"...per the brilliant Sports Club Stats"
(thank you Mr. Dater)

How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did last week and who we should root for this week.   Explain

If winner is:HomeDrawAway
Week of 10/23100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Average seed
Whitecaps vs Timbers-33.8YesYes
-0.5+0.3+0.3

What If

Chances based on how well the Timbers finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100
If finish:ChanceChance will finish season at seed
TPW-D-Lwins title123Count
10-12Yes1002,277,051,304*
90-0-146.2%4632221,345,410,890
Total:80.0%801283,622,462,194

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

Points
Chance Will Win Championship