How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did last week and who we should root for this week.   Explain

If winner is:HomeDrawAway
Week of 10/8100.0*Chance in World Cup100.0*Promoted100.0*Average seed
Argentina vs Equador-7.0+0.9+14.8
-7.1+1.0+14.9
-0.5+0.1+1.0
Equador vs Bolivia+8.3-5.4-12.9
+8.5-5.4-13.2
+0.6-0.4-0.9
Chile vs Brasil-0.2+0.6-0.2
-0.2+0.6-0.2
Bolivia vs Uruguai-0.2+0.6-0.3
-0.2+0.6-0.2
Brasil vs Venezuela-0.2+0.6-0.3
-0.2+0.6-0.2
Paraguai vs Argentina-0.2+0.6-0.2
-0.2+0.6-0.2
Colombia vs Peru-0.2+0.6-0.2
-0.2+0.5-0.2
Uruguai vs Colombia-0.2+0.6-0.2
-0.2+0.5-0.2
Peru vs Chile-0.2+0.6-0.2
-0.2+0.5-0.2
Venezuela vs Paraguai-0.2+0.6-0.2
-0.2+0.5-0.2

What If

Chances based on how well Equador finishes out qualifying.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance inChance will finish at seed
TPW-D-LWorld CupPromoted12345678910Count
49-54InYes1001,660,691*
4815-3-0InYes100023,888*
4715-2-1InYes10070,294
4615-1-2InYes1000159,118*
4514-3-1InYes1000328,675*
4414-2-2InYes1000744,099*
4314-1-3InYes10001,419,721*
4213-3-2InYes100002,696,116*
4113-2-3InYes100005,062,198*
4012-4-2InYes99108,612,352*
3912-3-3InYes991014,603,033*
3812-2-4InYes9730023,798,436*
3711-4-3InYes9550036,544,784*
3611-3-4InYes9190055,364,354*
3511-2-5100.0%100.0%851510080,207,474*
3410-4-4100.0100.07623100111,375,350*
3310-3-5100.0100.064324000151,352,199*
329-5-4100.0100.049429100197,147,431*
319-4-599.9100.03347182000247,902,507*
309-3-699.599.81845306000303,441,135*
298-5-597.798.883440162000357,039,839*
288-4-691.295.2218403081000406,505,980*
278-3-770.782.7052541245000244,979,521
7-6-579.288.1083139183000204,147,301*
267-5-649.067.20112363613200286,173,535
8-2-843.762.40110323716200191,470,090*
257-4-719.738.90031738329100491,772,510*
247-3-83.413.20003204029700244,996,854
6-6-66.419.60006264122400245,207,427*
236-5-70.74.8001831401820286,176,136
7-2-90.74.5001828402030184,299,072*
226-4-80.10.90002133736111436,678,523*
216-3-90.00.100031942305183,171,541
5-6-70.00.200052543243208,460,136*
205-5-80.00.0000110354213337,729,078*
195-4-90.00.00003224826281,101,373*
184-6-80.00.00001114543225,423,974*
174-5-9Out0.000053560173,413,735*
164-4-10OutNo0022574128,288,962*
153-6-9OutNo001158491,063,770*
143-5-10OutNo0099161,728,077*
133-4-11OutNo0059540,044,880*
123-3-12OutNo0029824,735,359*
112-5-11OutNo019914,483,512*
102-4-12OutNo001008,032,656*
92-3-13OutNo01004,201,832*
81-5-12OutNo01002,049,732*
71-4-13OutNo0100931,083*
61-3-14OutNo0100390,408*
0-5OutNo1001,859,749*
Total:40.0%45.0%101010101010101010106,609,070,500

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

Points
Chance Will Make Next Round