How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did last week and who we should root for this week.   Explain

Week of 8/13100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Promoted100.0*Relegated100.0*Average seed
Harrogate Town 2 Altrincham 2 -0.3
-0.5
+0.4
-0.2
Tamworth 2 AFC Telford 1 -0.1
-0.1
-0.1
AFC Fylde 1 Brackley Town 1 +0.1
+0.1
Kidderminster H 0 Chorley 0 +0.1
+0.1
FC Halifax Town 3 Worcester City 0 -0.1
-0.1
Bradford Park A 1 Nuneaton Town 1 +0.1
*-0.1
Curzon Ashton 1 Darlington 1883 2 -0.1
-0.1
Gloucester City 4 Gainsborough Tr 1 -0.1
-0.1
Darlington 1883 4 Boston United 1 -0.1
Alfreton Town 0 Curzon Ashton 1 +0.1
If winner is:HomeDrawAway
Altrincham vs AFC Fylde+1.1-0.4-1.0
+2.1-0.6-1.8
-3.6+0.7+3.4
+1.1-0.3-1.0
Boston United vs Tamworth+0.1+0.0-0.1
+0.1+0.1-0.1
+0.3-0.1-0.2
Worcester City vs Gloucester City+0.1+0.0-0.1
+0.1+0.0-0.1
+0.2-0.1-0.2
Stockport County vs FC Halifax Town+0.0+0.1-0.1
+0.0+0.1-0.1
Gainsborough Tr vs Harrogate Town+0.0+0.0-0.1
+0.1+0.0-0.1
+0.2-0.1-0.2
Salford City vs FC United of Ma-0.0+0.1-0.0
Nuneaton Town vs Kidderminster H+0.0+0.1-0.1
+0.1-0.1-0.1
Brackley Town vs Alfreton Town-0.0+0.1+0.0
-0.0-0.0+0.1
Chorley vs Bradford Park A+0.0-0.1+0.0
AFC Telford vs Stalybridge Cel+0.1-0.1*-0.0
If winner is:HomeDrawAway
Week of 8/20100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Promoted100.0*Relegated100.0*Average seed
Gainsborough Tr vs Altrincham-0.9-0.4+1.1
-1.7-0.6+2.0
+3.6+0.5-3.8
-1.0-0.2+1.1
Darlington 1883 vs Chorley-0.1+0.0+0.1
-0.1+0.1+0.1
-0.1-0.0+0.1
Nuneaton Town vs Salford City+0.0+0.0-0.1
+0.1+0.1-0.1
+0.1-0.1-0.1
Gloucester City vs Darlington 1883+0.0+0.1-0.0
+0.0+0.1-0.1
FC Halifax Town vs Tamworth-0.0+0.1-0.0
-0.0+0.1-0.0
FC United of Ma vs Worcester City-0.1+0.1+0.1
-0.1-0.1+0.2
Kidderminster H vs Stalybridge Cel-0.1+0.1+0.1
-0.1-0.0+0.2
AFC Fylde vs Salford City-0.0+0.1-0.0
Bradford Park A vs Harrogate Town+0.0+0.1-0.1
+0.1-0.1-0.1
Alfreton Town vs AFC Fylde+0.0+0.1-0.1
+0.1-0.0-0.0
Stockport County vs Brackley Town-0.0+0.1-0.0
Chorley vs Boston United-0.1+0.0+0.0
-0.1-0.1+0.2
Curzon Ashton vs AFC Telford-0.0-0.1+0.1

