Carolina Panthers Playoff Chances 5 50/50

Plays NY Jets, playoff odds down 0.3 to 74.9%
9-5-0   .643

How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did yesterday and who we should root for today.   Explain

Tuesday, 5/1100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win Super Bowl100.0*Average seed
New England 34 Miami 13 -0.4
If winner is:HomeTieAway
Carolina vs NY Jets+18.4-10.4-18.4
+1.1*-1.0-1.1
+0.4-0.3-0.4
NY Giants vs Atlanta-8.0-9.5+8.0
-0.5*-0.7+0.5
-0.2-0.2+0.2
Minnesota vs Chicago+5.8-3.7-5.8
+0.4*-0.2-0.4
+0.2-0.1-0.2
LA Rams vs Seattle+1.6*-3.3-1.6
+0.1*-0.8-0.1
+0.1-0.1-0.1
Green Bay vs San Francisco-1.4*+0.3+1.4
-0.1*-0.6+0.1
Buffalo vs Kansas City+0.4*+1.0-0.4
Tampa Bay vs New Orleans-0.4*-0.1+0.4
Pittsburgh vs Detroit-0.4*+1.2+0.4
Houston vs Cleveland+0.4*-1.5-0.4
Arizona vs Jacksonville-0.3*+1.8+0.3
Baltimore vs Oakland-0.3*-1.1+0.3
If winner is:HomeTieAway
Thursday, 5/3100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win Super Bowl100.0*Average seed
Carolina vs Tampa Bay+22.0-9.2-22.0
+1.4*-0.3-1.4
+0.6-0.3-0.6
Dallas vs NY Giants+7.7-8.9-7.7
+0.5*-0.8-0.5
+0.2-0.2-0.2
Chicago vs Cincinnati-3.1-4.6+3.1
-0.2*-0.1+0.2
-0.1-0.1+0.1
Seattle vs Tennessee-2.0*-2.9+2.0
-0.1*-0.2+0.1
-0.1-0.1+0.1
Detroit vs Green Bay+1.4*+0.4-1.4
+0.1*+0.7-0.1
Atlanta vs New Orleans-1.4*+1.7+1.4
-0.1*+0.6+0.1
San Francisco vs Arizona+0.7*+1.8-0.7
Houston vs LA Rams+0.4*+1.2-0.4
Baltimore vs Pittsburgh-0.4*-0.2+0.4
Minnesota vs Washington-0.4*-2.7+0.4
Philadelphia vs Oakland+0.3*-2.6-0.3
+0.0*-0.1-0.0
Cleveland vs Denver-0.3*+3.0+0.3

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

Chances based on how well the Carolina finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance inChance will finish regular season at seed
TWW-L-Tplayoffs12345678910111213141516Count
112-0-0In982640,209
10.51-0-193.8%553961,070
101-1-090.24545101,280,119
9.50-1-135.653151131,047
90-2-019.111856232640,291
Total:74.9%472819612,562,736

First Round Opponent What If

First round opponent based on how well the Carolina finish out the regular season.   Explain

If finish:Chance will play in first round
TWW-L-TWin SBMinnesotaArizonaTampa Bay
112-0-06.2%1486
10.51-0-16.24450
101-1-05.654145
9.50-1-11.811816
90-2-01.2299
Total:4.7%2.826.046.1
Games Above .500
Chance Will Make Playoffs

Lottery

Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.

Big Games

If winner is:HomeTieAway
Tuesday, 5/1100.0*Lottery seed
Carolina vs NY Jets-0.8+0.5+0.8
Minnesota vs Chicago-0.3*+0.1+0.3
NY Giants vs Atlanta+0.2+0.3-0.2
LA Rams vs Seattle-0.1+0.1+0.1
Pittsburgh vs Detroit+0.1-0.0-0.1
Buffalo vs Kansas City-0.1*+0.0+0.1
Green Bay vs San Francisco+0.1*-0.1-0.1
Baltimore vs Oakland+0.0*+0.1-0.0
If winner is:HomeTieAway
Thursday, 5/3100.0*Lottery seed
Carolina vs Tampa Bay-1.0+0.4+1.0
Dallas vs NY Giants-0.3+0.3+0.3
Seattle vs Tennessee+0.1+0.2-0.1
Chicago vs Cincinnati+0.1+0.2-0.1
Baltimore vs Pittsburgh-0.1+0.1+0.1
Atlanta vs New Orleans+0.0*-0.1-0.0
Minnesota vs Washington+0.0*+0.1-0.0
Philadelphia vs Oakland-0.0*+0.1+0.0
Cleveland vs Denver+0.0*-0.1-0.0

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance will finish season at seed
TWW-L-T1234567891011121314151617181920212223242526272829303132
112-0-09820
10.51-0-1553096
101-1-0452817100
9.50-1-15229282881
90-2-0111728341630
Total:471513129410