"...per the brilliant Sports Club Stats"
(thank you Mr. Dater)

How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did last week and who we should root for this week.   Explain

Week of 9/2100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Direct qualify100.0*Average seed
Denmark 4 Poland 0 +3.3
+9.6
+2.8
Kazakhstan 0 Montenegro 3 -0.2
-1.6
-0.4
Serbia 3 Moldova 0 -0.4
-0.0
Georgia 1 Republic of Ire 1 +0.3
Bulgaria 3 Sweden 2 +0.3
Finland 1 Iceland 0 +0.2
+0.1
Wales 1 Austria 0 -0.2
Cyprus 3 Bosnia-Herzegov 2 +0.2
+0.1
Greece 0 Estonia 0 +0.2
+0.0
Slovakia 1 Slovenia 0 -0.2
San Marino 0 N Ireland 3 -0.1
Romania 1 Armenia 0 -0.1
Israel 0 Macedonia 1 +0.1
Czech Republic 1 Germany 2 +0.1
Lithuania 0 Scotland 3 -0.1
Albania 2 Liechtenstein 0 -0.0

What If

Chances based on how well the Denmark finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance inDirectChance will finish regular season at seed
TPW-D-Lplayoffsqualify123456789101112131415161718192021222324252627282930313233343536373839404142434445464748495051525354Count
222-0-051.8%75.9%00216221010621191079,594,743
201-1-014.153.3002660527291330070117,349,289
191-0-10.216.1000000271194155111000192,991,976
180-2-0Out21.4016162092220610033,829,794
170-1-1Out0.7000012725342281085,645,927
160-0-2OutNo021129351940032,010,711
Total:10.7%29.9%00024310149975312497531000541,422,440
Points
Chance Will Make Playoffs