How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did last week and who we should root for this week.   Explain

Week of 10/13100.0*Chance wins title100.0*National League100.0*Demotion100.0*Average seed
Altrincham 3 Alfreton Town 1 -1.0
-1.9
+2.7
-1.0
Telford United 1 Chorley 1 +0.1
*+0.1
Bradford Park A 1 Kidderminster H 2 -0.1
Boston United 4 Blyth Spartans 0 -0.1
-0.1
-0.1
Southport 1 York City 2 -0.2
Leamington 0 Curzon Ashton 1 +0.1
Spennymoor Town 5 Ashton United 0 *-0.1
Stockport County 1 Hereford 1 *-0.1

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

Chances based on how well the Alfreton Town finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:ChanceNationalChance will finish season at seed
TPW-D-Lwins titleLeague12345678910111213141516171819202122DemotionCount
88-99YesYes100No92,995*
8722-3-299.9%99.9%1000No684*
8622-2-399.499.4991No1,562*
8521-4-299.199.2991No3,075*
8421-3-398.999.0991No6,214*
8320-5-298.298.5982No11,667*
8220-4-397.497.89730No21,670*
8120-3-495.796.49640No39,006*
8019-5-393.394.493700No67,783*
7919-4-490.492.090900No115,816*
7819-3-586.588.7861310No192,229*
7718-5-480.984.1811810No309,428*
7618-4-574.078.47423200No490,714*
7517-6-465.671.366305000No756,617*
7417-5-555.963.2563681000No1,139,800*
7317-4-645.254.4454013200No1,677,247*
7216-6-534.345.33443194000No2,414,206*
7116-5-624.136.724412671000No3,394,340*
7016-4-715.329.41536321330000No4,673,378*
6915-6-68.623.8928352161000No6,299,940*
6815-5-74.220.141933281230000No8,314,772*
6714-7-61.718.021127322072000No10,745,968*
6614-6-70.517.0151730281541000No13,597,762*
6514-5-80.116.20292230231130000No16,863,674*
6413-7-70.015.000313252919820000No20,480,381*
6313-6-80.012.7001516272716610000No24,386,362*
6213-5-90.09.00001718282614510000No28,424,043*
6112-7-8No5.0000282028241341000No32,494,554*
6012-6-9No2.000002921282311310000No36,382,035*
5912-5-10No0.5000031022282211310000No39,930,914*
5811-7-9No0.100013112328211030000No42,947,401*
5711-6-10No0.00001312232821920000No45,261,587*
5610-8-9No0.000014122428209200000.0%46,728,724*
5510-7-10No0.000014132528198200000.047,274,103*
5410-6-11NoNo00001514262818720000.046,835,626*
539-8-10NoNo0001616272716610000.145,450,951*
529-7-11NoNo0000271828261441000.743,190,843*
519-6-12NoNo000029212924113002.940,175,590*
508-8-11NoNo000013122530217108.736,578,623*
498-7-12NoNo00015162929154019.732,584,152*
488-6-13NoNo0000282232259135.428,385,757*
477-8-12NoNo0000314293317353.124,184,470*
467-7-13NoNo000017223627769.520,127,527*
457-6-14NoNo000031433361382.216,368,011*
446-8-13NoNo0001828422290.613,000,879*
436-7-14NoNo0000420443295.510,072,054*
426-6-15NoNo000213424398.17,602,580*
415-8-14NoNo0018375499.25,597,303*
405-7-15NoNo0005316499.74,010,652*
395-6-16NoNo0002257399.92,792,068*
384-8-15NoNo0011880100.01,891,409*
374-7-16NoNo011386100.01,242,711*
364-6-17NoNo00990100.0792,174*
353-8-16NoNo00694100.0487,194*
343-7-17NoNo0496Yes290,729*
333-6-18NoNo0397Yes166,625*
323-5-19NoNo0199Yes91,833*
312-7-18NoNo0199Yes48,786*
302-6-19NoNo199Yes24,389*
292-5-20NoNo0100Yes12,074*
281-7-19NoNo0100Yes5,438*
271-6-20NoNo100Yes2,347*
261-5-21NoNo0100Yes971*
18-25NoNo100Yes92,987*
Total:0.8%3.5%112233445566666666655313.2%817,647,404

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

Points
Chance Will Win Championship