Games Above .500
Chance Will Make Playoffs
| 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | |||||||||||||||||||
| Chance will make playoffs | Win SB | Chance will finish regular season at seed | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| G | W | - | L | - | T | PCT | GD | % | Change | % | Change | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | Avg. | Change | RPI | ||||
| Cleveland | 1 | 12 | - | 2 | - | 0 | .857 | 229 | In | 11.0 | % | -0.2 | 64 | 13 | 11 | 12 | 1.7 | -0.07 | 7 | Cleveland Browns | ||||||||||||||
| Denver | 1 | 11 | - | 3 | - | 0 | .786 | 61 | In | 8.0 | -0.3 | 19 | 9 | 47 | 25 | 2.8 | -0.05 | 13 | Denver Broncos | |||||||||||||||
| NY Jets | 1 | 11 | - | 3 | - | 0 | .786 | 95 | In | 9.1 | -0.6 | 11 | 34 | 5 | 50 | 3.4 | -0.33 | 4 | New York Jets | |||||||||||||||
| New England | 12 | - | 3 | - | 0 | .800 | 114 | In | 9.0 | +1.2 | 6 | 37 | 6 | 50 | 3.5 | +0.55 | 6 | New England Patriots | ||||||||||||||||
| Houston | 1 | 10 | - | 4 | - | 0 | .714 | 136 | In | 6.7 | -0.2 | 6 | 31 | 62 | 3.6 | -0.05 | 9 | Houston Texans | ||||||||||||||||
| Pittsburgh | 1 | 9 | - | 5 | - | 0 | .643 | 30 | 68.4 | % | +1.5 | 4.3 | +0.1 | 68 | 24 | 7 | 1 | 6.4 | 8 | Pittsburgh Steelers | ||||||||||||||
| Kansas City | 1 | 8 | - | 6 | - | 0 | .571 | 42 | 22.3 | +1.2 | 1.4 | +0.1 | 22 | 22 | 26 | 21 | 9 | 7.7 | +0.20 | 16 | Kansas City Chiefs | |||||||||||||
| Tennessee | 1 | 8 | - | 6 | - | 0 | .571 | 38 | 5.9 | -0.0 | 0.4 | -0.0 | 6 | 36 | 33 | 25 | 7.8 | +0.14 | 15 | Tennessee Titans | ||||||||||||||
| Cincinnati | 1 | 8 | - | 6 | - | 0 | .571 | 2 | 3.5 | +0.0 | 0.2 | -0.0 | 4 | 18 | 30 | 37 | 12 | 8.4 | +0.18 | 20 | Cincinnati Bengals | |||||||||||||
| Miami | 7 | - | 8 | - | 0 | .467 | -81 | Out | -2.6 | No | -0.2 | 1 | 5 | 16 | 78 | 9.7 | -0.58 | 14 | Miami Dolphins | |||||||||||||||
| Indianapolis | 1 | 5 | - | 9 | - | 0 | .357 | -173 | Out | No | 47 | 41 | 12 | 11.7 | 24 | Indianapolis Colts | ||||||||||||||||||
| LA Chargers | 1 | 5 | - | 9 | - | 0 | .357 | -37 | Out | No | 39 | 40 | 20 | 11.8 | 26 | Los Angeles Chargers | ||||||||||||||||||
| Buffalo | 1 | 4 | - | 10 | - | 0 | .286 | -73 | Out | No | 14 | 19 | 67 | 12.5 | 19 | Buffalo Bills | ||||||||||||||||||
| Jacksonville | 1 | 1 | - | 13 | - | 0 | .071 | -131 | Out | No | 59 | 33 | 8 | 14.5 | 32 | Jacksonville Jaguars | ||||||||||||||||||
| Oakland | 1 | 1 | - | 13 | - | 0 | .071 | -123 | Out | No | 28 | 37 | 34 | 15.1 | 27 | Oakland Raiders | ||||||||||||||||||
| Baltimore | 1 | 0 | - | 14 | - | 0 | .000 | -161 | Out | No | 12 | 29 | 58 | 15.5 | 29 | Baltimore Ravens | ||||||||||||||||||
Will update after every advance.
