How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did last week and who we should root for this week.   Explain

Week of 9/14100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Promoted100.0*Relegated100.0*Average seed
Aldershot Town 3 Barnet 3 -0.1
-0.3
+1.2
-0.3
Cambridge United 1 Gateshead FC 0 -0.2
+0.0
Dartford 1 Nuneaton Town 2 -0.1
-0.3
Nuneaton Town 2 Hereford United 1 -0.1
Welling United 5 Forest Green Ro 2 +0.2
Tamworth 0 Kidderminster H 3 -0.2
Luton Town 3 Dartford 0 -0.2
Macclesfield Town 0 Alfreton Town 1 -0.3
Kidderminster H 2 Hyde FC 1 -0.2
Lincoln City FC 1 Southport 0 -0.1
Salisbury City 3 Chester FC 1 -0.2
Forest Green Ro 2 FC Halifax Town 1 -0.1
Hyde FC 0 Woking 2 +0.1
Chester FC 2 Macclesfield Town 1 +0.1
If winner is:HomeDrawAway
Week of 9/21100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Promoted100.0*Relegated100.0*Average seed
Welling United vs Aldershot Town-0.1-0.0+0.1
-0.3-0.1+0.5
+3.9+0.4-5.4
-0.8-0.1+1.1
Aldershot Town vs Wrexham+0.1-0.0-0.1
+0.4-0.2-0.4
-4.3+1.8+5.6
+0.8-0.4-1.0
Nuneaton Town vs Salisbury City-0.1*+0.0+0.1
Hereford United vs Lincoln City FC+0.2-0.0-0.2
Dartford vs Kidderminster H+0.6-0.1-0.4
Barnet vs Macclesfield Town-0.3*-0.0+0.7
Forest Green Ro vs Tamworth-0.3*+0.0+0.5
Woking vs Luton Town+0.4-0.1-0.3
Salisbury City vs Hyde FC-0.2-0.0+0.5
FC Halifax Town vs Hereford United-0.1-0.0+0.2
Grimsby Town vs Dartford-0.3-0.1+0.6
Chester FC vs Grimsby Town+0.5-0.1-0.4
Hyde FC vs Welling United+0.4-0.1-0.2
Southport vs Alfreton Town+0.1-0.0-0.1
Wrexham vs Braintree Town+0.1-0.1-0.0
Macclesfield Town vs Woking+0.2-0.2-0.0
Gateshead FC vs Chester FC+0.1-0.2+0.1
Tamworth vs Gateshead FC*-0.0-0.2+0.2

