Kean Playoff Chances 2016
Lost to Tippin 3-7, Beat Morrissey 7-4, playoff odds down 0.4 to 0.02%
2-5 .286
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How are these numbers calculated?
Big Games
How we did yesterday and who we should root for today. Explain
| Wednesday, 1/20 | 100.0* | Chance in playoffs | 100.0* | Average seed |
| Auld 7 Kean 6 | -4.5 | -0.5 | ||
| Kean 3 Homan 8 | -2.2 | -0.2 | ||
| Flaxey 8 Morrissey 5 | +0.9 | |||
| Hastings 7 Tippin 6 | -0.2 | -0.1 | ||
| Middaugh 4 Harrison 6 | -0.2 | -0.1 | ||
| Harrison 8 Tippin 5 | -0.2 | -0.1 | ||
| Morrissey 4 Hastings 8 | -0.1 | -0.1 | ||
| Hanna 6 Flaxey 4 | -0.1 | |||
| Homan 8 Hanna 7 | +0.0 | |||
| Thursday, 1/21 | 100.0* | Chance in playoffs | 100.0* | Average seed |
| Morrissey 4 Kean 7 | +0.8 | +0.7 | ||
| Kean 3 Tippin 7 | -0.4 | -0.4 | ||
| Flaxey 6 Hastings 4 | +0.2 | -0.2 | ||
| Hastings 4 Hanna 10 | +0.1 | -0.1 | ||
| Hanna 6 Middaugh 5 | +0.1 | |||
| Tippin 9 Middaugh 8 | +0.1 | |||
| Morrissey 5 Harrison 9 | +0.0 | |||
| Flaxey 1 Homan 9 | +0.0 | |||
| If winner is:HomeAway | ||||
| Friday, 1/22 | 100.0* | Chance in playoffs | 100.0* | Average seed |
| Hanna vs Kean | Out+0.1 | -0.2+0.6 | ||
| Hanna vs Morrissey | Out+0.1 | +0.1-0.2 | ||
| Flaxey vs Auld | +0.1-0.0 | -0.3+0.1 | ||
| Middaugh vs Homan | +0.1-0.0 | -0.3+0.0 | ||
| Harrison vs Flaxey | -0.0+0.1 | +0.1-0.3 | ||
| Tippin vs Morrissey | -0.0+0.1 | +0.1-0.3 | ||
| Middaugh vs Kean | Out+0.0 | -0.7+1.1 | ||
| Tippin vs Auld | +0.0Out | |||
| Harrison vs Hastings | +0.0-0.1 | |||
| Hastings vs Homan | -0.1+0.0 | |||
What If
Chances based on how well the Kean finish out the regular season. Explain
| 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | |||||||||
| If finish: | Chance in | Chance will finish regular season at seed | ||||||||||||||||
| TW | W | - | L | playoffs | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | Count | |||
| 4 | 2 | - | 0 | 0.2 | % | 0 | 0 | 15 | 45 | 36 | 4 | 0 | 1,679,207,710 | |||||
| 3 | 1 | - | 1 | Out | 9 | 35 | 45 | 10 | 1 | 7,106,316,581 | ||||||||
| 2 | 0 | - | 2 | Out | 27 | 50 | 23 | 7,146,799,989 | ||||||||||
| Total: | 0.0 | % | 0 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 20 | 33 | 27 | 10 | 15,932,324,280 | |||||||
Games Above .500
Chance Will Make Playoffs
Lottery
Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.
Big Games
| Wednesday, 1/20 | 100.0* | Lottery seed |
| Auld 7 Kean 6 | +0.5 | |
| Kean 3 Homan 8 | +0.2 | |
| Morrissey 4 Hastings 8 | +0.1 | |
| Harrison 8 Tippin 5 | +0.1 | |
| Hastings 7 Tippin 6 | +0.1 | |
| Middaugh 4 Harrison 6 | +0.1 | |
| Homan 8 Hanna 7 | -0.0 | |
| Thursday, 1/21 | 100.0* | Lottery seed |
| Morrissey 4 Kean 7 | -0.7 | |
| Kean 3 Tippin 7 | +0.4 | |
| Flaxey 6 Hastings 4 | +0.2 | |
| Hastings 4 Hanna 10 | +0.1 | |
| Morrissey 5 Harrison 9 | -0.0 | |
| Flaxey 1 Homan 9 | -0.0 | |
| If winner is:HomeAway | ||
| Friday, 1/22 | 100.0* | Lottery seed |
| Middaugh vs Kean | +0.7-1.1 | |
| Hanna vs Kean | +0.2-0.6 | |
| Harrison vs Flaxey | -0.1+0.3 | |
| Flaxey vs Auld | +0.3-0.1 | |
| Tippin vs Morrissey | -0.1+0.3 | |
| Hanna vs Morrissey | -0.1+0.2 | |
| Middaugh vs Homan | +0.3-0.0 | |
| Harrison vs Hastings | -0.0+0.1 | |
| Hastings vs Homan | +0.1-0.0 | |
What If
| 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | |||||
| If finish: | Chance will finish season at seed | |||||||||||||
| TW | W | - | L | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | |
| 4 | 2 | - | 0 | 0 | 0 | 15 | 45 | 36 | 4 | 0 | ||||
| 3 | 1 | - | 1 | 9 | 35 | 45 | 10 | 1 | ||||||
| 2 | 0 | - | 2 | 27 | 50 | 23 | ||||||||
| Total: | 0 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 20 | 33 | 27 | 10 | ||||||
Updated Saturday, 2023-11-11 11:39 AM Eastern (GMT-05:00)