Big Games
Who should we root for? Explain
| Tuesday, 5/1 | ||||
| New England 34 Miami 13 | ||||
| 100.0* | Chance in playoffs | 100.0* | Win Super Bowl | |
| Cleveland | -0.2 | |||
| Denver | -0.3 | |||
| NY Jets | -0.5 | |||
| New England | +1.2 | |||
| Houston | -0.2 | |||
| Pittsburgh | +1.5 | +0.1 | ||
| Kansas City | +1.2 | +0.1 | ||
| Miami | Out | No | ||
| Pittsburgh vs DetroitIf winner is:HomeTieAway | ||||
| 100.0* | Chance in playoffs | 100.0* | Win Super Bowl | |
| Pittsburgh | 87.573.149.2 | 5.5*5.43.1 | ||
| Kansas City | 12.58.532.1 | 0.8*0.42.0 | ||
| Tennessee | Out12.811.7 | No1.10.7 | ||
| Cincinnati | Out5.67.0 | No*0.60.4 | ||
| Buffalo vs Kansas CityHomeTieAway | ||||
| 100.0* | Chance in playoffs | 100.0* | Win Super Bowl | |
| Pittsburgh | 84.481.452.3 | 5.3*3.93.3 | ||
| Kansas City | 4.76.639.8 | 0.3*0.62.5 | ||
| Tennessee | 6.2*7.25.5 | 0.4*0.60.3 | ||
| Cincinnati | 4.7*4.82.3 | 0.3*0.10.1 | ||
| Tennessee vs IndianapolisHomeTieAway | ||||
| 100.0* | Chance in playoffs | 100.0* | Win Super Bowl | |
| Pittsburgh | 69.661.167.2 | 4.3*3.94.2 | ||
| Kansas City | 16.426.228.2 | 1.0*0.91.8 | ||
| Tennessee | 11.7*7.2Out | 0.7*0.5No | ||
| Cincinnati | 2.35.54.7 | 0.1*0.30.3 | ||
| Cincinnati vs DenverHomeTieAway | ||||
| 100.0* | Chance in playoffs | 100.0* | Win Super Bowl | |
| Cleveland | 11.0*10.811.1 | |||
| Denver | 7.0*8.19.0 | |||
| NY Jets | 9.3*8.08.8 | |||
| New England | 9.4*8.08.6 | |||
| Houston | 7.1*8.06.3 | |||
| Pittsburgh | 66.4*67.970.3 | 4.2*3.34.4 | ||
| Kansas City | 21.1*19.723.4 | 1.3*1.31.5 | ||
| Tennessee | 5.5*6.06.2 | |||
| Cincinnati | 7.06.4Out | 0.4*0.3No | ||
| Houston vs ClevelandHomeTieAway | ||||
| 100.0* | Chance in playoffs | 100.0* | Win Super Bowl | |
| Cleveland | 9.6*10.212.5 | |||
| Denver | 8.6*8.37.4 | |||
| NY Jets | 9.2*8.29.0 | |||
| New England | 9.4*9.18.6 | |||
| Houston | 7.0*6.36.3 | |||
| Carolina vs NY JetsHomeTieAway | ||||
| 100.0* | Chance in playoffs | 100.0* | Win Super Bowl | |
| Cleveland | 11.1*10.510.9 | |||
| Denver | 8.2*7.97.8 | |||
| NY Jets | 8.8*9.99.3 | |||
| Thursday, 5/3 | ||||
| Baltimore vs PittsburghIf winner is:HomeTieAway | ||||
| 100.0* | Chance in playoffs | 100.0* | Win Super Bowl | |
| Pittsburgh | 49.2*69.787.5 | 3.1*4.45.5 | ||
| Kansas City | 32.010.912.5 | 2.0*1.30.8 | ||
| Tennessee | 11.712.9Out | 0.7*0.5No | ||
| Cincinnati | 7.06.5Out | 0.4*0.1No | ||
| Kansas City vs LA ChargersHomeTieAway | ||||
