Arizona Cardinals Playoff Chances 5

Plays Jacksonville, average seed unchanged at 3.2
11-3-0   .786

How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did yesterday and who we should root for today.   Explain

If winner is:HomeTieAway
Tuesday, 5/1100.0*Win Super Bowl100.0*Average seed
Arizona vs Jacksonville+0.1*-0.1-0.3
+0.1-0.5-0.5
Carolina vs NY Jets-0.0*-0.1+0.0
Tampa Bay vs New Orleans-0.0*+0.0+0.2
If winner is:HomeTieAway
Thursday, 5/3100.0*Win Super Bowl100.0*Average seed
San Francisco vs Arizona-0.3*-0.3+0.1
-0.4-0.4+0.1
Cleveland vs Denver-0.0*-0.0+0.1
Carolina vs Tampa Bay+0.1*+0.2-0.0
+0.2-0.1-0.1
Dallas vs NY Giants+0.0*-0.3-0.1
Minnesota vs Washington+0.0*-0.0-0.1

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

Chances based on how well the Arizona finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance inChance will finish regular season at seed
TWW-L-Tplayoffs12345678910111213141516Count
132-0-0In9915,244,770
12.51-0-1In35655,288
121-1-0In35652,626,429
0-0-2In25754
11.50-1-1In2981,336
110-2-0In298292,685
Total:In75258,170,512

First Round Opponent What If

First round opponent based on how well the Arizona finish out the regular season.   Explain

If finish:Chance will play in first round
TWW-L-TWin SBChicagoCarolinaNY GiantsSeattleAtlanta
132-0-02.5%402620113
12.51-0-12.156251350
121-1-02.158251350
0-0-2No7525
11.50-1-12.3385092
110-2-01.9404992
Total:2.3%45.426.217.48.92.1
Games Above .500
Chance Will Make Playoffs