"...per the brilliant Sports Club Stats"
(thank you Mr. Dater)

How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did last week and who we should root for this week.   Explain

Week of 10/6100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Advance to Next Stages100.0*Average seed
USA 4 Panama 0 +36.5
+9.1
+0.5
Costa Rica 1 Honduras 1 -0.5
-0.3
If winner is:HomeDrawAway
T&T vs USA-30.7+1.6In
-3.4+0.6Yes
-0.3+0.0+0.1
Panama vs Costa Rica-13.1+5.0+5.0
-1.7YesYes
-0.1+0.1+0.1
Honduras vs Mexico-10.8+1.9+1.9
-3.7YesYes
-0.1+0.0+0.0

What If

Chances based on how well the USA finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100
If finish:Chance inAdvance toChance will finish regular season at seed
TPW-D-LplayoffsNext Stages123456Count
151-0-0InYes1002,164,555,393
130-1-094.1%100.0%9460951,581,688
120-0-161.896.062344578,343,391
Total:92.5%99.4%93713,694,480,472
Points
Chance Will Make Playoffs