Points
Chance Will Make Playoffs

Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100
Chance will make playoffsRound of 8Chance will finish regular season at seed
PGW-D-LGD%Change%Change123456789101112Avg.ChangeRPI
Colombia93-0-04InYes1001.0+1.205Colombia
Argentina41-1-10In+61.3Yes+61.31006.0+2.787Argentina
Paraguay20-2-1-1In+34.7Yes+34.71008.0-1.0010Paraguay
Qatar10-1-2-3Out-49.7No-49.710010.0-1.7912Qatar

Big Games

Who should we root for?   Explain

Week of 6/20
Colombia 1 Qatar 0
Thu100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Round of 8100.0*Average seed
ColombiaIn
Yes
+2.1
Argentina+2.3
+2.3
Paraguay+2.1
+2.1
+0.1
Qatar-25.8
-25.8
-2.1
Argentina 1 Paraguay 1
Thu100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Round of 8100.0*Average seed
Colombia+1.1
+1.1
+0.3
Argentina-5.4
-5.4
-0.4
Paraguay-6.0
-6.0
-0.3
Qatar+1.6
+1.6
+0.1
Ecuador 1 Chile 2
Thu100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Round of 8100.0*Average seed
Colombia+0.9
+0.9
-0.1
Argentina+2.2
+2.2
+0.1
Paraguay+1.2
+1.2
Qatar+1.2
+1.2
Bolivia 1 Peru 3
Thu100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Round of 8100.0*Average seed
Colombia-0.5
-0.5
-0.1
Argentina-1.0
-1.0
Paraguay-0.8
-0.8
Qatar-0.8
-0.8
Uruguay 2 Japan 2
Thu100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Round of 8100.0*Average seed
Colombia-0.3
-0.3
+0.0
Argentina-0.6
-0.6
Paraguay-0.3
-0.3
Qatar-0.3
-0.3
Brazil 0 Venezuela 0
Thu100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Round of 8100.0*Average seed
Colombia+0.1
Argentina-0.2
-0.2
Paraguay*-0.1
*-0.1
Week of 6/24
Qatar 0 Argentina 2
Mon100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Round of 8100.0*Average seed
Argentina+60.6
+60.6
+2.6
Paraguay-1.6
-1.6
-0.1
QatarOut
No
-2.4
Colombia 1 Paraguay 0
Mon100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Round of 8100.0*Average seed
Colombia+0.9
Argentina+2.7
+2.7
+0.4
Paraguay-47.2
-47.2
-1.9
Qatar+10.2
+10.2
+0.6
Ecuador 1 Japan 1
Mon100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Round of 8100.0*Average seed
Argentina+4.6
+4.6
Paraguay+20.4
+20.4
+0.2
Qatar+12.8
+12.8
+0.1
Bolivia 1 Venezuela 3
Mon100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Round of 8100.0*Average seed
Argentina-0.5
-0.5
+0.1
Paraguay-4.2
-4.2
-0.2
Qatar-0.2
-0.2
+0.0
Peru 0 Brazil 5
Mon100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Round of 8100.0*Average seed
Colombia-0.2
Argentina+0.1
+0.1
+0.0
Paraguay+0.0
Qatar+0.1
+0.1
+0.1
Chile 0 Uruguay 1
Mon100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Round of 8100.0*Average seed
Colombia+0.1
Argentina-0.0
Paraguay-0.2
Qatar-0.1

* A starred outcome could have no effect or just a really small effect. The simulation did not run long enough to know.