Buffalo Bills Playoff Chances 5 50/50

Plays Kansas City, lottery seed unchanged at 23.7
4-10-0   .286

How are these numbers calculated?

Lottery

We are out of the playoffs. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.
Although it might be more fun to go down swinging.

Big Games

If winner is:HomeTieAway
Tuesday, 5/1100.0*Lottery seed
Buffalo vs Kansas City-1.2+1.0+1.2
Washington vs Philadelphia-0.2+0.3+0.2
Tennessee vs Indianapolis-0.2+0.3+0.2
Pittsburgh vs Detroit-0.2*+0.2+0.2
Tampa Bay vs New Orleans-0.2*-0.1+0.2
Green Bay vs San Francisco-0.2+0.2+0.2
Dallas vs LA Chargers-0.2+0.2+0.2
LA Rams vs Seattle+0.1+0.1-0.1
Carolina vs NY Jets+0.1*+0.0-0.1
Arizona vs Jacksonville+0.0*-0.1-0.0
If winner is:HomeTieAway
Thursday, 5/3100.0*Lottery seed
Buffalo vs Miami-1.2+0.9+1.2
Philadelphia vs Oakland+0.2+0.3-0.2
Detroit vs Green Bay+0.2+0.3-0.2
Kansas City vs LA Chargers-0.2+0.2+0.2
San Francisco vs Arizona+0.2+0.2-0.2
Jacksonville vs Indianapolis-0.2+0.2+0.2
Atlanta vs New Orleans-0.2+0.0+0.2
Houston vs LA Rams-0.1+0.1+0.1
Seattle vs Tennessee+0.0*-0.1-0.0

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance will finish season at seed
TWW-L-T1234567891011121314151617181920212223242526272829303132
62-0-0274024810
5.51-0-13153235141
51-1-00292535235
4.50-1-15305015
40-2-02225718
Total:71111141817175
Games Above .500
Chance Will Make Playoffs