Pittsburgh Steelers Playoff Chances 5 50/50

Plays Detroit, playoff odds up 1.5 to 68.4%
9-5-0   .643

How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did yesterday and who we should root for today.   Explain

Tuesday, 5/1100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win Super Bowl100.0*Average seed
New England 34 Miami 13 +1.5
+0.1
If winner is:HomeTieAway
Pittsburgh vs Detroit+19.2+4.8-19.1
+1.2*+1.1-1.2
+0.3+0.1-0.3
Buffalo vs Kansas City+16.0+13.0-16.0
+1.0*-0.4-1.0
+0.2+0.2-0.2
Tennessee vs Indianapolis+1.2-7.3-1.2
+0.1*-0.3-0.1
-0.0-0.2+0.0
Cincinnati vs Denver-1.9*-0.5+1.9
-0.1*-1.0+0.1
-0.1-0.0+0.1
If winner is:HomeTieAway
Thursday, 5/3100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win Super Bowl100.0*Average seed
Baltimore vs Pittsburgh-19.2*+1.3+19.1
-1.2*+0.2+1.2
-0.3*+0.0+0.3
Kansas City vs LA Chargers-16.0+13.2+16.0
-1.0*+0.0+1.0
-0.2+0.2+0.2
Seattle vs Tennessee+3.5*-3.8-3.5
+0.2*-0.8-0.2
+0.1-0.1-0.1
Chicago vs Cincinnati+2.0*-1.2-2.0
+0.1*-0.5-0.1
+0.1*-0.0-0.1

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

Chances based on how well the Pittsburgh finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance inChance will finish regular season at seed
TWW-L-Tplayoffs12345678910111213141516Count
10.5-11In100641,455*
101-1-075.0%752501,279,904
9.50-1-140.94142161991
90-2-023.42345275640,386
Total:68.4%6824712,562,736

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

First Round Opponent What If

First round opponent based on how well the Pittsburgh finish out the regular season.   Explain

If finish:Chance will play in first round
TWW-L-TWin SBClevelandDenverNY JetsNew EnglandHouston
112-0-06.2%11475631
10.51-0-16.610495531
101-1-04.78354523
9.50-1-13.14192511
90-2-01.5211127
Total:4.3%7.432.03.34.421.3
Games Above .500
Chance Will Make Playoffs

Lottery

Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.

Big Games

If winner is:HomeTieAway
Tuesday, 5/1100.0*Lottery seed
Pittsburgh vs Detroit-0.9-0.4+0.9
Buffalo vs Kansas City-0.5-0.3+0.5
Tennessee vs Indianapolis-0.1+0.2+0.1
Cincinnati vs Denver+0.1*-0.0-0.1
Minnesota vs Chicago-0.1+0.0+0.1
Carolina vs NY Jets+0.1*-0.0-0.1
Houston vs Cleveland+0.1*-0.1-0.1
NY Giants vs Atlanta+0.1*-0.1-0.1
LA Rams vs Seattle-0.1*-0.1+0.1
Baltimore vs Oakland-0.0*-0.1+0.0
Dallas vs LA Chargers+0.0*-0.1-0.0
Arizona vs Jacksonville-0.0*-0.1+0.0
If winner is:HomeTieAway
Thursday, 5/3100.0*Lottery seed
Baltimore vs Pittsburgh+0.9-0.3-0.9
Kansas City vs LA Chargers+0.4-0.3-0.4
Dallas vs NY Giants-0.1*-0.1+0.1
Carolina vs Tampa Bay+0.1-0.1-0.1
Seattle vs Tennessee-0.1+0.1+0.1
Chicago vs Cincinnati-0.0-0.1+0.0
Atlanta vs New Orleans+0.1*+0.0-0.1
Minnesota vs Washington-0.0*-0.1+0.0
Philadelphia vs Oakland+0.0*-0.1-0.0
Jacksonville vs Indianapolis+0.0*+0.1-0.0

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance will finish season at seed
TWW-L-T1234567891011121314151617181920212223242526272829303132
112-0-0928
10.51-0-18416
101-1-03342101230
9.50-1-14372226101
90-2-0123214282481
Total:4029599620