How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did last week and who we should root for this week.   Explain

Week of 8/13100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Promoted100.0*Relegated100.0*Average seed
Alfreton Town 0 Curzon Ashton 1 -1.7
-2.7
+3.1
-1.1
Tamworth 2 AFC Telford 1 -0.1
-0.1
-0.1
Kidderminster H 0 Chorley 0 +0.1
+0.1
AFC Fylde 1 Brackley Town 1 +0.1
+0.1
Harrogate Town 2 Altrincham 2 +0.1
+0.1
FC Halifax Town 3 Worcester City 0 -0.1
-0.1
Darlington 1883 4 Boston United 1 -0.1
-0.1
-0.1
Bradford Park A 1 Nuneaton Town 1 +0.1
+0.1
Curzon Ashton 1 Darlington 1883 2 -0.1
-0.1
Gloucester City 4 Gainsborough Tr 1 -0.1
If winner is:HomeDrawAway
Brackley Town vs Alfreton Town-1.1-0.4+1.4
-1.9-0.5+2.5
+2.8+0.3-3.4
-0.9-0.2+1.1
Boston United vs Tamworth+0.1+0.1-0.1
+0.2+0.1-0.2
+0.3-0.1-0.2
Worcester City vs Gloucester City+0.1+0.0-0.1
+0.1+0.1-0.1
+0.2-0.1-0.2
Stockport County vs FC Halifax Town+0.0+0.1-0.1
+0.0+0.1-0.1
Gainsborough Tr vs Harrogate Town+0.1+0.0-0.1
+0.1+0.1-0.1
+0.2-0.1-0.2
Nuneaton Town vs Kidderminster H+0.0+0.0-0.1
+0.0+0.1-0.1
+0.1-0.0-0.1
Salford City vs FC United of Ma-0.0+0.1*+0.0
-0.0+0.1-0.0
Altrincham vs AFC Fylde+0.0+0.0-0.1
+0.0+0.1-0.1
+0.1-0.0-0.1
Chorley vs Bradford Park A-0.0+0.1-0.0
+0.0-0.1+0.0
AFC Telford vs Stalybridge Cel+0.1-0.1*-0.0
If winner is:HomeDrawAway
Week of 8/20100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Promoted100.0*Relegated100.0*Average seed
Alfreton Town vs AFC Fylde+1.3-0.5-1.2
+2.3-0.7-2.1
-3.2+0.7+3.2
+1.0-0.3-1.0
Darlington 1883 vs Chorley-0.1+0.1+0.1
-0.1+0.1+0.1
-0.1-0.0+0.1
Nuneaton Town vs Salford City+0.1+0.0-0.1
+0.1+0.1-0.1
+0.1-0.0-0.1
FC Halifax Town vs Tamworth-0.0+0.1-0.0
-0.0+0.1-0.0
Gloucester City vs Darlington 1883+0.0+0.1-0.1
+0.0+0.1-0.1
FC United of Ma vs Worcester City-0.1+0.0+0.1
-0.1+0.1+0.1
-0.1-0.0+0.2
Kidderminster H vs Stalybridge Cel-0.1+0.0+0.1
-0.1+0.1+0.1
-0.1-0.0+0.2
AFC Fylde vs Salford City+0.0+0.1-0.0
-0.0+0.1-0.0
Bradford Park A vs Harrogate Town+0.0+0.1-0.1
+0.1-0.0-0.1
Stockport County vs Brackley Town-0.0+0.1-0.0
-0.0+0.1-0.0
Chorley vs Boston United-0.1+0.0+0.1
-0.1-0.1+0.2
Gainsborough Tr vs Altrincham+0.0+0.0-0.1
+0.2-0.1-0.1
Curzon Ashton vs AFC Telford-0.0-0.1+0.1