| 100.0* | Chance in playoffs | 100.0* | Win Super Bowl | |
| Pittsburgh | 52.481.684.4 | 3.3*4.35.3 | ||
| Kansas City | 39.86.54.7 | 2.50.30.3 | ||
| Tennessee | 5.4*5.86.3 | |||
| Cincinnati | 2.36.04.7 | 0.1*0.30.3 | ||
| Seattle vs TennesseeHomeTieAway | ||||
| 100.0* | Chance in playoffs | 100.0* | Win Super Bowl | |
| Pittsburgh | 71.9*64.664.8 | 4.5*3.44.1 | ||
| Kansas City | 23.4*24.321.1 | 1.4*1.41.3 | ||
| Tennessee | Out*7.511.7 | No*0.40.7 | ||
| Cincinnati | 4.7*3.62.3 | 0.3*0.10.1 | ||
| Chicago vs CincinnatiHomeTieAway | ||||
| 100.0* | Chance in playoffs | 100.0* | Win Super Bowl | |
| Pittsburgh | 70.3*67.166.4 | 4.4*3.74.1 | ||
| Kansas City | 23.4*21.221.1 | 1.5*1.31.3 | ||
| Tennessee | 6.2*5.85.5 | |||
| Cincinnati | Out5.97.0 | No0.70.4 | ||
| NY Jets vs New EnglandHomeTieAway | ||||
| 100.0* | Chance in playoffs | 100.0* | Win Super Bowl | |
| Cleveland | 11.1*11.611.0 | |||
| Denver | 7.8*8.88.2 | |||
| NY Jets | 11.9*9.16.3 | |||
| New England | 6.3*8.611.7 | |||
| Cleveland vs DenverHomeTieAway | ||||
| 100.0* | Chance in playoffs | 100.0* | Win Super Bowl | |
| Cleveland | 12.5*11.89.6 | |||
| Denver | 6.2*8.89.7 | |||
| NY Jets | 9.4*10.48.8 | |||
| New England | 9.4*10.98.6 | |||
| Houston | 6.3*6.17.1 | |||
| Houston vs LA RamsHomeTieAway | ||||
| 100.0* | Chance in playoffs | 100.0* | Win Super Bowl | |
| Cleveland | 10.9*12.811.2 | |||
| Denver | 7.6*8.48.4 | |||
| NY Jets | 9.2*8.39.0 | |||
| Houston | 7.1*5.96.3 | |||
* A starred outcome could have no effect or just a really small effect. The simulation did not run long enough to know.
First Round Opponents
Who is going to play who in the first round of the playoffs. Explain
| Bye | Cleveland | Denver | NY Jets | New England | Houston | Pittsburgh | Kansas City | Tennessee | Cincinnati | Miami | ||
| Cleveland | 76.6 | 6.2 | 6.2 | 7.4 | 2.4 | 0.6 | 0.4 | No | ||||
| Denver | 28.1 | 12.5 | 12.5 | 32.0 | 10.4 | 2.7 | 1.8 | No | ||||
| NY Jets | 45.4 | 6.2 | 12.5 | No | 31.2 | 3.3 | 1.1 | 0.3 | 0.0 | No | ||
| New England | 43.7 | 6.2 | 12.5 | No | 31.3 | 4.4 | 1.5 | 0.4 | No | No | ||
| Houston | 6.2 | 31.2 | 31.3 | 21.3 | 6.9 | 1.8 | 1.3 | No | ||||
| Pittsburgh | 7.4 | 32.0 | 3.3 | 4.4 | 21.3 | |||||||
| Kansas City | 2.4 | 10.4 | 1.1 | 1.5 | 6.9 | |||||||
| Tennessee | 0.6 | 2.7 | 0.3 | 0.4 | 1.8 | |||||||
| Cincinnati | 0.4 | 1.8 | 0.0 | No | 1.3 | |||||||
| Miami | No | No | No | No | No | |||||||
Updated Sunday, 2023-10-22 12:30 AM Eastern (GMT-04:00)
