"...per the brilliant Sports Club Stats"
(thank you Mr. Dater)

Denver Broncos Playoff Chances 5 50/50

Plays at Cincinnati, average seed down 0.05 to 2.8
11-3-0   .786

How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did yesterday and who we should root for today.   Explain

Tuesday, 5/1100.0*Win Super Bowl100.0*Average seed
New England 34 Miami 13 -0.3
If winner is:HomeTieAway
Cincinnati vs Denver-1.0*+0.1+1.0
-0.5+0.0+0.5
Houston vs Cleveland+0.6*+0.3-0.6
-0.0+0.1+0.0
Carolina vs NY Jets+0.2*-0.1-0.2
+0.1+0.2-0.1
If winner is:HomeTieAway
Thursday, 5/3100.0*Win Super Bowl100.0*Average seed
Cleveland vs Denver-1.7*+0.8+1.8
-0.7-0.2+0.7
Houston vs LA Rams-0.4*+0.4+0.4
-0.2+0.2+0.2
NY Jets vs New England-0.2*+0.8+0.2
-0.1+0.1+0.1

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

Chances based on how well the Denver finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance inChance will finish regular season at seed
TWW-L-Tplayoffs12345678910111213141516Count
132-0-0In751313639,929
12.51-0-1In735581,058
121-1-0In1275131,279,789
11.50-1-1In74261,036
110-2-0In2575640,924
Total:In19947252,562,736

First Round Opponent What If

First round opponent based on how well the Denver finish out the regular season.   Explain

If finish:Chance will play in first round
TWW-L-TWin SBByeNY JetsNew EnglandPittsburghKansas CityTennesseeCincinnati
132-0-011.7%87931
12.51-0-19.042411232
121-1-07.01266511743
11.50-1-17.91115491645
110-2-06.2373817512
Total:8.0%28.112.512.532.010.42.71.8
Games Above .500
Chance Will Make Playoffs