100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
Chance will finish season at seed
GW-L-TPCTGD1234567891011121314151617181920212223242526272829303132Avg.Change
Dallas114-0-01.000285870131.3Dallas Cowboys
Minnesota113-1-0.92918913792602.9Minnesota Vikings
Cleveland112-2-0.857229063211651113.3+0.11Cleveland Browns
Denver111-3-0.786611909173010155.3+0.09Denver Broncos
Arizona111-3-0.78610243252496.0Arizona Cardinals
NY Jets111-3-0.786951113313506.3+0.56New York Jets
New England12-3-0.800114623652506.4-0.99New England Patriots
Tampa Bay111-3-0.7862194219750176.5+0.02Tampa Bay Buccaneers
Houston110-4-0.71413663284587.0+0.09Houston Texans
Carolina19-5-0.6436747151312941011.3-0.01Carolina Panthers
Chicago19-5-0.6436035221713841011.5-0.02Chicago Bears
Pittsburgh19-5-0.64330402959962012.5+0.03Pittsburgh Steelers
NY Giants19-5-0.64321161592214995112.9-0.04New York Giants
Tennessee18-6-0.571381518211911911515.1-0.16Tennessee Titans
Cincinnati18-6-0.571212151321181112615.5-0.26Cincinnati Bengals
Kansas City18-6-0.57142418249211815915.6-0.22Kansas City Chiefs
Seattle18-6-0.571-612581316181713715.6-0.15Seattle Seahawks
Atlanta17-7-0.500100151081021232216.8-0.18Atlanta Falcons
Miami7-8-0.467-8117172452018.2+1.13Miami Dolphins
Philadelphia15-9-0.357-900271917121010422.1+0.02Philadelphia Eagles
LA Chargers15-9-0.357-372117161512118022.5-0.07Los Angeles Chargers
Indianapolis15-9-0.357-173181618161212722.5+0.02Indianapolis Colts
San Francisco15-9-0.357-77161718171212822.6+0.02San Francisco 49ers
New Orleans14-10-0.286-1227111116191616423.6New Orleans Saints
Buffalo14-10-0.286-737111114181717523.7Buffalo Bills
Detroit14-10-0.286-8148910151929624.3Detroit Lions
LA Rams13-11-0.214-112041171114027.0Los Angeles Rams
Oakland11-13-0.071-123638261511529.0-0.01Oakland Raiders
Green Bay11-13-0.071-165529282114329.2Green Bay Packers
Jacksonville11-13-0.071-1314152029211129.8-0.01Jacksonville Jaguars
Washington10-14-0.000-26871522322430.5-0.01Washington Redskins
Baltimore10-14-0.000-1611713225731.3+0.03Baltimore Ravens

