Atlanta Falcons Playoff Chances 5 50/50

Plays at NY Giants, playoff odds down 0.02 to 1.3%
7-7-0   .500

How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did yesterday and who we should root for today.   Explain

If winner is:HomeTieAway
Tuesday, 5/1100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win Super Bowl100.0*Average seed
NY Giants vs AtlantaOutOut+1.3
No*No+0.1
-0.4-0.3+0.4
Carolina vs NY JetsOutOut+1.3
No*No+0.1
Green Bay vs San Francisco+0.6*-0.1-0.6
+0.0*No-0.0
+0.1+0.1-0.1
Pittsburgh vs Detroit+0.3*+0.1-0.3
LA Rams vs Seattle+0.3*-0.4-0.3
+0.2-0.2-0.2
If winner is:HomeTieAway
Thursday, 5/3100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win Super Bowl100.0*Average seed
Carolina vs Tampa BayOutOut+1.3
No*No+0.1
-0.0-0.1+0.0
Dallas vs NY Giants+1.3OutOut
+0.1*NoNo
+0.1-0.1-0.1
Atlanta vs New Orleans+1.3OutOut
+0.1*NoNo
+0.4-0.3-0.4
Detroit vs Green Bay-0.6*+0.5+0.6
Seattle vs Tennessee-0.3*-0.7+0.3
-0.0*No+0.0
-0.2-0.2+0.2
San Francisco vs Arizona-0.3*+0.5+0.3
-0.0*No+0.0
-0.1+0.1+0.1

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

Chances based on how well the Atlanta finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance inChance will finish regular season at seed
TWW-L-Tplayoffs12345678910111213141516Count
92-0-05.0%5404510640,475
8.51-0-1Out2476969
81-1-0Out25751,279,484
0-0-2Out1001
7.50-1-1Out1001,015
70-2-0Out7525640,792
Total:1.3%110245962,562,736

First Round Opponent What If

First round opponent based on how well the Atlanta finish out the regular season.   Explain

If finish:Chance will play in first round
TWW-L-TWin SBMinnesotaArizonaTampa Bay
92-0-00.3%132
7-8.5No
Total:0.1%0.20.60.4
Games Above .500
Chance Will Make Playoffs

Lottery

Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.

Big Games

Tuesday, 5/1100.0*Lottery seed
New England 34 Miami 13 -0.2
If winner is:HomeTieAway
NY Giants vs Atlanta+1.2+0.9-1.2
Buffalo vs Kansas City-0.1+0.3+0.1
Tennessee vs Indianapolis+0.2+0.2-0.2
LA Rams vs Seattle-0.1+0.2+0.1
Cincinnati vs Denver+0.1+0.2-0.1
Green Bay vs San Francisco-0.0*+0.1+0.0
Baltimore vs Oakland+0.0*-0.1-0.0
Dallas vs LA Chargers-0.0*+0.1+0.0
If winner is:HomeTieAway
Thursday, 5/3100.0*Lottery seed
Atlanta vs New Orleans-1.2+0.9+1.2
Seattle vs Tennessee-0.1+0.4+0.1
Kansas City vs LA Chargers+0.2+0.2-0.2
Buffalo vs Miami-0.2-0.1+0.2
Chicago vs Cincinnati-0.2+0.1+0.2
Dallas vs NY Giants-0.1+0.2+0.1
Baltimore vs Pittsburgh-0.0+0.2+0.0
Carolina vs Tampa Bay+0.0+0.1-0.0
Detroit vs Green Bay+0.1*-0.0-0.1
Minnesota vs Washington+0.0*+0.2-0.0
Philadelphia vs Oakland-0.0*-0.1+0.0

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance will finish season at seed
TWW-L-T1234567891011121314151617181920212223242526272829303132
92-0-005213927810
8.51-0-13234826
81-1-021642346
0-0-2100
7.50-1-15149
70-2-02575
Total:01510810212322