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

Chances based on how well the Altrincham finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:ChanceChance will finish season at seed
TPW-D-Lwins titlePromoted12345678910111213141516171819202122RelegatedCount
98-120YesYes100No203,660*
9730-4-599.9%99.9%1000No1,026*
9629-6-499.999.91000No1,958*
9529-5-599.999.91000No3,392*
9429-4-699.999.91000No6,014*
9328-6-599.999.91000No10,106*
9228-5-699.999.91000No17,000*
9128-4-799.899.81000No28,398*
9027-6-699.799.81000No46,346*
8927-5-799.599.71000No74,063*
8826-7-699.299.49910No115,610*
8726-6-798.999.29910No178,339*
8626-5-898.398.79820No271,269*
8525-7-797.698.29820No406,433*
8425-6-896.497.396400No599,239*
8325-5-994.896.195500No867,384*
8224-7-892.794.593700No1,238,468*
8124-6-989.792.39010000No1,741,301*
8023-8-886.089.58613100No2,408,791*
7923-7-981.185.88118100No3,286,419*
7823-6-1075.181.375232000No4,414,655*
7722-8-967.875.968284000No5,846,452*
7622-7-1059.469.659337100No7,638,504*
7522-6-1150.162.6503810100No9,829,819*
7421-8-1040.355.24041153000No12,465,262*
7321-7-1130.547.931422151000No15,595,107*
7221-6-1221.541.122402892000No19,233,086*
7120-8-1113.935.31435321541000No23,379,593*
7020-7-128.030.68273422710000No28,046,094*
6919-9-114.027.041932281341000No33,175,037*
6819-8-121.723.82112631208200000No38,686,364*
6719-7-130.620.41518292715510000No44,501,232*
6618-9-120.216.0021023292210310000No50,505,736*
6518-8-130.011.0014142528188200000No56,505,255*
6418-7-140.06.20016172726156100000No62,389,627*
6317-9-130.02.70002820272413410000No67,934,533*
6217-8-140.00.9000031021272211410000No72,957,466*
6117-7-15No0.2000141223272110310000No77,267,668*
6016-9-14No0.000014132427209200000No80,751,077*
5916-8-15No0.0000015142427198200000No83,201,609*
5816-7-16No0.000001514252718720000No84,564,556*
5715-9-15No0.0000016152526177200000.0%84,739,930*
5615-8-16NoNo000026162626166100000.083,774,898*
5515-7-17NoNo000002718272515510000.081,626,564*
5414-9-16NoNo00002819282413410000.178,446,803*
5314-8-17NoNo000013102228221130000.474,321,219*
5213-10-16NoNo0000141324282082001.969,419,008*
5113-9-17NoNo000016162728165106.163,900,478*
5013-8-18NoNo0000028203025123014.457,979,480*
4912-10-17NoNo000013122631206127.251,857,900*
4812-9-18NoNo00001618312813243.145,692,923*
4712-8-19NoNo0000311273421559.339,658,878*
4611-10-18NoNo000016203529973.333,911,392*
4511-9-19NoNo000031332371584.028,560,688*
4411-8-20NoNo0001826412491.123,674,102*
4310-10-19NoNo000420433395.519,330,772*
4210-9-20NoNo0000214414397.915,530,882*
4110-8-21NoNo00019375399.012,273,729*
409-10-20NoNo0005326299.69,546,816*
399-9-21NoNo0003267199.87,300,123*
389-8-22NoNo0002217899.95,489,359*
378-10-21NoNo0011683100.04,058,270*
368-9-22NoNo0001288100.02,943,079*
358-8-23NoNo00891100.02,099,424*
347-10-22NoNo00694100.01,469,188*
337-9-23NoNo00496100.01,008,868*
327-8-24NoNo0397Yes679,936*
317-7-25NoNo0298Yes448,539*
306-9-24NoNo0199Yes290,787*
296-8-25NoNo0199Yes183,986*
286-7-26NoNo00100Yes113,661*
275-9-25NoNo0100Yes69,057*
265-8-26NoNo0100Yes40,750*
255-7-27NoNo0100Yes23,628*
244-9-26NoNo0100Yes13,027*
234-8-27NoNo0100Yes7,297*
224-7-28NoNo0100Yes3,832*
3-21NoNo100Yes206,251*
Total:2.7%6.5%334444555555555555554412.5%1,791,089,472

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

Points
Chance Will Win Championship