Tampa Bay Buccaneers Playoff Chances 5 50/50

Plays New Orleans, average seed unchanged at 3.6
11-3-0   .786

How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did yesterday and who we should root for today.   Explain

If winner is:HomeTieAway
Tuesday, 5/1100.0*Win Super Bowl100.0*Average seed
Tampa Bay vs New Orleans+0.4*+0.0-0.4
+0.3+0.1-0.3
Minnesota vs Chicago-0.4*-0.8+0.4
-0.1-0.1+0.1
Arizona vs Jacksonville-0.2+0.2+0.2
If winner is:HomeTieAway
Thursday, 5/3100.0*Win Super Bowl100.0*Average seed
Carolina vs Tampa Bay-0.4*+1.3+0.4
-0.3+0.1+0.3
Minnesota vs Washington-0.4*-1.3+0.4
-0.1-0.1+0.1
San Francisco vs Arizona+0.2+0.2-0.2

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

Chances based on how well the Tampa Bay finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance inChance will finish regular season at seed
TWW-L-Tplayoffs12345678910111213141516Count
132-0-0In255619640,140
12.51-0-1In78221,034
121-1-0In25751,279,754
0-0-2In1001
11.50-1-1In23771,016
110-2-0In100640,791
Total:In627672,562,736

First Round Opponent What If

First round opponent based on how well the Tampa Bay finish out the regular season.   Explain

If finish:Chance will play in first round
TWW-L-TWin SBByeCarolinaChicagoNY GiantsSeattleAtlanta
132-0-07.8%2522261961
12.51-0-17.531342681
121-1-06.242361830
0-0-2NoYes
11.50-1-17.14931191
110-2-06.377139
Total:6.6%6.346.127.916.33.00.4
Games Above .500
Chance Will Make Playoffs