Points
Chance Will Make Playoffs

Explain

100100100100100100100100100100
Chance will make playoffsWorld Cup BirthChance will finish regular season at seedEliminated
ThursdayPGW-D-LGD%Change%Change12345678910Avg.Change%ChangeRPIStrengthTuesday
UruguayWVenezuela 3-0196-1-21494.6%+2.896.5%+2.26224941000001.6+0.140.0%-0.02.745at ColombiaUruguay
BrazilWBolivia 5-0185-3-11282.5+10.887.9+9.2263720115100002.4+0.440.0-0.11.675at VenezuelaBrazil
ArgentinaTPeru 2-2164-4-1343.3-17.956.2-13.8514252621820003.8-0.530.0-0.13.566ParaguayArgentina
ColombiaWParaguay 1-0165-1-3337.7+7.850.1+10.24122125241031004.0+0.570.1-0.85.552UruguayColombia
EcuadorWChile 3-0165-1-3437.4+13.350.1+16.54122225241030004.0+0.830.1-1.04.558at BoliviaEcuador
ChileLEcuador 0-3113-2-4-22.7-9.15.4-12.7012513343012406.3-0.643.8+0.66.454PeruChile
ParaguayLColombia 0-1123-3-3-31.7-7.13.6-10.3001410283615506.6-0.615.3+0.97.419at ArgentinaParaguay
PeruTArgentina 2-282-2-5-70.1-0.10.2-0.300001615383478.2+0.3440.6-18.78.365at ChilePeru
BoliviaLBrazil 0-572-1-6-90.1-0.60.1-1.1000014113044118.4-0.4854.5+18.49.331EcuadorBolivia
VenezuelaLUruguay 0-320-2-7-150.0-0.00.0-0.00000001414829.8-0.0595.6+0.910.280BrazilVenezuela

