Points
Chance Will Make Playoffs

Explain

100100100100100100100100100100
Chance will make playoffsWorld Cup BirthChance will finish regular season at seedEliminated
PGW-D-LGD%Change%Change12345678910Avg.Change%ChangeRPIStrength
Uruguay196-1-21494.6%+2.896.5%+2.26224941000001.6+0.140.0%-0.02.745Uruguay
Brazil185-3-11282.5+10.887.9+9.2263720115100002.4+0.440.0-0.11.675Brazil
Argentina164-4-1343.3-17.956.2-13.8514252621820003.8-0.530.0-0.13.566Argentina
Colombia165-1-3337.7+7.850.1+10.24122125241031004.0+0.570.1-0.85.552Colombia
Ecuador165-1-3437.4+13.350.1+16.54122225241030004.0+0.830.1-1.04.558Ecuador
Chile113-2-4-22.7-9.15.4-12.7012513343012406.3-0.643.8+0.66.454Chile
Paraguay123-3-3-31.7-7.13.6-10.3001410283615506.6-0.615.3+0.97.419Paraguay
Peru82-2-5-70.1-0.10.2-0.300001615383478.2+0.3440.6-18.78.365Peru
Bolivia72-1-6-90.1-0.60.1-1.1000014113044118.4-0.4854.5+18.49.331Bolivia
Venezuela20-2-7-150.0-0.00.0-0.00000001414829.8-0.0595.6+0.910.280Venezuela

