"...per the brilliant Sports Club Stats"
(thank you Mr. Dater)

How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did yesterday and who we should root for today.   Explain

Wednesday, 1/20100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Middaugh 8 Auld 7 +16.4
+1.0
Middaugh 4 Harrison 6 -15.1
-0.9
Flaxey 8 Morrissey 5 +2.0
+0.1
Hanna 6 Flaxey 4 -1.4
Morrissey 4 Hastings 8 +1.1
Hastings 7 Tippin 6 +0.7
Homan 8 Hanna 7 +0.2
Kean 3 Homan 8 +0.2
Auld 7 Kean 6 -0.1
Thursday, 1/21100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Hanna 6 Middaugh 5 -20.6
-1.1
Tippin 9 Middaugh 8 -20.5
-1.1
Flaxey 6 Hastings 4 +3.1
+0.1
Auld 4 Homan 7 +2.2
+0.1
Morrissey 4 Kean 7 +2.0
+0.1
Hastings 4 Hanna 10 +1.0
+0.1
Auld 6 Harrison 5 -0.9
Kean 3 Tippin 7 -0.9
Flaxey 1 Homan 9 -0.8
-0.1
Morrissey 5 Harrison 9 +0.7
If winner is:HomeAway
Friday, 1/22100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Middaugh vs Kean+8.5-8.5
+1.1-1.1
Middaugh vs Homan+8.1-8.1
+0.8-0.8
Harrison vs Hastings-4.0+4.0
+0.1-0.1
Harrison vs Flaxey-3.4+3.4
Flaxey vs Auld+2.7-2.7
+0.1-0.1
Hanna vs Kean-2.5+2.5
+0.1-0.1
Hanna vs Morrissey-2.4+2.4
+0.2-0.2
Tippin vs Morrissey-2.3+2.3
+0.2-0.2
Tippin vs Auld+0.9-0.9
+0.2-0.2
Hastings vs Homan-0.5+0.5
-0.2+0.2

What If

Chances based on how well the Middaugh finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance inChance will finish regular season at seed
TWW-Lplayoffs12345678910Count
52-033.0%1725412421,218,743,376
41-11.6215342816512,435,007,140
30-2Out1103636161,218,790,644
Total:9.1%027182317171144,872,541,160
Games Above .500
Chance Will Make Playoffs

Lottery

Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.

Big Games

Wednesday, 1/20100.0*Lottery seed
Middaugh 8 Auld 7 -1.0
Middaugh 4 Harrison 6 +0.9
Flaxey 8 Morrissey 5 -0.1
Thursday, 1/21100.0*Lottery seed
Hanna 6 Middaugh 5 +1.1
Tippin 9 Middaugh 8 +1.1
Flaxey 6 Hastings 4 -0.1
Flaxey 1 Homan 9 +0.1
Auld 4 Homan 7 -0.1
Morrissey 4 Kean 7 -0.1
Hastings 4 Hanna 10 -0.1
If winner is:HomeAway
Friday, 1/22100.0*Lottery seed
Middaugh vs Kean-1.1+1.1
Middaugh vs Homan-0.8+0.8
Hastings vs Homan+0.2-0.2
Hanna vs Morrissey-0.2+0.2
Tippin vs Auld-0.2+0.2
Tippin vs Morrissey-0.2+0.2
Harrison vs Hastings-0.1+0.1
Flaxey vs Auld-0.1+0.1
Hanna vs Kean-0.1+0.1

What If

100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance will finish season at seed
TWW-L12345678910
52-0172541242
41-121534281651
30-2110363616
Total:02718231717114