National Football Conference Playoff Chances 5 50/50

Chicago +0.3, Carolina -0.3
Games Above .500
Chance Will Make Playoffs

Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
Chance will make playoffsWin SBChance will finish regular season at seed
GW-L-TPCTGD%Change%Change12345678910111213141516Avg.ChangeRPI
Dallas14-0-01.000285In12.5%-0.087131.11Dallas Cowboys
Minnesota13-1-0.929189In12.2+0.0138161.95Minnesota Vikings
Arizona11-3-0.786102In6.2-0.067333.33Arizona Cardinals
Tampa Bay11-3-0.786219In6.6+0.0627673.62Tampa Bay Buccaneers
Carolina9-5-0.6436774.9%-0.34.7-0.0472819615.8-0.0110Carolina Panthers
Chicago9-5-0.6436074.6+0.34.7+0.0353922405.9+0.0111Chicago Bears
NY Giants9-5-0.6432140.7-0.02.5-0.01624301996.818New York Giants
Seattle8-6-0.571-68.6+0.00.5+0.0171947257.917Seattle Seahawks
Atlanta7-7-0.500101.3-0.00.1+0.0110245968.612Atlanta Falcons
Philadelphia5-9-0.357-90OutNo64259210.521Philadelphia Eagles
San Francisco5-9-0.357-77OutNo6244125511.025San Francisco 49ers
New Orleans4-10-0.286-122OutNo5263924512.022New Orleans Saints
Detroit4-10-0.286-81OutNo172560612.623Detroit Lions
LA Rams3-11-0.214-112OutNo298913.931Los Angeles Rams
Green Bay1-13-0.071-165OutNo693115.328Green Bay Packers
Washington0-14-0.000-268OutNo316915.730Washington Redskins

Will update after every advance.

