Kean Playoff Chances 2016 50/50
Lost to Tippin 3-7, Beat Morrissey 7-4, playoff odds down 3.1 to 0.6%
2-5 .286
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How are these numbers calculated?
Big Games
How we did yesterday and who we should root for today. Explain
| Wednesday, 1/20 | 100.0* | Chance in playoffs | 100.0* | Average seed |
| Auld 7 Kean 6 | -12.9 | -1.0 | ||
| Kean 3 Homan 8 | -11.7 | -0.9 | ||
| Flaxey 8 Morrissey 5 | +1.0 | |||
| Hanna 6 Flaxey 4 | -0.7 | |||
| Hastings 7 Tippin 6 | -0.7 | |||
| Harrison 8 Tippin 5 | -0.6 | |||
| Morrissey 4 Hastings 8 | -0.6 | |||
| Middaugh 4 Harrison 6 | -0.6 | |||
| Homan 8 Hanna 7 | -0.3 | |||
| Thursday, 1/21 | 100.0* | Chance in playoffs | 100.0* | Average seed |
| Kean 3 Tippin 7 | -3.4 | -0.8 | ||
| Morrissey 4 Kean 7 | +3.4 | +0.8 | ||
| Auld 4 Homan 7 | +0.7 | |||
| Flaxey 6 Hastings 4 | +0.6 | -0.1 | ||
| Tippin 9 Middaugh 8 | +0.5 | |||
| Morrissey 5 Harrison 9 | -0.5 | +0.1 | ||
| Hanna 6 Middaugh 5 | +0.5 | |||
| Hastings 4 Hanna 10 | +0.4 | -0.1 | ||
| Auld 6 Harrison 5 | -0.1 | |||
| Flaxey 1 Homan 9 | +0.1 | +0.1 | ||
| If winner is:HomeAway | ||||
| Friday, 1/22 | 100.0* | Chance in playoffs | 100.0* | Average seed |
| Hanna vs Kean | Out+0.6 | -0.6+0.6 | ||
| Hanna vs Morrissey | Out+0.6 | |||
| Middaugh vs Kean | Out+0.6 | -0.9+0.9 | ||
| Flaxey vs Auld | +0.6-0.6 | -0.2+0.2 | ||
| Tippin vs Auld | +0.6-0.6 | |||
| Harrison vs Flaxey | -0.4+0.4 | +0.2-0.2 | ||
| Tippin vs Morrissey | -0.4+0.4 | +0.2-0.2 | ||
| Middaugh vs Homan | +0.4-0.4 | -0.1+0.1 | ||
| Harrison vs Hastings | +0.4-0.4 | +0.1-0.1 | ||
| Hastings vs Homan | -0.2+0.2 | |||
What If
Chances based on how well the Kean finish out the regular season. Explain
| 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | |||||||||
| If finish: | Chance in | Chance will finish regular season at seed | ||||||||||||||||
| TW | W | - | L | playoffs | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | Count | |||
| 4 | 2 | - | 0 | 2.3 | % | 0 | 2 | 15 | 32 | 37 | 12 | 1 | 1,218,727,108 | |||||
| 3 | 1 | - | 1 | Out | 2 | 13 | 48 | 31 | 6 | 2,435,126,333 | ||||||||
| 2 | 0 | - | 2 | Out | 6 | 38 | 56 | 1,218,687,719 | ||||||||||
| Total: | 0.6 | % | 0 | 1 | 4 | 9 | 16 | 29 | 25 | 17 | 4,872,541,160 | |||||||
Games Above .500
Chance Will Make Playoffs
Lottery
Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.
Big Games
| Wednesday, 1/20 | 100.0* | Lottery seed |
| Auld 7 Kean 6 | +1.0 | |
| Kean 3 Homan 8 | +0.9 | |
| Thursday, 1/21 | 100.0* | Lottery seed |
| Morrissey 4 Kean 7 | -0.8 | |
| Kean 3 Tippin 7 | +0.8 | |
| Flaxey 1 Homan 9 | -0.1 | |
| Flaxey 6 Hastings 4 | +0.1 | |
| Hastings 4 Hanna 10 | +0.1 | |
| Morrissey 5 Harrison 9 | -0.1 | |
| If winner is:HomeAway | ||
| Friday, 1/22 | 100.0* | Lottery seed |
| Middaugh vs Kean | +0.9-0.9 | |
| Hanna vs Kean | +0.6-0.6 | |
| Harrison vs Flaxey | -0.2+0.2 | |
| Flaxey vs Auld | +0.2-0.2 | |
| Tippin vs Morrissey | -0.2+0.2 | |
| Middaugh vs Homan | +0.1-0.1 | |
| Harrison vs Hastings | -0.1+0.1 | |
What If
| 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | |||||
| If finish: | Chance will finish season at seed | |||||||||||||
| TW | W | - | L | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | |
| 4 | 2 | - | 0 | 0 | 2 | 15 | 32 | 37 | 12 | 1 | ||||
| 3 | 1 | - | 1 | 2 | 13 | 48 | 31 | 6 | ||||||
| 2 | 0 | - | 2 | 6 | 38 | 56 | ||||||||
| Total: | 0 | 1 | 4 | 9 | 16 | 29 | 25 | 17 | ||||||
Updated Saturday, 2023-11-11 11:39 AM Eastern (GMT-05:00)
