How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did last week and who we should root for this week.   Explain

Week of 9/2100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Direct qualify100.0*Average seed
Malta 0 England 4 +5.4
+3.9
+1.0
Slovakia 1 Slovenia 0 -4.1
-1.9
-0.2
Lithuania 0 Scotland 3 -0.1
-0.2
Denmark 4 Poland 0 -0.1
+0.1
Kazakhstan 0 Montenegro 3 *-0.1
Serbia 3 Moldova 0 *-0.1
Georgia 1 Republic of Ire 1 *+0.1
+0.0
Bulgaria 3 Sweden 2 +0.1
France 4 Netherlands 0 -0.1
Finland 1 Iceland 0 +0.1
Czech Republic 1 Germany 2 -0.1
Greece 0 Estonia 0 +0.0
Belgium 9 Gibraltar 0 -0.0
Croatia 1 Kosovo 0 -0.0

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

Chances based on how well the England finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance inDirectChance will finish regular season at seed
TPW-D-Lplayoffsqualify123456789101112131415161718192021222324252627282930313233343536373839404142434445464748495051525354Count
262-0-0InYes02164338222,923,474
241-1-0InYes00762273174,131,240
231-0-1InYes01364318376,643,385
220-2-0InYes06284022433,821,678
210-1-179.6%89.8%162334150031151028,878,524
200-0-236.562.20021123016151810201105,024,139
Total:98.3%99.1%01720411774100010000000541,422,440
Points
Chance Will Make Playoffs