Big Games

Who should we root for?   Explain

Tuesday, 5/1
New England 34 Miami 13
100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win Super Bowl
Carolina-0.4
Chicago+0.3
NY Giants vs AtlantaIf winner is:HomeTieAway
100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win Super Bowl
Carolina66.965.382.9
4.2*4.05.2
Chicago62.864.986.4
3.9*3.75.4
NY Giants64.164.517.2
4.05.01.1
Seattle6.35.210.9
0.4*0.40.7
AtlantaOutOut2.5
No*No0.2
Minnesota vs ChicagoHomeTieAway
100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win Super Bowl
Minnesota12.5*13.011.8
Tampa Bay6.2*5.97.0
Carolina80.771.169.0
5.0*4.54.3
Chicago55.465.093.8
3.4*5.25.9
NY Giants50.150.331.3
3.1*3.11.9
Seattle12.512.44.7
0.8*0.50.3
Carolina vs NY JetsHomeTieAway
100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win Super Bowl
Carolina93.364.556.4
5.8*3.63.5
Chicago70.7*73.278.5
4.4*4.04.9
NY Giants31.450.750.0
2.0*3.03.1
Seattle4.711.712.6
0.3*0.40.8
AtlantaOutOut2.5
No*No0.2
LA Rams vs SeattleHomeTieAway
100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win Super Bowl
Carolina76.4*71.573.3
4.8*3.94.6
Chicago76.7*72.672.5
4.8*4.84.5
NY Giants45.346.836.0
2.8*3.92.2
SeattleOut*8.217.2
No*0.41.1
Atlanta1.5*0.91.0
Green Bay vs San FranciscoHomeTieAway
100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win Super Bowl
Carolina73.4*75.176.3
4.6*4.14.8
Chicago75.4*72.673.8
4.7*3.94.6
Atlanta1.8*1.10.7
0.1*No0.0
Buffalo vs Kansas CityHomeTieAway
100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win Super Bowl
Carolina75.3*75.974.4
Chicago74.2*71.475.0
Tampa Bay vs New OrleansHomeTieAway
100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win Super Bowl
Minnesota11.8*12.112.5
Tampa Bay7.0*6.76.2
Carolina74.5*74.875.2
Chicago75.0*73.274.2
Baltimore vs OaklandHomeTieAway
100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win Super Bowl
Carolina74.5*73.875.2
Chicago75.0*76.274.2
Arizona vs JacksonvilleHomeTieAway
100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win Super Bowl
Carolina74.5*76.675.2
Chicago75.0*72.074.2
Houston vs ClevelandHomeTieAway
100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win Super Bowl
Carolina75.2*73.474.5
Chicago74.3*74.174.9
Pittsburgh vs DetroitHomeTieAway
100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win Super Bowl
Carolina74.5*76.075.2
Atlanta1.5*1.41.0
Thursday, 5/3
Dallas vs NY GiantsIf winner is:HomeTieAway
100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win Super Bowl
Carolina82.666.067.1
5.1*3.94.2
Chicago86.760.862.5
5.4*3.83.9
NY Giants17.266.964.1
1.1*3.84.0
Seattle11.0*6.36.2
0.7*0.50.4
Atlanta2.5OutOut
0.2*NoNo
Carolina vs Tampa BayHomeTieAway
100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win Super Bowl
Minnesota12.6*10.911.8
Tampa Bay6.2*7.97.0
Carolina96.965.652.8
6.0*4.43.3
Chicago67.1*73.882.1
4.2*5.85.1
NY Giants31.349.250.1
2.0*3.33.1
Seattle4.711.412.5
0.3*0.90.8
AtlantaOutOut2.5
No*No0.2
Chicago vs CincinnatiHomeTieAway
100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win Super Bowl
Carolina71.770.378.0
4.5*4.54.9
Chicago91.165.158.2
5.7*3.83.6
NY Giants31.351.150.1
1.9*3.13.1
Seattle4.711.912.5
0.3*0.40.8
Seattle vs TennesseeHomeTieAway
100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win Super Bowl
Carolina72.8*71.976.9
4.5*4.54.8
Chicago73.0*74.576.2
4.5*4.74.8
NY Giants36.0*44.645.3
2.3*2.22.8
Seattle17.2*8.4Out
1.1*0.6No
Atlanta1.0*0.61.5
Detroit vs Green BayHomeTieAway
100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win Super Bowl
Carolina76.3*75.373.4
4.7*5.34.6
Chicago73.7*77.275.5
4.6*3.94.7
Atlanta0.7*1.81.8
Atlanta vs New OrleansHomeTieAway
100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win Super Bowl
Carolina73.5*76.676.2
4.6*5.34.8
Atlanta2.5OutOut
0.2*NoNo
San Francisco vs ArizonaHomeTieAway
100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win Super Bowl
Carolina75.5*76.674.2
Chicago74.2*74.175.0
Atlanta1.0*1.81.5
0.1*No0.1
Baltimore vs PittsburghHomeTieAway
100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win Super Bowl
Carolina74.5*74.675.2
Chicago75.0*73.174.2
Minnesota vs WashingtonHomeTieAway
100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win Super Bowl
Minnesota12.6*12.911.7
Tampa Bay6.3*5.37.0
Carolina74.5*72.275.2
Chicago75.0*76.374.2
Houston vs LA RamsHomeTieAway
100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win Super Bowl
Carolina75.2*76.174.5
Chicago74.3*73.874.9
Cleveland vs DenverHomeTieAway
100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win Super Bowl
Carolina74.5*77.975.2
Chicago75.0*73.474.2
Philadelphia vs OaklandHomeTieAway
100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win Super Bowl
Carolina75.2*72.274.5
Chicago74.3*75.374.9

* A starred outcome could have no effect or just a really small effect. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

First Round Opponents

Who is going to play who in the first round of the playoffs.   Explain

ByeDallasMinnesotaArizonaTampa BayCarolinaChicagoNY GiantsSeattleAtlanta
DallasYes
Minnesota93.72.80.82.00.60.2
Arizona26.045.922.45.00.6
Tampa Bay6.346.127.916.33.00.4
Carolina2.826.046.1
Chicago0.845.927.9
NY Giants2.022.416.3
Seattle0.65.03.0
Atlanta0.20.60.4