How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did last week and who we should root for this week.   Explain

Week of 8/18100.0*Chance wins title100.0*National League100.0*Demotion100.0*Average seed
Alfreton Town 3 Blyth Spartans 1 +0.3
+0.9
-4.0
+0.9
Spennymoor Town 2 Telford United 3 -0.1
-0.3
Altrincham 0 Boston United 2 -0.1
-0.1
Ashton United 1 Brackley Town 5 +0.1
Nuneaton Town 1 Southport 4 +0.1
Kidderminster H 5 Darlington 2 +0.1
If winner is:HomeDrawAway
Chester vs Kidderminster H+0.1-0.1*-0.1
Chester vs FC United*-0.0-0.1+0.1
If winner is:HomeDrawAway
Week of 8/25100.0*Chance wins title100.0*National League100.0*Demotion100.0*Average seed
Stockport County vs Alfreton Town-0.4*+0.0+1.1
-0.9+0.1+2.5
+1.6-0.6-3.8
-0.6+0.1+1.5
Alfreton Town vs Southport+0.4-0.4-0.6
+1.0-0.9-1.8
-2.4+1.7+4.7
+0.7-0.6-1.4
Blyth Spartans vs Chorley+0.1*+0.0-0.2
+0.1*+0.0-0.1
+0.2*-0.1-0.2
Chorley vs Curzon Ashton-0.1+0.1+0.2
-0.1+0.1+0.1
-0.1*+0.1+0.2
+0.0+0.0-0.1
Boston United vs Spennymoor Town-0.1+0.0+0.1
-0.1+0.1+0.1
-0.1*+0.0+0.3
Bradford Park A vs Boston United+0.0*+0.0-0.1
Chester vs Hereford+0.0*+0.0-0.1
+0.0*+0.0-0.1
+0.2*-0.1-0.2
Telford United vs Chester-0.1+0.1*+0.0
-0.1*+0.0+0.2
Hereford vs Bradford Park A-0.0+0.1*+0.0
Curzon Ashton vs Kidderminster H+0.1-0.1-0.1
FC United vs Leamington+0.0*+0.0-0.1
+0.2-0.1-0.2
Kidderminster H vs Stockport County+0.1*-0.1-0.1
Nuneaton Town vs Brackley Town+0.1*+0.0-0.1
+0.2-0.1-0.2
Guiseley vs Nuneaton Town*+0.0-0.1+0.1
Ashton United vs Darlington+0.1-0.1-0.1
Southport vs Ashton United+0.1-0.1*-0.0

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

Chances based on how well the Alfreton Town finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:ChanceNationalChance will finish season at seed
TPW-D-Lwins titleLeague12345678910111213141516171819202122DemotionCount
91-118YesYes100No631*
9026-5-693.8%93.8%946No16*
8925-7-5YesYes100No54*
8825-6-698.298.2982No56*
8725-5-796.496.4964No137*
8624-7-697.197.6973No209*
8524-6-793.694.6946No373*
8424-5-891.492.8919No555*
8323-7-790.592.1919No897*
8223-6-885.988.286131No1,394*
8122-8-783.586.283161No2,065*
8022-7-877.180.9772210No3,266*
7922-6-972.677.2732520No4,665*
7821-8-864.670.56531400No6,625*
7721-7-957.664.65835700No9,456*
7620-9-848.256.848411010No13,228*
7520-8-939.849.8404414200No18,042*
7420-7-1031.142.6314520400No24,420*
7319-9-922.835.6234326710No32,242*
7219-8-1015.029.215393212200No42,150*
7119-7-119.524.6103236184100No53,641*
7018-9-105.321.1524362492000No66,972*
6918-8-112.718.93163330144100No83,133*
6818-7-121.117.6192632228200No100,746*
6717-9-110.316.805173128144100No120,617*
6617-8-120.116.3021024312292000No141,349*
6516-10-110.015.50141528281661000No162,370*
6416-9-120.013.90018202925124100No184,950*
6316-8-13No11.20031124292192000No206,197*
6215-10-12No7.700151426281872000No225,851*
6115-9-13No4.200161727261551000No243,646*
6015-8-14No1.7002819282413410000No258,460*
5914-10-13No0.50003102128231131000No268,609*
5814-9-14No0.1001311232821103000No276,275*
5714-8-15No0.0000141324272092000No279,437*
5613-10-14No0.000151425271882000No275,509*
5513-9-15NoNo0001615262617720000.0%267,599*
5413-8-16NoNo000271726261661000.0255,640*
5312-10-15NoNo000281927251341000.1240,138*
5212-9-16NoNo0003102128231130000.5221,987*
5112-8-17NoNo00141224292192002.1200,555*
5011-10-16NoNo0015152728176106.6178,906*
4911-9-17NoNo00028193026123015.5156,034*
4810-11-16NoNo0003112531217129.3133,338*
4710-10-17NoNo001617303014245.9112,807*
4610-9-18NoNo000210253423662.492,718*
459-11-17NoNo00151834321176.475,887*
449-10-18NoNo00021131381886.660,238*
439-9-19NoNo01624422793.246,444*
428-11-18NoNo00317423896.835,920*
418-10-19NoNo0111404798.626,654*
408-9-20NoNo016345999.319,588*
397-11-19NoNo04296799.814,029*
387-10-20NoNo02227599.99,831*
377-9-21NoNo011782100.06,758*
367-8-22NoNo01287Yes4,558*
356-10-21NoNo0991Yes2,938*
346-9-22NoNo0595Yes1,895*
335-11-21NoNo496Yes1,167*
325-10-22NoNo298Yes697*
315-9-23NoNo298Yes443*
305-8-24NoNo199Yes237*
294-10-23NoNo199Yes149*
284-9-24NoNo397Yes64*
7-27NoNo100Yes674*
Total:1.3%5.4%12345556666666555544328.9%5,276,136

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

Points
Chance Will Win Championship