Big Games

Who should we root for?   Explain

Week of 10/6
Paraguay 0 Colombia 1
Thu100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*World Cup Birth100.0*Eliminated100.0*Average seed
Uruguay-0.9
-0.6
Brazil-2.3
-1.6
-0.1
Argentina-2.7
-1.9
-0.1
Colombia+14.3
+15.6
-0.7
+0.7
Ecuador-1.8
-2.0
Chile-1.0
-1.3
-0.2
Paraguay-5.5
-8.0
+3.3
-0.6
Peru-1.2
Bolivia-0.1
-0.9
Venezuela-0.3
Ecuador 3 Chile 0
Thu100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*World Cup Birth100.0*Eliminated100.0*Average seed
Uruguay-0.3
-0.2
Brazil-0.8
-0.6
Argentina-1.0
-0.8
Colombia-0.8
-0.9
-0.0
Ecuador+8.3
+9.9
-0.7
+0.5
Chile-5.0
-6.8
+1.3
-0.4
Paraguay-0.3
-0.5
Peru-0.3
Bolivia-0.1
-0.2
Venezuela-0.1
Brazil 5 Bolivia 0
Thu100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*World Cup Birth100.0*Eliminated100.0*Average seed
Uruguay-0.5
-0.3
-0.0
Brazil+6.5
+5.5
-0.1
+0.3
Argentina-1.4
-1.0
-0.1
Colombia-1.5
-1.2
-0.1
-0.0
Ecuador-1.3
-1.1
-0.1
Chile-0.8
-0.7
-0.3
Paraguay-0.6
-0.6
-0.4
Peru-2.9
+0.0
Bolivia-0.4
-0.6
+4.6
-0.2
Venezuela-0.6
+0.0
Peru 2 Argentina 2
Thu100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*World Cup Birth100.0*Eliminated100.0*Average seed
Uruguay+0.4
+0.3
+0.0
Brazil+1.0
+0.7
+0.0
Argentina-4.3
-3.5
-0.1
-0.2
Colombia+1.1
+0.9
-0.1
+0.0
Ecuador+1.0
+0.8
-0.1
+0.0
Chile+0.6
+0.5
-0.1
Paraguay+0.4
+0.4
-0.2
Peru-0.1
-0.2
+1.4
-0.0
Bolivia+0.1
-0.8
+0.0
Venezuela-0.1
Uruguay 3 Venezuela 0
Thu100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*World Cup Birth100.0*Eliminated100.0*Average seed
Uruguay+2.6
+2.0
+0.2
Brazil-0.4
-0.3
-0.0
Argentina-0.5
-0.4
-0.0
Colombia-0.6
-0.4
-0.0
Ecuador-0.5
-0.4
-0.0
Chile-0.3
-0.3
-0.1
Paraguay-0.2
-0.2
-0.1
Peru-0.5
+0.0
Bolivia-0.6
+0.0
Venezuela+1.3
-0.1
Colombia vs UruguayIf winner is:HomeDrawAway
Tue100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*World Cup Birth100.0*Eliminated100.0*Average seed
Uruguay89.2*94.698.3
92.896.599.0
0.00.0No
1.91.61.4
Brazil80.082.884.0
86.088.189.0
Argentina39.143.945.9
51.956.658.9
3.93.83.7
Colombia54.236.027.2
65.848.939.9
0.00.00.1
3.44.04.4
Ecuador33.738.039.7
45.950.552.9
4.14.03.9
Chile2.32.83.0
4.55.46.0
6.46.36.3
Paraguay1.41.71.9
2.93.64.0
Argentina vs ParaguayHomeDrawAway
Tue100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*World Cup Birth100.0*Eliminated100.0*Average seed
Uruguay94.095.395.6
96.196.997.1
Brazil81.084.285.1
86.989.189.6
2.42.32.3
Argentina52.034.425.3
64.747.937.5
0.00.00.2
3.54.14.5
Colombia35.140.742.4
47.752.954.3
4.03.93.9
Ecuador34.840.542.3
47.853.054.4
4.03.93.9
Chile2.43.13.3
4.86.06.3
3.73.94.2
6.36.36.4
Paraguay0.61.75.7
1.73.810.3
6.94.21.4
6.86.55.9
Peru40.041.042.0
8.18.28.2
Bolivia53.855.056.2
8.48.58.5
Venezuela95.495.795.8
Bolivia vs EcuadorHomeDrawAway
Tue100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*World Cup Birth100.0*Eliminated100.0*Average seed
Uruguay95.595.093.7
97.196.895.9
Brazil85.083.580.2
89.888.686.2
2.32.32.4
Argentina48.045.339.2
60.757.952.3
3.73.73.9
Colombia41.839.434.1
54.551.746.3
3.93.94.1
Ecuador24.132.049.0
36.545.261.7
0.20.00.0
4.54.13.6
Chile3.22.92.2
6.45.74.5
5.53.72.9
Paraguay2.11.81.4
4.33.82.9
7.65.14.0
Peru0.30.20.2
51.039.934.2
8.38.28.1
Bolivia0.20.00.0
0.40.00.0
38.655.664.2
8.08.58.7
Venezuela96.995.594.7
9.89.89.7
Venezuela vs BrazilHomeDrawAway
Tue100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*World Cup Birth100.0*Eliminated100.0*Average seed
Uruguay95.394.994.2
96.996.796.3
1.51.51.7
Brazil69.777.488.3
78.184.192.3
2.92.62.1
Argentina47.144.941.6
58.957.254.9
3.73.73.8
Colombia41.339.236.0
52.851.148.8
3.93.94.0
Ecuador41.038.835.7
52.951.248.9
3.93.94.0
Chile3.22.92.5
6.05.65.1
4.3*3.83.7
Paraguay2.01.81.6
4.03.73.4
6.0*5.35.2
Peru43.440.639.8
8.38.28.1
Bolivia56.7*54.553.8
8.58.48.4
Venezuela89.395.597.4
9.59.89.8
Chile vs PeruHomeDrawAway
Tue100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*World Cup Birth100.0*Eliminated100.0*Average seed
Uruguay94.594.794.7
96.496.596.6
Brazil82.382.782.7
87.688.188.2
Argentina43.043.743.8
55.656.857.0
Colombia37.438.038.1
49.650.750.9
Ecuador37.137.737.8
49.650.851.0
Chile3.91.30.7
7.63.11.8
1.24.810.7
6.06.67.0
Paraguay3.53.73.7
4.85.56.9
6.66.56.6
Peru0.00.00.4
0.10.20.8
47.938.021.8
8.48.17.6
Bolivia51.055.763.4
8.48.48.5
Venezuela95.095.897.0

* A starred outcome could have no effect or just a really small effect. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

Thank you Noah Vinik for adding this league.