 | | 55,355 | * | 47 | | 1 | - | 3 | - | 10 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 1 | 6 | 23 | 38 | 26 | 6 | | 6.1 | | 29,642 | * | 46 | | 1 | - | 2 | - | 11 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 2 | 12 | 35 | 38 | 13 | | 13.3 | | 14,932 | * | 45 | | 0 | - | 4 | - | 10 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 6 | 24 | 44 | 26 | | 25.6 | | 6,449 | * | 44 | | 0 | - | 3 | - | 11 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 2 | 13 | 44 | 40 | | 39.9 | | 2,454 | * | 43 | | 0 | - | 2 | - | 12 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 9 | 35 | 56 | | 55.8 | | 905 | | 42 | | 0 | - | 1 | - | 13 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 4 | 29 | 67 | | 66.7 | | 216 | | 41 | | 0 | - | 0 | - | 14 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 1 | 16 | 83 | | 82.7 | | 2,006 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | Total: | 0.1 | % | 2.5 | % | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 6 | 7 | 9 | 10 | 10 | 10 | 10 | 8 | 7 | 5 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | | 0.1 | % | 17,486,988 | |
* Row combines multiple less frequent records. Chance Will Win Championship |