Big Games

Who should we root for?   Explain

Week of 10/6
Paraguay 0 Colombia 1
Thu100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*World Cup Birth100.0*Eliminated100.0*Average seed
Uruguay-0.9
-0.6
Brazil-2.3
-1.6
-0.1
Argentina-2.7
-1.9
-0.1
Colombia+14.3
+15.6
-0.7
+0.7
Ecuador-1.8
-2.0
Chile-1.0
-1.3
-0.2
Paraguay-5.5
-8.0
+3.3
-0.6
Peru-1.2
Bolivia-0.1
-0.9
Venezuela-0.3
Ecuador 3 Chile 0
Thu100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*World Cup Birth100.0*Eliminated100.0*Average seed
Uruguay-0.3
-0.2
Brazil-0.8
-0.6
Argentina-1.0
-0.8
Colombia-0.8
-0.9
-0.0
Ecuador+8.3
+9.9
-0.7
+0.5
Chile-5.0
-6.8
+1.3
-0.4
Paraguay-0.3
-0.5
Peru-0.3
Bolivia-0.1
-0.2
Venezuela-0.1
Brazil 5 Bolivia 0
Thu100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*World Cup Birth100.0*Eliminated100.0*Average seed
Uruguay-0.5
-0.3
-0.0
Brazil+6.5
+5.5
-0.1
+0.3
Argentina-1.4
-1.0
-0.1
Colombia-1.5
-1.2
-0.1
-0.0
Ecuador-1.3
-1.1
-0.1
Chile-0.8
-0.7
-0.3
Paraguay-0.6
-0.6
-0.4
Peru-2.9
+0.0
Bolivia-0.4
-0.6
+4.6
-0.2
Venezuela-0.6
+0.0
Peru 2 Argentina 2
Thu100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*World Cup Birth100.0*Eliminated100.0*Average seed
Uruguay+0.4
+0.3
+0.0
Brazil+1.0
+0.7
+0.0
Argentina-4.3
-3.5
-0.1
-0.2
Colombia+1.1
+0.9
-0.1
+0.0
Ecuador+1.0
+0.8
-0.1
+0.0
Chile+0.6
+0.5
-0.1
Paraguay+0.4
+0.4
-0.2
Peru-0.1
-0.2
+1.4
-0.0
Bolivia+0.1
-0.8
+0.0
Venezuela-0.1
Uruguay 3 Venezuela 0
Thu100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*World Cup Birth100.0*Eliminated100.0*Average seed
Uruguay+2.6
+2.0
+0.2
Brazil-0.4
-0.3
-0.0
Argentina-0.5
-0.4
-0.0
Colombia-0.6
-0.4
-0.0
Ecuador-0.5
-0.4
-0.0
Chile-0.3
-0.3
-0.1
Paraguay-0.2
-0.2
-0.1
Peru-0.5
+0.0
Bolivia-0.6
+0.0
Venezuela+1.3
-0.1
Colombia vs UruguayIf winner is:HomeDrawAway
Tue100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*World Cup Birth100.0*Eliminated100.0*Average seed
Uruguay89.2*94.698.3
92.896.599.0
0.00.0No
1.91.61.4
Brazil80.082.884.0
86.088.189.0
Argentina39.143.945.9
51.956.658.9
3.93.83.7
Colombia54.236.027.2
65.848.939.9
0.00.00.1
3.44.04.4
Ecuador33.738.039.7
45.950.552.9
4.14.03.9
Chile2.32.83.0
4.55.46.0
6.46.36.3
Paraguay1.41.71.9
2.93.64.0
Argentina vs ParaguayHomeDrawAway
Tue100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*World Cup Birth100.0*Eliminated100.0*Average seed
Uruguay94.095.395.6
96.196.997.1
Brazil81.084.285.1
86.989.189.6
2.42.32.3
Argentina52.034.425.3
64.747.937.5
0.00.00.2
3.54.14.5
Colombia35.140.742.4
47.752.954.3
4.03.93.9
Ecuador34.840.542.3
47.853.054.4
4.03.93.9
Chile2.43.13.3
4.86.06.3
3.73.94.2
6.36.36.4
Paraguay0.61.75.7
1.73.810.3
6.94.21.4
6.86.55.9
Peru40.041.042.0
8.18.28.2
Bolivia53.855.056.2
8.48.58.5
Venezuela95.495.795.8
Bolivia vs EcuadorHomeDrawAway
Tue100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*World Cup Birth100.0*Eliminated100.0*Average seed
Uruguay95.595.093.7
97.196.895.9
Brazil85.083.580.2
89.888.686.2
2.32.32.4
Argentina48.045.339.2
60.757.952.3
3.73.73.9
Colombia41.839.434.1
54.551.746.3
3.93.94.1
Ecuador24.132.049.0
36.545.261.7
0.20.00.0
4.54.13.6
Chile3.22.92.2
6.45.74.5
5.53.72.9
Paraguay2.11.81.4
4.33.82.9
7.65.14.0
Peru0.30.20.2
51.039.934.2
8.38.28.1
Bolivia0.20.00.0
0.40.00.0
38.655.664.2
8.08.58.7
Venezuela96.995.594.7
9.89.89.7
Venezuela vs BrazilHomeDrawAway
Tue100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*World Cup Birth100.0*Eliminated100.0*Average seed
Uruguay95.394.994.2
96.996.796.3
1.51.51.7
Brazil69.777.488.3
78.184.192.3
2.92.62.1
Argentina47.144.941.6
58.957.254.9
3.73.73.8
Colombia41.339.236.0
52.851.148.8
3.93.94.0
Ecuador41.038.835.7
52.951.248.9
3.93.94.0
Chile3.22.92.5
6.05.65.1
4.3*3.83.7
Paraguay2.01.81.6
4.03.73.4
6.0*5.35.2
Peru43.440.639.8
8.38.28.1
Bolivia56.7*54.553.8
8.58.48.4
Venezuela89.395.597.4
9.59.89.8
Chile vs PeruHomeDrawAway
Tue100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*World Cup Birth100.0*Eliminated100.0*Average seed
Uruguay94.594.794.7
96.496.596.6
Brazil82.382.782.7
87.688.188.2
Argentina43.043.743.8
55.656.857.0
Colombia37.438.038.1
49.650.750.9
Ecuador37.137.737.8
49.650.851.0
Chile3.91.30.7
7.63.11.8
1.24.810.7
6.06.67.0
Paraguay3.53.73.7
4.85.56.9
6.66.56.6
Peru0.00.00.4
0.10.20.8
47.938.021.8
8.48.17.6
Bolivia51.055.763.4
8.48.48.5
Venezuela95.095.897.0

* A starred outcome could have no effect or just a really small effect. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

Thank you Noah Vinik for adding this league.