How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did last week and who we should root for this week.   Explain

Week of 8/13100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Promoted100.0*Relegated100.0*Average seed
Tamworth 2 AFC Telford 1 -0.9
-1.6
+3.5
-0.9
AFC Fylde 1 Brackley Town 1 +0.1
+0.1
FC Halifax Town 3 Worcester City 0 -0.1
Alfreton Town 0 Curzon Ashton 1 +0.1
Darlington 1883 4 Boston United 1 -0.1
Kidderminster H 0 Chorley 0 *-0.1
Gloucester City 4 Gainsborough Tr 1 -0.1
Curzon Ashton 1 Darlington 1883 2 -0.1
Bradford Park A 1 Nuneaton Town 1 -0.1
If winner is:HomeDrawAway
AFC Telford vs Stalybridge Cel+0.3-0.1-0.3
+0.8-0.3-0.7
-6.2+1.5+6.2
+0.9-0.3-0.9
Boston United vs Tamworth+0.0+0.0-0.1
+0.6-0.1-0.4
Worcester City vs Gloucester City+0.4-0.1-0.3
Stockport County vs FC Halifax Town+0.1-0.0-0.1
Gainsborough Tr vs Harrogate Town+0.4-0.1-0.3
Altrincham vs AFC Fylde+0.1-0.1-0.1
Nuneaton Town vs Kidderminster H+0.2-0.1-0.2
Brackley Town vs Alfreton Town-0.1-0.1+0.1
Chorley vs Bradford Park A+0.0-0.1+0.0
If winner is:HomeDrawAway
Week of 8/20100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Promoted100.0*Relegated100.0*Average seed
Curzon Ashton vs AFC Telford-0.3-0.1+0.4
-0.7-0.2+0.9
+5.4+0.7-6.8
-0.8-0.2+1.1
Darlington 1883 vs Chorley-0.1-0.0+0.2
FC United of Ma vs Worcester City-0.3-0.1+0.4
Nuneaton Town vs Salford City+0.3-0.1-0.2
Gloucester City vs Darlington 1883+0.1-0.0-0.1
Kidderminster H vs Stalybridge Cel-0.2-0.1+0.3
Alfreton Town vs AFC Fylde+0.1-0.1-0.1
AFC Fylde vs Salford City+0.1-0.0-0.0
Bradford Park A vs Harrogate Town+0.1-0.1-0.1
Chorley vs Boston United-0.2-0.2+0.4
Stockport County vs Brackley Town+0.0-0.1+0.0
Gainsborough Tr vs Altrincham+0.3-0.2-0.2

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

Chances based on how well the AFC Telford finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:ChanceChance will finish season at seed
TPW-D-Lwins titlePromoted12345678910111213141516171819202122RelegatedCount
96-118YesYes100No202,637*
9530-4-599.4%99.4%991No166*
9429-6-499.799.71000No292*
9329-5-599.899.81000No608*
9229-4-699.999.91000No1,023*
9128-6-599.699.71000No1,983*
9028-5-699.899.81000No3,447*
8928-4-799.499.6991No5,928*
8827-6-699.399.4991No9,882*
8727-5-799.099.3991No16,470*
8626-7-698.598.99910No27,166*
8526-6-797.898.49820No43,638*
8426-5-896.797.59730No70,248*
8325-7-795.196.39550No109,884*
8225-6-893.194.893700No168,141*
8125-5-990.492.890900No255,359*
8024-7-886.890.1871310No380,615*
7924-6-982.286.68217100No559,483*
7823-8-876.482.37622200No809,963*
7723-7-969.477.069274000No1,153,326*
7623-6-1061.070.861326000No1,621,537*
7522-8-951.763.85237101000No2,242,219*
7422-7-1042.056.54241142000No3,064,373*
7322-6-1132.149.132422051000No4,124,977*
7221-8-1022.942.123412781000No5,475,173*
7121-7-1114.936.11536321430000No7,156,372*
7021-6-128.731.29283421710000No9,221,824*
6920-8-114.527.442033271231000No11,742,561*
6820-7-122.024.2212273120720000No14,732,601*
6720-6-130.720.81619302614410000No18,232,104*
6619-8-120.216.5021023292210300000No22,238,972*
6519-7-130.011.501515262718720000No26,767,091*
6418-9-120.06.6001718272515510000No31,787,631*
6318-8-130.02.900029202823124100000No37,213,811*
6218-7-140.00.9000131122272211310000No42,995,790*
6117-9-13No0.200014122327209310000No48,991,089*
6017-8-14No0.0000014132427199200000No55,054,601*
5917-7-15No0.0000015142427188200000No61,036,186*
5816-9-14No0.000001515252718720000No66,733,971*
5716-8-15No0.0000016152526177200000.0%72,012,692*
5616-7-16NoNo000026162626166100000.076,599,054*
5515-9-15NoNo0000027182725155100000.080,342,915*
5415-8-16NoNo000002819282413410000.183,130,851*
5315-7-17NoNo000003102128231130000.584,828,673*
5214-9-16NoNo0000141224292082002.185,357,561*
5114-8-17NoNo0000015152728175106.484,687,532*
5014-7-18NoNo0000028203026123015.082,826,301*
4913-9-17NoNo000013122531217128.279,845,483*
4813-8-18NoNo00001618312913244.375,882,693*
4713-7-19NoNo00000211263421560.571,063,621*
4612-9-18NoNo000161935301074.465,589,990*
4512-8-19NoNo00031231371684.859,653,724*
4411-10-18NoNo0001726422491.653,419,914*
4311-9-19NoNo0000419433495.847,121,839*
4211-8-20NoNo000213414498.040,949,499*
4110-10-19NoNo00019375499.135,029,951*
4010-9-20NoNo0005326399.629,488,342*
3910-8-21NoNo0003267199.924,421,733*
389-10-20NoNo0002207899.919,910,433*
379-9-21NoNo0011684100.015,963,544*
369-8-22NoNo0001288100.012,578,099*
358-10-21NoNo000891100.09,742,053*
348-9-22NoNo00694100.07,417,427*
338-8-23NoNo00496100.05,546,270*
328-7-24NoNo00397100.04,072,761*
317-9-23NoNo0298Yes2,934,199*
307-8-24NoNo0199Yes2,073,973*
297-7-25NoNo0199Yes1,432,244*
286-9-24NoNo00100Yes974,651*
276-8-25NoNo0100Yes646,099*
266-7-26NoNo0100Yes420,465*
255-9-25NoNo0100Yes267,436*
245-8-26NoNo0100Yes166,104*
235-7-27NoNo0100Yes101,360*
224-9-26NoNo0100Yes59,454*
214-8-27NoNo0100Yes34,392*
204-7-28NoNo0100Yes19,132*
193-9-27NoNo0100Yes10,554*
15-18NoNo100Yes10,307*
142-7-30NoNo0100Yes307*
1-13NoNo100Yes202,698*
Total:0.7%2.1%11122223334455566789101129.4%1,791,089,472

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

Points
Chance Will Win Championship