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

Chances based on how well the Aldershot Town finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:ChanceChance will finish season at seed
TPW-D-Lwins titlePromoted123456789101112131415161718192021222324RelegatedCount
64-82YesYes100No10*
6125-12-066.7%66.7%6733No3
57-59YesYes100No42*
5630-2-595.895.8964No24*
5427-9-1YesYes100No16
5226-10-193.093.0937No43
5129-0-888.988.98911No9
4919-18-0No25.02575No4
4828-0-966.766.76733No9
4723-14-080.080.08020No5
4321-16-0YesYes100No2
4120-17-0No20.0602020No5*
3718-19-0NoNo333333No3
3613-23-1NoNo333333No3
3412-24-1NoNo100No1
3316-21-0NoNo6733No3
3216-20-1No16.7176441122No18
3015-21-1NoNo252550No4
2814-22-1NoNo17333317No6
2714-21-2NoNo715153217132No60
255-26-6NoNo100Yes1
2312-23-2NoNo85415158No13
224-26-7NoNo100Yes1
2111-24-2NoNo10503010No10
1910-25-2NoNo33333333.3%3*
1810-24-3NoNo729212177714.314*
176-25-6NoNo3367Yes3
169-25-3NoNo333333No3
1537-0-0YesYes100No32,619
1410-0-27NoNo505050.02*
138-25-4NoNo1717333333.36*
119-0-28NoNo100Yes2*
107-25-5NoNo102030301070.010*
7-8NoNo100Yes2*
614-0-23NoNo41039361296.1103*
45-25-7NoNo404020Yes5
2-3NoNo100Yes6*
012-0-25NoNo3863Yes16
-130-5-2YesYes100No9
-21-11-25NoNo100Yes1
-330-3-483.383.38331316.730*
-429-5-396.696.6973No59
-529-4-495.696.2964No159*
-628-6-395.896.696310.8264*
-728-5-493.595.1946No586*
-828-4-590.993.29190No1,014*
-927-6-488.191.188111No1,763*
-1027-5-584.488.18414110.93,365*
-1126-7-480.785.581181000.15,528*
-1226-6-574.981.075232000.49,253*
-1326-5-668.776.5692830000.015,206*
-1425-7-560.970.6613450000.324,762*
-1525-6-653.965.4543881000.139,185*
-1624-8-545.859.446421110000.060,491*
-1724-7-637.252.937451620000.092,408*
-1824-6-728.946.729452140000.0138,266*
-1923-8-621.441.1214327710000.0204,207*
-2023-7-715.036.21539331220000.0294,707*
-2123-6-89.632.110323617410000.0417,750*
-2222-8-75.628.96253724810000.0582,531*
-2322-7-83.026.4317342913300000.0800,844*
-2421-9-71.424.111128331961000No1,081,216*
-2521-8-80.621.716213226123000No1,436,492*
-2621-7-90.218.5031327301871000No1,876,388*
-2720-9-80.114.60172030251241000No2,412,982*
-2820-8-90.010.200312252920820000No3,051,728*
-2920-7-100.06.2001617282615510000No3,798,555*
-3019-9-90.03.10002102228231131000No4,660,003*
-3119-8-100.01.30001413252719820000No5,618,633*
-3218-10-9No0.40001717272615610000No6,665,203*
-3318-9-10No0.1000292027231341000No7,794,369*
-3418-8-11No0.000014112327211031000No8,969,023*
-3517-10-10No0.00001514252718820000No10,159,169*
-3617-9-11No0.00000271726261661000No11,333,148*
-3717-8-12No0.000000281927241341000No12,447,031*
-3816-10-11NoNo00013112228221131000No13,465,224*
-3916-9-12NoNo000014132428198200000.014,340,031*
-4016-8-13NoNo0001616262716610000.015,027,154*
-4115-10-12NoNo00002819282513410000.015,515,729*
-4215-9-13NoNo0001311232922920000.015,767,734*
-4314-11-12NoNo0001515262818610000.115,772,417*
-4414-10-13NoNo000271929261341000.615,533,967*
-4514-9-14NoNo0000311243021920002.115,064,888*
-4613-11-13NoNo000151628281651005.714,371,407*
-4713-10-14NoNo0000292231241020012.613,495,964*
-4813-9-15NoNo000141428301751023.412,483,405*
-4912-11-14NoNo00028213225102037.411,339,828*
-5012-10-15NoNo0014142931174052.810,153,191*
-5112-9-16NoNo000282333258167.48,934,752*
-5211-11-15NoNo0001416323114279.47,736,516*
-5311-10-16NoNo000210273621488.16,585,003*
-5411-9-17NoNo0016203729893.75,509,932*
-5510-11-16NoNo00031434361396.94,535,225*
-5610-10-17NoNo0001929411998.63,666,429*
-5710-9-18NoNo001523442799.42,913,578*
-589-11-17NoNo000318443599.82,269,269*
-599-10-18NoNo00112424499.91,740,180*
-609-9-19NoNo00183853100.01,308,817*
-618-11-18NoNo0053362100.0967,362*
-628-10-19NoNo0032769100.0700,435*
-638-9-20NoNo0022276100.0498,399*
-647-11-19NoNo011782Yes345,491*
-657-10-20NoNo001386Yes235,888*
-667-9-21NoNo001090Yes157,313*
-676-11-20NoNo00793Yes102,829*
-686-10-21NoNo00595Yes65,652*
-696-9-22NoNo0397Yes40,861*
-705-11-21NoNo0298Yes24,839*
-715-10-22NoNo298Yes14,998*
-725-9-23NoNo199Yes8,579*
-734-11-22NoNo199Yes4,870*
-744-10-23NoNo0100Yes2,680*
-754-9-24NoNo0100Yes1,479*
-764-8-25NoNo0100Yes748*
-96--77NoNo100Yes33,232*
Total:0.1%1.0%00111223344566777877654218.4%314,765,712

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

Points  (Full Screen)
Chance Will Win Championship  (Full Screen)