New England Patriots Playoff Chances 5

Beat Miami 34-13, average seed up 0.3 to 3.7
12-3-0   .800

How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did yesterday and who we should root for today.   Explain

Tuesday, 5/1100.0*Win Super Bowl100.0*Average seed
New England 34 Miami 13 +0.2
+0.2
If winner is:HomeTieAway
Houston vs Cleveland+0.1*-0.4-0.1
Cincinnati vs Denver+0.1*-0.5-0.1
If winner is:HomeTieAway
Thursday, 5/3100.0*Win Super Bowl100.0*Average seed
NY Jets vs New England-1.9*+0.1+2.3
-1.3+0.2+1.6
Cleveland vs Denver+0.0*+0.1-0.1
+0.0+0.2-0.1

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

Chances based on how well the New England finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance inChance will finish regular season at seed
TWW-L-Tplayoffs12345678910111213141516Count
131-0-0In39163,657,537
12.50-0-1In2473483,296
120-1-0In1004,509,679
Total:In1413558,170,512

First Round Opponent What If

First round opponent based on how well the New England finish out the regular season.   Explain

If finish:Chance will play in first round
TWW-L-TWin SBByeClevelandDenverHoustonPittsburghKansas CityTennessee
131-0-06.0%94410
12.50-0-13.74922421210
120-1-01.865045
Total:3.7%42.23.227.424.62.00.50.1
Games Above .500
Chance Will Make Playoffs