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

Chances based on how well the Alfreton Town finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:ChanceChance will finish season at seed
TPW-D-Lwins titlePromoted12345678910111213141516171819202122RelegatedCount
100-120YesYes100No202,952*
9931-3-599.6%99.6%1000No453*
9830-5-499.999.91000No821*
9730-4-599.999.91000No1,604*
9629-6-4YesYes100No2,686*
9529-5-5100.0100.01000No4,817*
9429-4-699.999.91000No8,528*
9328-6-599.999.91000No14,471*
9228-5-699.999.91000No24,159*
9128-4-799.899.91000No39,616*
9027-6-699.799.81000No63,799*
8927-5-799.699.71000No101,184*
8826-7-699.499.59910No157,048*
8726-6-799.099.39910No240,556*
8626-5-898.498.89820No362,542*
8525-7-797.798.39820No533,980*
8425-6-896.697.59730No778,836*
8325-5-995.196.395500No1,118,872*
8224-7-893.194.893700No1,582,277*
8124-6-990.292.790900No2,202,426*
8023-8-886.589.98713100No3,016,405*
7923-7-981.886.38217100No4,080,760*
7823-6-1075.981.976222000No5,418,685*
7722-8-968.776.569274000No7,112,858*
7622-7-1060.370.2603361000No9,192,886*
7522-6-1151.063.35138101000No11,708,501*
7421-8-1041.155.84141153000No14,705,463*
7321-7-1131.348.531422151000No18,202,743*
7221-6-1222.141.622402792000No22,221,413*
7120-8-1114.335.61435321430000No26,752,571*
7020-7-128.330.98283421710000No31,754,540*
6919-9-114.227.241932271331000No37,165,753*
6819-8-121.824.02112631208200000No42,932,830*
6719-7-130.620.51618292714510000No48,873,671*
6618-9-120.216.3021023292210300000No54,904,108*
6518-8-130.011.2014142628187200000No60,818,072*
6418-7-140.06.40017172726155100000No66,457,294*
6317-9-130.02.800029202824134100000No71,649,983*
6217-8-140.00.9000131022272211310000No76,142,192*
6117-7-150.00.20000141223272010310000No79,836,169*
6016-9-14No0.0000014132427199200000No82,551,927*
5916-8-15No0.0000015142427188200000No84,214,100*
5816-7-16No0.00000151525271872000000.0%84,699,601*
5715-9-15No0.00000161626261762000000.084,036,510*
5615-8-16NoNo0000027172626166100000.082,206,589*
5515-7-17NoNo000028182725145100000.079,295,468*
5414-9-16NoNo000002920282412410000.175,431,890*
5314-8-17NoNo000013102228221030000.470,741,969*
5213-10-16NoNo0000141325282082001.865,380,359*
5113-9-17NoNo000016162727165105.859,574,055*
5013-8-18NoNo000029213025112013.853,516,941*
4912-10-17NoNo00014132631206126.447,358,779*
4812-9-18NoNo00001619312812242.141,310,018*
4712-8-19NoNo0000312273420558.335,475,505*
4611-10-18NoNo000016203529972.530,020,154*
4511-9-19NoNo000031332361583.325,016,765*
4411-8-20NoNo0001827412390.720,542,943*
4310-10-19NoNo0000420433295.216,587,658*
4210-9-20NoNo000214414297.713,190,116*
4110-8-21NoNo00019385299.010,319,499*
409-10-20NoNo0006326199.67,936,313*
399-9-21NoNo0003277099.86,005,634*
389-8-22NoNo002217799.94,471,229*
378-10-21NoNo0011683100.03,270,681*
368-9-22NoNo0011287100.02,349,891*
358-8-23NoNo00991100.01,656,529*
347-10-22NoNo00694100.01,148,258*
337-9-23NoNo0496Yes779,655*
327-8-24NoNo0397Yes519,689*
317-7-25NoNo00298100.0338,236*
306-9-24NoNo0199Yes217,161*
296-8-25NoNo0199Yes135,602*
286-7-26NoNo199Yes83,421*
275-9-25NoNo0100Yes49,913*
265-8-26NoNo0100Yes29,260*
255-7-27NoNo0100Yes16,475*
244-9-26NoNo0100Yes9,216*
234-8-27NoNo0100Yes5,142*
224-7-28NoNo0100Yes2,696*
3-21NoNo100Yes205,101*
Total:3.3%7.6%344455555555555555444310.7%1,791,089,472

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

Points
Chance Will Win Championship