How are these numbers calculated?

## Big Games

How we did yesterday and who we should root for today.   Explain

 Wednesday, 1/20 100.0* Chance in playoffs 100.0* Average seed Flaxey 8 Morrissey 5 +0.8 +0.4 Hanna 6 Flaxey 4 -0.2 -0.3 Middaugh 4 Harrison 6 -0.1 Hastings 7 Tippin 6 -0.1 Harrison 8 Tippin 5 -0.1 Kean 3 Homan 8 +0.0 Homan 8 Hanna 7 +0.0 Thursday, 1/21 100.0* Chance in playoffs 100.0* Average seed Flaxey 6 Hastings 4 +0.5 +0.5 Flaxey 1 Homan 9 -0.1 -0.0 Morrissey 4 Kean 7 -0.1 Kean 3 Tippin 7 +0.1 If winner is:HomeAway Friday, 1/22 100.0* Chance in playoffs 100.0* Average seed Harrison vs Flaxey Out+1.2 -0.4+1.1 Flaxey vs Auld +1.2Out +1.1-0.4 Harrison vs Hastings -0.5+0.8 +0.1-0.1 Middaugh vs Kean -0.3+0.5 +0.1-0.2 Tippin vs Auld +0.4-0.4 Hastings vs Homan -0.5+0.0 -0.2+0.0 Hanna vs Kean +0.1-0.3 +0.1-0.2 Middaugh vs Homan -0.4+0.0 Tippin vs Morrissey -0.1+0.2 +0.1-0.4 Hanna vs Morrissey -0.1+0.2 +0.1-0.4

## What If

Chances based on how well the Flaxey finish out the regular season.   Explain

 100 100 100 100 100 100 100 100 100 100 If finish: Chance in Chance will finish regular season at seed TW W - L playoffs 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 Count 4 2 - 0 6.1 % 0 6 25 38 26 5 0 0 1,228,803,145 3 1 - 1 Out 25 30 40 5 6,383,248,122 2 0 - 2 Out 52 48 8,320,273,013 Total: 0.5 % 0 0 2 3 12 12 43 27 15,932,324,280
Games Above .500
Chance Will Make Playoffs

## Lottery

Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.

## Big Games

 Wednesday, 1/20 100.0* Lottery seed Flaxey 8 Morrissey 5 -0.4 Hanna 6 Flaxey 4 +0.3 Middaugh 4 Harrison 6 +0.1 Harrison 8 Tippin 5 +0.1 Hastings 7 Tippin 6 +0.1 Homan 8 Hanna 7 -0.0 Kean 3 Homan 8 -0.0 Thursday, 1/21 100.0* Lottery seed Flaxey 6 Hastings 4 -0.5 Kean 3 Tippin 7 -0.1 Morrissey 4 Kean 7 +0.1 Flaxey 1 Homan 9 +0.0 If winner is:HomeAway Friday, 1/22 100.0* Lottery seed Flaxey vs Auld -1.1+0.4 Harrison vs Flaxey +0.4-1.1 Tippin vs Morrissey -0.1+0.4 Hanna vs Morrissey -0.1+0.4 Middaugh vs Kean -0.1+0.2 Hanna vs Kean -0.1+0.2 Hastings vs Homan +0.2-0.0 Harrison vs Hastings -0.1+0.1

## What If

 100 100 100 100 100 100 100 100 100 100 If finish: Chance will finish season at seed TW W - L 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 4 2 - 0 0 6 25 38 26 5 0 0 3 1 - 1 25 30 40 5 2 0 - 2 52 48 Total: 0 0 2 3 12 12 43 27