New York Jets Playoff Chances 5

Plays at Carolina, average seed down 0.2 to 3.3
11-3-0   .786

How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did yesterday and who we should root for today.   Explain

Tuesday, 5/1100.0*Win Super Bowl100.0*Average seed
New England 34 Miami 13 -0.1
-0.1
If winner is:HomeTieAway
Carolina vs NY Jets-0.1*+0.0+0.1
Houston vs Cleveland+0.0*+0.3-0.0
+0.1+0.0-0.0
If winner is:HomeTieAway
Thursday, 5/3100.0*Win Super Bowl100.0*Average seed
NY Jets vs New England+1.7*+0.2-2.1
+1.4-0.3-1.7
Cleveland vs Denver-0.0*+0.5+0.2
-0.0-0.1+0.1
Houston vs LA Rams+0.0-0.1-0.0

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

Chances based on how well the NY Jets finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance inChance will finish regular season at seed
TWW-L-Tplayoffs12345678910111213141516Count
132-0-0In9912,109,278
12.51-0-1In39163,361
121-1-0In2534424,111,498
0-0-2In1003
11-11.5In1001,946,372*
Total:In3502458,170,512

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

First Round Opponent What If

First round opponent based on how well the NY Jets finish out the regular season.   Explain

If finish:Chance will play in first round
TWW-L-TWin SBByeClevelandDenverHoustonPittsburghKansas CityTennesseeCincinnati
132-0-05.3%Yes
12.51-0-15.594510
121-1-03.655221193100
0-0-2No3367
11.50-1-11.874944
110-2-01.565045
Total:3.5%53.42.622.220.01.40.40.10.0
Games Above .500
Chance Will Make Playoffs