Tennessee Titans Playoff Chances 5 50/50

Plays Indianapolis, playoff odds down 0.03 to 5.9%
8-6-0   .571

How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did yesterday and who we should root for today.   Explain

Tuesday, 5/1100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win Super Bowl100.0*Average seed
New England 34 Miami 13 +0.1
If winner is:HomeTieAway
Pittsburgh vs DetroitOut+6.9+5.8
No+0.7+0.4
-0.0+0.1+0.0
Tennessee vs Indianapolis+5.9*+1.3Out
+0.4*+0.1No
+0.6-0.1-0.6
Cincinnati vs Denver-0.4*+0.1+0.4
-0.0*-0.2+0.0
-0.2*-0.1+0.2
Buffalo vs Kansas City+0.4*+1.4-0.4
+0.0*+0.2-0.0
+0.2-0.1-0.2
If winner is:HomeTieAway
Thursday, 5/3100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win Super Bowl100.0*Average seed
Baltimore vs Pittsburgh+5.9+7.0Out
+0.4*+0.1No
+0.0+0.2-0.0
Seattle vs TennesseeOut*+1.7+5.9
No*+0.0+0.4
-0.3-0.1+0.3
Kansas City vs LA Chargers-0.4*-0.0+0.4
-0.0*-0.1+0.0
-0.2-0.1+0.2
Chicago vs Cincinnati+0.4*-0.1-0.4
+0.0*-0.1-0.0
+0.1*-0.0-0.1
Buffalo vs Miami+0.0*+0.1-0.0

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

Chances based on how well the Tennessee finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance inChance will finish regular season at seed
TWW-L-Tplayoffs12345678910111213141516Count
102-0-023.4%236314640,312
9.51-0-115.015503141,014
91-1-0Out3944171,279,984
8.50-1-1Out538571,051
80-2-0Out33166640,375
Total:5.9%63633252,562,736

First Round Opponent What If

First round opponent based on how well the Tennessee finish out the regular season.   Explain

If finish:Chance will play in first round
TWW-L-TWin SBClevelandDenverNY JetsNew EnglandHouston
102-0-01.4%311127
9.51-0-10.928114
8-9No
Total:0.4%0.62.70.30.41.8
Games Above .500
Chance Will Make Playoffs

Lottery

Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.

Big Games

Tuesday, 5/1100.0*Lottery seed
New England 34 Miami 13 -0.2
If winner is:HomeTieAway
Tennessee vs Indianapolis-1.1+0.2+1.1
Buffalo vs Kansas City-0.2+0.1+0.2
Cincinnati vs Denver+0.2+0.2-0.2
LA Rams vs Seattle-0.1+0.1+0.1
Pittsburgh vs Detroit+0.1-0.1-0.1
Houston vs Cleveland-0.1*+0.1+0.1
Carolina vs NY Jets+0.1+0.1-0.1
Green Bay vs San Francisco+0.1*+0.0-0.1
If winner is:HomeTieAway
Thursday, 5/3100.0*Lottery seed
Seattle vs Tennessee+1.4-0.1-1.4
Kansas City vs LA Chargers+0.2+0.2-0.2
Atlanta vs New Orleans+0.2*-0.1-0.2
Chicago vs Cincinnati-0.2+0.1+0.2
Dallas vs NY Giants-0.2+0.1+0.2
Buffalo vs Miami-0.1-0.2+0.1
Philadelphia vs Oakland-0.0+0.2+0.0
Baltimore vs Pittsburgh-0.1-0.2+0.1
Cleveland vs Denver+0.0*+0.1-0.0
Carolina vs Tampa Bay+0.0*-0.1-0.0

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance will finish season at seed
TWW-L-T1234567891011121314151617181920212223242526272829303132
102-0-0518601510
9.51-0-11142743142
91-1-0535381840
8.50-1-1111334411
80-2-017274322
Total:15182119119115