How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did last week and who we should root for this week.   Explain

Week of 8/13100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Promoted100.0*Relegated100.0*Average seed
AFC Fylde 1 Brackley Town 1 -0.9
-1.1
+0.4
-0.3
Tamworth 2 AFC Telford 1 -0.2
-0.2
-0.1
Kidderminster H 0 Chorley 0 +0.1
+0.1
Curzon Ashton 1 Darlington 1883 2 -0.1
-0.1
FC Halifax Town 3 Worcester City 0 -0.1
-0.1
Darlington 1883 4 Boston United 1 -0.1
-0.1
-0.1
Alfreton Town 0 Curzon Ashton 1 +0.1
+0.1
+0.1
Harrogate Town 2 Altrincham 2 *+0.1
+0.1
Gloucester City 4 Gainsborough Tr 1 -0.1
Bradford Park A 1 Nuneaton Town 1 +0.1
If winner is:HomeDrawAway
Altrincham vs AFC Fylde-1.8-0.6+2.2
-2.7-0.8+3.3
+2.0+0.2-2.3
-0.9-0.2+1.1
Boston United vs Tamworth+0.2+0.1-0.2
+0.2+0.1-0.2
+0.2-0.0-0.1
Worcester City vs Gloucester City+0.1+0.1-0.1
+0.1+0.1-0.2
+0.1-0.0-0.1
Stockport County vs FC Halifax Town+0.0+0.1-0.1
+0.0+0.1-0.1
Gainsborough Tr vs Harrogate Town+0.1+0.1-0.1
+0.1+0.1-0.1
+0.1-0.0-0.1
Nuneaton Town vs Kidderminster H+0.1+0.1-0.1
+0.1+0.1-0.1
+0.1-0.0-0.1
Salford City vs FC United of Ma-0.1+0.1+0.0
-0.1+0.1-0.0
Brackley Town vs Alfreton Town-0.1+0.1+0.0
-0.1+0.1+0.0
Chorley vs Bradford Park A-0.0+0.1-0.0
AFC Telford vs Stalybridge Cel+0.0-0.1-0.0
If winner is:HomeDrawAway
Week of 8/20100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Promoted100.0*Relegated100.0*Average seed
AFC Fylde vs Salford City+2.2-0.7-1.9
+3.2-0.9-2.9
-2.1+0.4+2.1
+1.0-0.3-1.0
Alfreton Town vs AFC Fylde-1.7-0.5+2.3
-2.6-0.7+3.4
+1.9+0.2-2.3
-0.9-0.2+1.1
Darlington 1883 vs Chorley-0.1+0.1+0.1
-0.1+0.1+0.1
-0.0-0.0+0.1
Nuneaton Town vs Salford City+0.1+0.1-0.1
+0.1+0.1-0.1
+0.1-0.0-0.1
FC Halifax Town vs Tamworth-0.0+0.1-0.1
-0.0+0.2-0.1
Gloucester City vs Darlington 1883+0.0+0.1-0.1
+0.0+0.1-0.1
FC United of Ma vs Worcester City-0.1+0.1+0.1
-0.1+0.1+0.1
-0.1-0.0+0.1
Kidderminster H vs Stalybridge Cel-0.1+0.1+0.1
-0.1+0.1+0.1
-0.1-0.0+0.1
Bradford Park A vs Harrogate Town+0.0+0.1-0.1
+0.0+0.1-0.1
+0.1-0.0-0.0
Stockport County vs Brackley Town-0.0+0.1-0.0
-0.0+0.1-0.0
Chorley vs Boston United-0.1+0.0+0.1
-0.1+0.1+0.1
-0.1-0.1+0.1
Gainsborough Tr vs Altrincham+0.0+0.0-0.1
+0.1+0.1-0.1
+0.1-0.1-0.1
Curzon Ashton vs AFC Telford-0.0-0.1+0.1

