Cleveland Browns Playoff Chances 5

Plays at Houston, average seed down 0.007 to 1.2
12-2-0   .857

How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did yesterday and who we should root for today.   Explain

If winner is:HomeTieAway
Tuesday, 5/1100.0*Win Super Bowl100.0*Average seed
Houston vs Cleveland-1.2*+0.5+0.7
-0.3+0.0+0.2
If winner is:HomeTieAway
Thursday, 5/3100.0*Win Super Bowl100.0*Average seed
Cleveland vs Denver+0.9*+1.0-4.3
+0.2-0.0-1.1
San Francisco vs Arizona-0.2*+0.2+0.1
NY Jets vs New England+0.1*-1.0-0.1
Houston vs LA Rams-0.0+0.1+0.1

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

Chances based on how well the Cleveland finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance inChance will finish regular season at seed
TWW-L-Tplayoffs12345678910111213141516Count
13.5-14In1004,159,950*
131-1-0In88123,456,237
12.50-1-1In2464121,798
120-2-0In21286552,527
Total:In885168,170,512

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

First Round Opponent What If

First round opponent based on how well the Cleveland finish out the regular season.   Explain

If finish:Chance will play in first round
TWW-L-TWin SBByeNY JetsNew EnglandPittsburghKansas CityTennesseeCincinnati
13-1431.2%Yes
12.50-1-129.188920
120-2-019.2239489200
Total:30.4%93.42.63.20.60.20.00.0
Games Above .500
Chance Will Make Playoffs