Chicago Bears Playoff Chances 5

Plays at Minnesota, playoff odds up 0.2 to 82.4%
9-5-0   .643

How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did yesterday and who we should root for today.   Explain

Tuesday, 5/1100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win Super Bowl100.0*Average seed
New England 34 Miami 13 +0.2
If winner is:HomeTieAway
Minnesota vs Chicago-5.8-2.4+16.8
-0.0*+0.0+0.1
-0.2+0.1+0.6
NY Giants vs Atlanta-7.1-8.9+10.3
-0.1-0.2+0.2
Carolina vs NY Jets-5.0-3.1+5.7
-0.2+0.1+0.2
LA Rams vs Seattle+3.3-2.0-2.1
+0.0*+0.1-0.0
+0.1-0.0-0.0
Arizona vs Jacksonville+0.1-2.0-0.7
+0.0-0.1-0.0
Green Bay vs San Francisco+0.8*+0.2-0.6
Tampa Bay vs New Orleans+0.1*-0.8-0.7
Buffalo vs Kansas City-0.5*+0.4+0.3
Houston vs Cleveland-0.5*-0.8+0.3
Baltimore vs Oakland+0.4*+0.2-0.4
Cincinnati vs Denver+0.1*-0.6-0.1
If winner is:HomeTieAway
Thursday, 5/3100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win Super Bowl100.0*Average seed
Chicago vs Cincinnati+14.1-24.1-27.1
+0.1*-0.1-0.1
+0.3-0.5-0.5
Dallas vs NY Giants+3.5-22.8-22.3
+0.0*-0.2-0.1
+0.1-0.4-0.4
Carolina vs Tampa Bay-6.1-4.5+2.6
-0.4-0.1+0.2
Seattle vs Tennessee-3.0-3.0+2.9
-0.0*-0.1+0.0
-0.1-0.1+0.1
Detroit vs Green Bay-0.4*+0.0+0.9
-0.0*+0.0+0.1
Cleveland vs Denver+0.1*-1.0-0.6
Baltimore vs Pittsburgh+0.5*+0.1-0.2
San Francisco vs Arizona-0.5*-1.4+0.2
Philadelphia vs Oakland-0.3*+0.4+0.4
Houston vs LA Rams-0.1*+0.8+0.5
NY Jets vs New England-0.1*+0.7+0.1
Minnesota vs Washington+0.0-0.1-0.0

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

Chances based on how well the Chicago finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance inChance will finish regular season at seed
TWW-L-Tplayoffs12345678910111213141516Count
112-0-0In85151,378,637
10.51-0-198.6%772113,022
101-1-095.6465044,707,352
0-0-2In1002
9.50-1-144.383643123,592
90-2-040.6734461302,077,907
Total:82.4%424014308,170,512

First Round Opponent What If

First round opponent based on how well the Chicago finish out the regular season.   Explain

If finish:Chance will play in first round
TWW-L-TWin SBMinnesotaArizonaTampa Bay
112-0-00.4%4159
10.51-0-10.404158
101-1-00.405541
0-0-2NoYes
9.50-1-10.22915
90-2-00.22714
Total:0.3%0.045.436.9
Games Above .500
Chance Will Make Playoffs

Lottery

Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.

Big Games

If winner is:HomeTieAway
Tuesday, 5/1100.0*Lottery seed
Minnesota vs Chicago+0.4-0.1-1.1
Carolina vs NY Jets+0.3-0.1-0.4
NY Giants vs Atlanta+0.2+0.3-0.3
Pittsburgh vs Detroit+0.1+0.0-0.2
LA Rams vs Seattle-0.1+0.1+0.1
Cincinnati vs Denver+0.1+0.1-0.0
Green Bay vs San Francisco-0.1*-0.0+0.1
Arizona vs Jacksonville-0.0+0.1+0.1
Houston vs Cleveland+0.0+0.1-0.0
Buffalo vs Kansas City-0.0+0.1+0.0
Tampa Bay vs New Orleans-0.0+0.0+0.1
Tennessee vs Indianapolis+0.0*+0.0-0.1
If winner is:HomeTieAway
Thursday, 5/3100.0*Lottery seed
Chicago vs Cincinnati-0.6+0.8+1.2
Carolina vs Tampa Bay+0.7+0.2-0.3
Dallas vs NY Giants-0.1+0.7+0.7
Baltimore vs Pittsburgh-0.2*+0.0+0.1
Seattle vs Tennessee+0.0+0.2-0.0
Detroit vs Green Bay+0.0*-0.0-0.1
Kansas City vs LA Chargers+0.0+0.1-0.1
Minnesota vs Washington-0.0+0.1+0.1
San Francisco vs Arizona+0.0+0.1-0.0
Cleveland vs Denver-0.0+0.1+0.1
Houston vs LA Rams+0.0*-0.0-0.1

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance will finish season at seed
TWW-L-T1234567891011121314151617181920212223242526272829303132
112-0-085123
10.51-0-17710111
101-1-046183240
0-0-2100
9.50-1-181351425152
90-2-070339232160
Total:42122856520