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

Chances based on how well the AFC Fylde finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:ChanceChance will finish season at seed
TPW-D-Lwins titlePromoted12345678910111213141516171819202122RelegatedCount
104-124YesYes100No202,738*
10332-3-599.6%99.6%1000No263*
101-102YesYes100No1,366*
10030-6-499.999.91000No1,648*
9930-5-5YesYes100No2,984*
9830-4-6100.0100.01000No5,323*
9729-6-5100.0100.01000No8,812*
9629-5-6100.0100.01000No15,381*
9529-4-7100.0100.01000No25,068*
9428-6-699.999.91000No40,591*
9328-5-799.999.91000No64,538*
9227-7-699.999.91000No102,370*
9127-6-799.899.81000No158,551*
9027-5-899.799.810000No240,512*
8926-7-799.599.610000No361,087*
8826-6-899.299.49910No529,888*
8726-5-998.999.29910No771,184*
8625-7-898.498.89820No1,098,498*
8525-6-997.698.298200No1,551,017*
8424-8-896.597.396400No2,147,266*
8324-7-994.996.295500No2,938,463*
8224-6-1092.794.693700No3,952,266*
8123-8-989.892.49010000No5,245,746*
8023-7-1086.189.68613100No6,864,077*
7923-6-1181.285.98118100No8,859,040*
7822-8-1075.281.475222000No11,271,305*
7722-7-1168.076.068284000No14,130,430*
7622-6-1259.569.7603361000No17,486,738*
7521-8-1150.262.75038101000No21,341,434*
7421-7-1240.355.34041153000No25,688,629*
7320-9-1130.647.931422151000No30,502,272*
7220-8-1221.541.1224028920000No35,716,387*
7120-7-1313.835.21435321540000No41,282,133*
7019-9-128.030.68273422710000No47,073,460*
6919-8-134.026.9418322813410000No52,929,081*
6819-7-141.723.82112631218200000No58,750,743*
6718-9-130.620.31517292715510000No64,339,542*
6618-8-140.216.0021022292310310000No69,509,033*
6518-7-150.010.9014142528198200000No74,099,972*
6417-9-140.06.10016172726156100000No77,915,301*
6317-8-150.02.600028192724134100000No80,866,940*
6217-7-160.00.8000031021272211410000No82,794,364*
6116-9-15No0.20001311222721103100000No83,617,074*
6016-8-16No0.000014122327209300000No83,335,271*
5915-10-15No0.000001513242719820000000.0%81,915,399*
5815-9-16No0.000001514252718820000No79,423,081*
5715-8-17No0.0000016152527177200000.075,970,235*
5614-10-16NoNo0000016162626166100000.071,681,863*
5514-9-17NoNo00002717272615510000.066,676,571*
5414-8-18NoNo00002819272513410000.161,171,047*
5313-10-17NoNo000003102128231130000.555,323,687*
5213-9-18NoNo0000141224292082002.149,365,135*
5113-8-19NoNo0000015152728176106.543,387,231*
5012-10-18NoNo000028203026123015.137,595,888*
4912-9-19NoNo00013122531217128.232,119,440*
4812-8-20NoNo00001618312913244.227,013,320*
4711-10-19NoNo0000211263421560.322,395,360*
4611-9-20NoNo000161935301074.218,284,873*
4511-8-21NoNo000031231371684.614,702,570*
4410-10-20NoNo0001726422491.511,640,798*
4310-9-21NoNo000419433495.79,068,228*
4210-8-22NoNo000213414498.06,957,824*
419-10-21NoNo0019375499.15,250,164*
409-9-22NoNo0005316399.63,895,634*
399-8-23NoNo003267199.92,843,669*
388-10-22NoNo002207899.92,036,853*
378-9-23NoNo0011584100.01,437,498*
368-8-24NoNo001188100.0993,533*
357-10-23NoNo00892100.0673,911*
347-9-24NoNo00694100.0448,890*
337-8-25NoNo0496Yes294,806*
326-10-24NoNo0397Yes188,088*
316-9-25NoNo0298Yes118,699*
306-8-26NoNo0199Yes72,445*
295-10-25NoNo0199Yes43,403*
285-9-26NoNo0100Yes25,763*
275-8-27NoNo0100Yes14,701*
265-7-28NoNo0100Yes8,268*
254-9-27NoNo0100Yes4,545*
244-8-28NoNo0100Yes2,367*
4-23NoNo100Yes204,899*
Total:6.2%12.2%66666665555554444333226.4%1,791,089,472

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

Points
Chance Will Win Championship