Lottery Big Games

Tuesday, 5/1
New England 34 Miami 13
100.0*Lottery seed
Cleveland+0.1
Denver+0.1
NY Jets+0.6
New England-1.0
Houston+0.1
Tennessee-0.2
Cincinnati-0.3
Kansas City-0.2
Seattle-0.2
Atlanta-0.2
Miami+1.1
LA Chargers-0.1
San Francisco+0.0
Buffalo vs Kansas CityIf winner is:HomeTieAway
100.0*Lottery seed
Pittsburgh12.012.212.9
Kansas City17.015.214.1
LA Chargers22.822.322.1
Buffalo22.524.724.9
Tennessee vs IndianapolisHomeTieAway
100.0*Lottery seed
Tennessee14.015.216.2
Kansas City15.915.315.3
Indianapolis23.621.921.4
Cincinnati vs DenverHomeTieAway
100.0*Lottery seed
Denver6.25.34.3
Houston6.77.47.4
Cincinnati14.315.116.7
Pittsburgh vs DetroitHomeTieAway
100.0*Lottery seed
Pittsburgh11.612.013.3
Kansas City15.816.015.3
LA Chargers22.222.222.8
Detroit25.424.623.1
Green Bay vs San FranciscoHomeTieAway
100.0*Lottery seed
San Francisco23.721.921.4
Green Bay28.529.329.9
NY Giants vs AtlantaHomeTieAway
100.0*Lottery seed
Chicago11.811.711.2
NY Giants11.711.814.2
Atlanta18.017.815.7
Tampa Bay vs New OrleansHomeTieAway
100.0*Lottery seed
Arizona6.36.35.7
Tampa Bay5.96.27.1
New Orleans24.724.622.4
Washington vs PhiladelphiaHomeTieAway
100.0*Lottery seed
Philadelphia23.121.821.0
Washington29.931.131.2
Houston vs ClevelandHomeTieAway
100.0*Lottery seed
Cleveland4.13.22.4
Houston6.47.67.7
Arizona vs JacksonvilleHomeTieAway
100.0*Lottery seed
Arizona5.56.26.4
Tampa Bay6.86.26.2
Jacksonville30.629.329.1
LA Rams vs SeattleHomeTieAway
100.0*Lottery seed
Seattle16.715.114.5
LA Rams26.626.627.4
Dallas vs LA ChargersHomeTieAway
100.0*Lottery seed
Philadelphia21.8*22.222.3
LA Chargers23.621.921.3
Minnesota vs ChicagoHomeTieAway
100.0*Lottery seed
Minnesota2.52.83.3
Carolina11.1*11.511.6
Chicago12.411.910.7
NY Giants12.612.613.2
Carolina vs NY JetsHomeTieAway
100.0*Lottery seed
Carolina10.611.812.1
NY Giants13.212.612.7
Baltimore vs OaklandHomeTieAway
100.0*Lottery seed
Oakland29.729.128.3
Baltimore30.731.231.8
Thursday, 5/3
NY Jets vs New EnglandIf winner is:HomeTieAway
100.0*Lottery seed
NY Jets3.76.59.0
New England9.06.43.9
Kansas City vs LA ChargersHomeTieAway
100.0*Lottery seed
Pittsburgh12.912.212.0
Kansas City14.215.217.0
LA Chargers23.521.921.4
Atlanta vs New OrleansHomeTieAway
100.0*Lottery seed
Atlanta15.717.718.0
New Orleans24.724.722.4
Philadelphia vs OaklandHomeTieAway
100.0*Lottery seed
Philadelphia20.921.923.2
LA Chargers22.822.222.2
Buffalo23.924.023.5
Oakland29.729.328.3
Cleveland vs DenverHomeTieAway
100.0*Lottery seed
Cleveland2.02.84.5
Denver6.75.73.9
New England6.56.06.4
Houston6.97.67.2
Seattle vs TennesseeHomeTieAway
100.0*Lottery seed
Tennessee16.414.913.7
Seattle14.115.317.1
Jacksonville vs IndianapolisHomeTieAway
100.0*Lottery seed
LA Chargers22.2*22.522.7
Indianapolis23.721.921.4
Jacksonville29.129.230.6
Buffalo vs MiamiHomeTieAway
100.0*Lottery seed
Miami18.918.817.5
Buffalo22.524.624.9
Detroit vs Green BayHomeTieAway
100.0*Lottery seed
Detroit23.224.625.4
Green Bay29.829.228.6
Carolina vs Tampa BayHomeTieAway
100.0*Lottery seed
Arizona5.76.36.3
Tampa Bay7.16.25.9
Carolina10.411.812.3
Chicago11.911.511.1
NY Giants13.212.712.7
Chicago vs CincinnatiHomeTieAway
100.0*Lottery seed
Chicago10.811.812.2
NY Giants13.112.612.8
Cincinnati16.615.314.3
Minnesota vs WashingtonHomeTieAway
100.0*Lottery seed
Minnesota2.52.83.3
Green Bay28.929.129.5
Washington31.231.129.8
Dallas vs NY GiantsHomeTieAway
100.0*Lottery seed
Carolina11.111.711.6
Chicago11.211.911.8
NY Giants14.211.811.7
San Francisco vs ArizonaHomeTieAway
100.0*Lottery seed
Arizona6.46.25.5
Tampa Bay6.26.26.8
San Francisco21.521.923.7
Baltimore vs PittsburghHomeTieAway
100.0*Lottery seed
Pittsburgh13.312.111.6
Kansas City15.315.815.9
Baltimore30.731.031.8
Houston vs LA RamsHomeTieAway
100.0*Lottery seed
Denver5.65.05.0
Houston6.47.67.7
LA Rams27.426.626.6

* A starred outcome could have no effect or just a really small effect. The simulation did not run long enough to know.