How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did last week and who we should root for this week.   Explain

Week of 8/14100.0*Chance wins title100.0*National League100.0*Demotion100.0*Average seed
Alfreton Town 0 Curzon Ashton 1 -1.0
-2.1
+5.1
-1.4
Chorley 4 Southport 0 -0.1
-0.1
-0.2
Altrincham 1 FC United 2 *+0.1
+0.3
Stockport County 1 Guiseley 1 +0.1
Boston United 2 Nuneaton Town 1 -0.1
Telford United 2 Brackley Town 1 -0.1
Darlington 1 Blyth Spartans 1 -0.1
Week of 8/18100.0*Chance wins title100.0*National League100.0*Demotion100.0*Average seed
Alfreton Town 3 Blyth Spartans 1 +0.3
+0.9
-4.0
+0.9
Spennymoor Town 2 Telford United 3 -0.1
-0.3
Altrincham 0 Boston United 2 -0.1
-0.1
Ashton United 1 Brackley Town 5 +0.1
Nuneaton Town 1 Southport 4 +0.1
Kidderminster H 5 Darlington 2 +0.1
If winner is:HomeDrawAway
Chester vs Kidderminster H+0.0+0.0-0.1

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

Chances based on how well the Alfreton Town finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:ChanceNationalChance will finish season at seed
TPW-D-Lwins titleLeague12345678910111213141516171819202122DemotionCount
11232-0-0100.0%100.0%1000No556,434
100-104YesYes100No79*
9926-5-199.199.1991No114*
9826-4-298.898.8991No320*
9726-3-398.999.1991No662*
9625-5-298.498.6982No1,443*
9525-4-396.997.4973No3,036*
9425-3-495.696.3964No6,307*
9324-5-394.395.3946No12,379*
9224-4-492.894.09370No23,495*
9123-6-390.191.790100No44,216*
9023-5-487.389.487130No80,985*
8923-4-583.986.684160No144,896*
8822-6-479.983.280200No252,123*
8722-5-575.379.475240No429,128*
8622-4-670.375.3702900No711,284*
8521-6-564.970.7653510No1,154,470*
8421-5-658.965.8594010No1,832,895*
8320-7-552.760.65346200No2,848,050*
8220-6-646.355.24651300No4,324,938*
8120-5-739.849.84056400No6,431,765*
8019-7-633.344.533606000No9,382,470*
7919-6-727.239.3276310000No13,383,990*
7819-5-821.534.6216414100No18,708,721*
7718-7-716.330.3166419100No25,641,260*
7618-6-811.826.51261253000No34,432,978*
7517-8-78.123.4856315000No45,332,614*
7417-7-85.221.05493791000No58,517,520*
7317-6-93.119.334041142000No74,046,649*
7216-8-81.718.1231432040000No91,906,635*
7116-7-90.817.41224227810000No111,853,871*
7016-6-100.417.001437331330000No133,514,352*
6915-8-90.116.808293620610000No156,343,222*
6815-7-100.016.6042034271130000No179,574,746*
6715-6-110.016.502122932196100000No202,319,072*
6614-8-100.016.00162031261231000No223,599,866*
6514-7-110.015.000312263020820000No242,336,919*
6413-9-100.013.1001617282715510000No257,718,517*
6313-8-110.010.30002921292311310000No268,730,000*
6213-7-12No6.8001412242820820000No274,812,457*
6112-9-11No3.700015152627176100000No275,646,982*
6012-8-12No1.500002718272514510000No271,161,416*
5912-7-13No0.500002921282312410000No261,508,703*
5811-9-12No0.100013112328211030000No247,252,642*
5711-8-13No0.00000141325281982000000.0%229,134,219*
5611-7-14No0.0000015162727176100000.0208,131,277*
5510-9-13No0.000002718282614410000.0185,223,719*
5410-8-14No0.000002921292411300000.0161,513,131*
5310-7-15NoNo0001312243021820000.0137,929,604*
529-9-14NoNo00001515282917510000.1115,358,167*
519-8-15NoNo0000272030261230000.394,427,982*
509-7-16NoNo000031125312181001.475,642,059*
498-9-15NoNo000015163029154004.259,275,949*
488-8-16NoNo00002823332491010.245,434,901*
478-7-17NoNo00004143031164020.034,039,435*
467-9-16NoNo000182334258133.424,906,461*
457-8-17NoNo0000415323214248.717,806,568*
447-7-18NoNo00019263722463.512,427,750*
436-9-17NoNo0004193731876.28,455,606*
426-8-18NoNo00021233381485.65,609,990*
416-7-19NoNo001727432292.13,630,305*
405-9-18NoNo000421453195.92,286,371*
395-8-19NoNo00214434098.11,397,923*
385-7-20NoNo0019405099.2830,734*
374-9-19NoNo006346099.7478,991*
364-8-20NoNo003286999.9267,356*
354-7-21NoNo0022276100.0145,341*
343-9-20NoNo0011683100.076,226*
333-8-21NoNo01287Yes38,255*
323-7-22NoNo00892100.018,606*
312-9-21NoNo0594Yes8,394*
302-8-22NoNo0496Yes3,997*
292-7-23NoNo0397Yes1,659*
282-6-24NoNo199Yes678*
271-8-23NoNo199Yes255*
16-26NoNo100Yes556,566*
Total:0.8%8.1%15788887776654432211001.2%4,921,643,096

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

Points
Chance Will Win Championship