How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did last week and who we should root for this week.   Explain

Week of 10/13100.0*Chance wins title100.0*National League100.0*Demotion100.0*Average seed
Altrincham 3 Alfreton Town 1 +0.5
+1.4
-5.2
+1.2
Telford United 1 Chorley 1 +0.1
Boston United 4 Blyth Spartans 0 -0.3
Southport 1 York City 2 -0.3
Stockport County 1 Hereford 1 *-0.2
Spennymoor Town 5 Ashton United 0 *-0.1
FC United 1 Darlington 2 *-0.1

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

Chances based on how well the Altrincham finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:ChanceNationalChance will finish season at seed
TPW-D-Lwins titleLeague12345678910111213141516171819202122DemotionCount
91-103YesYes100No93,718*
9022-2-399.9%99.9%1000No1,559*
8921-4-2100.0100.01000No3,097*
8821-3-399.899.81000No6,036*
8720-5-299.799.81000No11,585*
8620-4-399.699.71000No21,589*
8520-3-499.499.59910No39,024*
8419-5-399.099.19910No67,793*
8319-4-498.398.69820No115,896*
8219-3-597.497.89730No192,364*
8118-5-495.996.69640No310,628*
8018-4-593.894.894600No490,630*
7917-6-490.892.391900No757,399*
7817-5-586.788.98713100No1,138,122*
7717-4-681.384.48117100No1,676,149*
7616-6-574.478.77423200No2,411,344*
7516-5-666.071.666294000No3,399,740*
7416-4-756.263.5563581000No4,673,643*
7315-6-645.554.64640122000No6,304,178*
7215-5-734.545.53543194000No8,311,907*
7114-7-624.236.824412671000No10,748,010*
7014-6-715.429.51537321330000No13,604,631*
6914-5-88.623.8928352161000No16,857,547*
6813-7-74.120.141933281230000No20,484,145*
6713-6-81.718.021127322071000No24,384,003*
6613-5-90.517.0151730281541000No28,431,788*
6512-7-80.116.20292230231030000No32,493,499*
6412-6-90.015.100313252919820000No36,387,180*
6312-5-100.012.7001516272716610000No39,920,555*
6211-7-90.09.1000171828261451000No42,949,987*
6111-6-100.05.100002820282412410000No45,255,906*
6010-8-9No2.000002921282311310000No46,725,293*
5910-7-10No0.600003102228221031000No47,270,568*
5810-6-11No0.100013112328211030000No46,839,419*
579-8-10No0.000001412232821920000No45,453,814*
569-7-11No0.0000141324282092000000.0%43,191,960*
559-6-12No0.000014132528198200000.040,180,692*
548-8-11NoNo000015152627187100000.036,582,536*
538-7-12NoNo00001616272716610000.132,586,139*
528-6-13NoNo0000271828261441000.728,388,540*
517-8-12NoNo000029212924113002.924,180,551*
507-7-13NoNo00013122530207108.720,130,192*
497-6-14NoNo000015162929154019.616,366,637*
486-8-13NoNo0000282232259135.212,999,128*
476-7-14NoNo0000314293317352.910,067,352*
466-6-15NoNo00017223627769.27,595,962*
455-8-14NoNo00031534351381.95,595,429*
445-7-15NoNo0001828412190.44,008,848*
435-6-16NoNo000420443195.42,790,885*
424-8-15NoNo000214424298.01,890,994*
414-7-16NoNo0018385399.21,243,408*
404-6-17NoNo005316399.7791,832*
393-8-16NoNo003257299.9487,802*
383-7-17NoNo0011980100.0290,965*
373-6-18NoNo011485100.0166,111*
363-5-19NoNo001090100.091,267*
352-7-18NoNo00793100.048,869*
342-6-19NoNo0496Yes24,940*
332-5-20NoNo0397Yes11,810*
321-7-19NoNo298Yes5,457*
311-6-20NoNo199Yes2,385*
301-5-21NoNo0100Yes946*
291-4-22NoNo0100Yes372*
24-28NoNo100Yes208*
220-0-27NoNo0100Yes92,441
Total:3.0%8.3%34556666666665544332214.5%817,647,404

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

Points
Chance Will Win Championship